The Prediction Markets

Market comparison

Oscars 2027: Best Production Design Nominations

2 venues · 17 outcome rows · 10 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

31 outcomes · $56K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 3, 2028

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

11 outcomes · $20K reported volume

Observed 7s ago

Recorded venue end date: Mar 15, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Backrooms

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Backrooms

Open Kalshi ↗

55.0%

Bid 35.0% · Ask 55.0%

Backrooms

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

18.0%

Bid 17.0% · Ask 19.0%

Backrooms

Open Polymarket ↗

Digger

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.0%

Digger

Open Kalshi ↗

42.0%

Bid 26.0% · Ask 45.0%

Digger

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

63.0%

Bid 62.0% · Ask 64.0%

Digger

Open Polymarket ↗

Dune: Part Three

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

13.0%

Bid 12.0% · Ask 19.0%

Dune: Part Three

Open Kalshi ↗

70.0%

Bid 60.0% · Ask 80.0%

Dune: Part Three

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

60.5%

Bid 51.0% · Ask 70.0%

Dune: Part Three

Open Polymarket ↗

Project Hail Mary

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

12.0%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 12.0%

Project Hail Mary

Open Kalshi ↗

60.0%

Bid 50.0% · Ask 70.0%

Project Hail Mary

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

63.5%

Bid 63.0% · Ask 64.0%

Project Hail Mary

Open Polymarket ↗

Sense and Sensibility

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.0%

Sense and Sensibility

Open Kalshi ↗

20.0%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 30.0%

Sense and Sensibility

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

37.0%

Bid 24.0% · Ask 50.0%

Sense and Sensibility

Open Polymarket ↗

The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.0%

The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth

Open Kalshi ↗

20.0%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 30.0%

The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

14.5%

Bid 11.0% · Ask 18.0%

The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth

Open Polymarket ↗

The Odyssey

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

59.0%

Bid 52.0% · Ask 59.0%

The Odyssey

Open Kalshi ↗

99.0%

Bid 90.0% · Ask 99.0%

The Odyssey

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

78.0%

Bid 77.0% · Ask 79.0%

The Odyssey

Open Polymarket ↗

Werwulf

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.0%

Werwulf

Open Kalshi ↗

35.0%

Bid 25.0% · Ask 45.0%

Werwulf

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

47.5%

Bid 43.0% · Ask 52.0%

Werwulf

Open Polymarket ↗

Wildwood

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

3.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.0%

Wildwood

Open Kalshi ↗

25.0%

Bid 15.0% · Ask 35.0%

Wildwood

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

4.7%

Bid 3.6% · Ask 5.7%

Wildwood

Open Polymarket ↗

Wuthering Heights

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.0%

Wuthering Heights

Open Kalshi ↗

20.0%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 30.0%

Wuthering Heights

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

14.5%

Bid 14.0% · Ask 15.0%

Wuthering Heights

Open Polymarket ↗

Fatherland

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.0%

Fatherland

Open Kalshi ↗

20.0%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 30.0%

Fatherland

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Ink

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.0%

Ink

Open Kalshi ↗

20.0%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 30.0%

Ink

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

La Bola Negra

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

8.0%

Bid 8.0% · Ask 14.0%

La Bola Negra

Open Kalshi ↗

70.0%

Bid 60.0% · Ask 80.0%

La Bola Negra

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

The Black Ball

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

96.4%

Bid 93.9% · Ask 98.8%

The Black Ball

Open Polymarket ↗

The Devil Wears Prada 2

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.0%

The Devil Wears Prada 2

Open Kalshi ↗

20.0%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 30.0%

The Devil Wears Prada 2

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Tie

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.0%

Tie

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Wild Horse Nine

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.0%

Wild Horse Nine

Open Kalshi ↗

40.0%

Bid 30.0% · Ask 48.0%

Wild Horse Nine

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.