Market comparison

Oscars 2027: Best Production Design Winner

2 venues · 43 outcome rows · 10 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

31 outcomes · $56K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Observed 34s ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 3, 2028

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

38 outcomes · $9K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Mar 14, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Available outcome prices by venue for Oscars 2027: Best Production Design Winner
Outcome	Kalshi	Polymarket	Difference
Backrooms Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	2.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% Backrooms Open Kalshi ↗ 55.0% Bid 35.0% · Ask 55.0% Backrooms Open Kalshi ↗	0.5% Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.0% Backrooms Open Polymarket ↗	—
Digger Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	2.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.0% Digger Open Kalshi ↗ 42.0% Bid 26.0% · Ask 45.0% Digger Open Kalshi ↗	14.0% Bid 6.9% · Ask 21.0% Digger Open Polymarket ↗	—
Dune: Part Three Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	13.0% Bid 12.0% · Ask 19.0% Dune: Part Three Open Kalshi ↗ 70.0% Bid 60.0% · Ask 80.0% Dune: Part Three Open Kalshi ↗	17.5% Bid 16.0% · Ask 19.0% Dune: Part Three Open Polymarket ↗	—
Project Hail Mary Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	12.0% Bid 4.0% · Ask 12.0% Project Hail Mary Open Kalshi ↗ 60.0% Bid 50.0% · Ask 70.0% Project Hail Mary Open Kalshi ↗	0.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2% Project Hail Mary Open Polymarket ↗	—
Sense and Sensibility Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	2.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.0% Sense and Sensibility Open Kalshi ↗ 20.0% Bid 10.0% · Ask 30.0% Sense and Sensibility Open Kalshi ↗	0.4% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.6% Sense and Sensibility Open Polymarket ↗	—
The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	2.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.0% The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth Open Kalshi ↗ 20.0% Bid 10.0% · Ask 30.0% The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth Open Kalshi ↗	0.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2% The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth Open Polymarket ↗	—
The Odyssey Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	59.0% Bid 52.0% · Ask 59.0% The Odyssey Open Kalshi ↗ 99.0% Bid 90.0% · Ask 99.0% The Odyssey Open Kalshi ↗	61.5% Bid 60.0% · Ask 63.0% The Odyssey Open Polymarket ↗	—
Werwulf Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	2.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.0% Werwulf Open Kalshi ↗ 35.0% Bid 25.0% · Ask 45.0% Werwulf Open Kalshi ↗	4.2% Bid 0.3% · Ask 8.0% Werwulf Open Polymarket ↗	—
Wildwood Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	3.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.0% Wildwood Open Kalshi ↗ 25.0% Bid 15.0% · Ask 35.0% Wildwood Open Kalshi ↗	4.5% Bid 4.5% · Ask 4.6% Wildwood Open Polymarket ↗	—
Wuthering Heights Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	2.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.0% Wuthering Heights Open Kalshi ↗ 20.0% Bid 10.0% · Ask 30.0% Wuthering Heights Open Kalshi ↗	0.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2% Wuthering Heights Open Polymarket ↗	—
Fatherland Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.0% Fatherland Open Kalshi ↗ 20.0% Bid 10.0% · Ask 30.0% Fatherland Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Ink Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.0% Ink Open Kalshi ↗ 20.0% Bid 10.0% · Ask 30.0% Ink Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
La Bola Negra Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	8.0% Bid 8.0% · Ask 14.0% La Bola Negra Open Kalshi ↗ 70.0% Bid 60.0% · Ask 80.0% La Bola Negra Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Movie A Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie A · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Movie B Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie B · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Movie C Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie C · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Movie D Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie D · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Movie E Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie E · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Movie F Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie F · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Movie G Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie G · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Movie H Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie H · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Movie I Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie I · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Movie J Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie J · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Movie K Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie K · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Movie L Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie L · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Movie M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie M · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Movie N Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie N · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Movie O Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie O · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Movie P Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie P · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Movie Q Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie Q · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Movie R Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie R · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Movie S Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie S · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Movie T Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie T · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Movie U Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie U · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Movie V Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie V · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Movie W Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie W · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Movie X Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie X · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Movie Y Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie Y · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Movie Z Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie Z · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
The Black Ball Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	3.2% Bid 0.4% · Ask 6.0% The Black Ball Open Polymarket ↗	—
The Devil Wears Prada 2 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.0% The Devil Wears Prada 2 Open Kalshi ↗ 20.0% Bid 10.0% · Ask 30.0% The Devil Wears Prada 2 Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Tie Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.0% Tie Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Wild Horse Nine Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.0% Wild Horse Nine Open Kalshi ↗ 40.0% Bid 30.0% · Ask 48.0% Wild Horse Nine Open Kalshi ↗	—	—

Backrooms

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Backrooms

Open Kalshi ↗

55.0%

Bid 35.0% · Ask 55.0%

Backrooms

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.5%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.0%

Backrooms

Oscars 2027: Best Production Design Winner

Kalshi

Polymarket

Backrooms

Kalshi

Polymarket

Digger

Kalshi

Polymarket

Dune: Part Three

Kalshi

Polymarket

Project Hail Mary

Kalshi

Polymarket

Sense and Sensibility

Kalshi

Polymarket

The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth

Kalshi

Polymarket

The Odyssey

Kalshi

Polymarket

Werwulf

Kalshi

Polymarket

Wildwood

Kalshi

Polymarket

Wuthering Heights

Kalshi

Polymarket

Fatherland

Kalshi

Polymarket

Ink

Kalshi

Polymarket

La Bola Negra

Kalshi

Polymarket

Movie A

Kalshi

Polymarket

Movie B

Kalshi

Polymarket

Movie C

Kalshi

Polymarket

Movie D

Kalshi

Polymarket

Movie E

Kalshi

Polymarket

Movie F

Kalshi

Polymarket

Movie G

Kalshi

Polymarket

Movie H

Kalshi

Polymarket

Movie I

Kalshi

Polymarket

Movie J

Kalshi

Polymarket

Movie K

Kalshi

Polymarket

Movie L

Kalshi

Polymarket

Movie M

Kalshi