The Prediction Markets

Market comparison

Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actor Nominations

2 venues · 61 outcome rows · 25 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

72 outcomes · $654K reported volume

Observed 56s ago

Observed 56s ago

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Dec 31, 2027

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

26 outcomes · $40K reported volume

Observed 56s ago

Recorded venue end date: Mar 15, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Andrew Garfield

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

5.0%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 7.0%

Andrew Garfield

Open Kalshi ↗

75.0%

Bid 75.0% · Ask 80.0%

Andrew Garfield

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

71.0%

Bid 61.0% · Ask 81.0%

Andrew Garfield

Open Polymarket ↗

Andrew Scott

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 8.0%

Adam Scott

Open Kalshi ↗

5.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 5.0%

Adam Scott

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

3.4%

Bid 3.3% · Ask 3.4%

Adam Scott

Open Polymarket ↗

Antonio Banderas

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

9.0%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 10.0%

Antonio Banderas

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

5.3%

Bid 0.8% · Ask 9.9%

Antonio Banderas

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 3.6 pp

Channing Tatum

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 3.0%

Channing Tatum

Open Kalshi ↗

10.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 10.0%

Channing Tatum

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

6.8%

Bid 5.2% · Ask 8.3%

Channing Tatum

Open Polymarket ↗

Charles Melton

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Charles Melton

Open Kalshi ↗

3.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 5.0%

Charles Melton

Open Kalshi ↗

72.0%

Bid 72.0% · Ask 79.0%

Charles Melton

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

2.9%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 4.6%

Charles Melton

Open Polymarket ↗

Colman Domingo

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

25.0%

Bid 23.0% · Ask 25.0%

Colman Domingo

Open Kalshi ↗

15.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 15.0%

Colman Domingo

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

19.5%

Bid 17.0% · Ask 22.0%

Colman Domingo

Open Polymarket ↗

Daniel Craig

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

4.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.0%

Daniel Craig

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

1.4%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 1.7%

Daniel Craig

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 2.7 pp

Edward Norton

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

60.0%

Bid 59.0% · Ask 60.0%

Edward Norton

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

55.0%

Bid 49.0% · Ask 61.0%

Edward Norton

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 5.0 pp

Guitarricadelafuente

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

71.0%

Bid 70.0% · Ask 72.0%

Guitarricadelafuente

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

68.5%

Bid 66.0% · Ask 71.0%

Guitarricadelafuente

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 2.5 pp

Guy Pearce

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

6.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.0%

Guy Pearce

Open Kalshi ↗

4.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.0%

Guy Pearce

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

3.9%

Bid 1.6% · Ask 6.2%

Guy Pearce

Open Polymarket ↗

Himesh Patel

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

8.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 8.0%

Himesh Patel

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

4.1%

Bid 2.1% · Ask 6.1%

Himesh Patel

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 3.9 pp

James Ortiz

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

5.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 5.0%

James Ortiz

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

6.5%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 8.0%

James Ortiz

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 1.5 pp

Jeremy Strong

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

5.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 5.0%

Jeremy Strong

Open Kalshi ↗

3.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 7.0%

Jeremy Strong

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

11.5%

Bid 2.9% · Ask 20.0%

Jeremy Strong

Open Polymarket ↗

Jesse Plemons

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

3.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 4.0%

Jesse Plemons

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

2.6%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 5.0%

Jesse Plemons

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.3 pp

John Goodman

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

12.0%

Bid 8.0% · Ask 12.0%

John Goodman

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

16.7%

Bid 16.0% · Ask 17.3%

John Goodman

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 4.7 pp

John Leguizamo

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

72.0%

Bid 72.0% · Ask 73.0%

John Leguizamo

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

74.0%

Bid 72.0% · Ask 76.0%

John Leguizamo

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 2.0 pp

Michael Fassbender

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

5.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 5.0%

Michael Fassbender

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

7.3%

Bid 4.1% · Ask 10.5%

Michael Fassbender

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 2.3 pp

Miles Teller

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

5.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 5.0%

Miles Teller

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

6.3%

Bid 2.3% · Ask 10.3%

Miles Teller

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 1.3 pp

Paul Giamatti

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

90.0%

Bid 85.0% · Ask 90.0%

Paul Giamatti

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

93.0%

Bid 91.0% · Ask 95.0%

Paul Giamatti

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 3.0 pp

Riz Ahmed

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

11.0%

Bid 11.0% · Ask 14.0%

Riz Ahmed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

13.5%

Bid 13.0% · Ask 14.0%

Riz Ahmed

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 2.5 pp

Robert Pattinson

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

52.0%

Bid 51.0% · Ask 52.0%

Robert Pattinson

Open Kalshi ↗

25.0%

Bid 25.0% · Ask 26.0%

Robert Pattinson

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

30.0%

Bid 18.0% · Ask 42.0%

Robert Pattinson

Open Polymarket ↗

Sam Rockwell

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

6.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 6.0%

Sam Rockwell

Open Kalshi ↗

80.0%

Bid 77.0% · Ask 80.0%

Sam Rockwell

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

73.5%

Bid 72.0% · Ask 75.0%

Sam Rockwell

Open Polymarket ↗

Skyler Gisondo

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

8.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 8.0%

Skyler Gisondo

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

7.5%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 9.0%

Skyler Gisondo

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.5 pp

Steve Buscemi

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

8.0%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 13.0%

Steve Buscemi

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

11.0%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 12.0%

Steve Buscemi

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 3.0 pp

Tom Holland

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 11.0%

Tom Holland

Open Kalshi ↗

4.0%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 6.0%

Tom Holland

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

3.0%

Bid 0.6% · Ask 5.4%

Tom Holland

Open Polymarket ↗

Adam Driver

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

4.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 5.0%

Adam Driver

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Andrew Scott

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

84.0%

Bid 84.0% · Ask 85.0%

Andrew Scott

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Anthony Ippolito

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

38.0%

Bid 30.0% · Ask 40.0%

Anthony Ippolito

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Brad Pitt

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 5.0%

Brad Pitt

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

David Harbour

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

80.0%

Bid 80.0% · Ask 97.0%

David Harbour

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

DEACTIVED

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 0.0%

DEACTIVED

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Dominic Sessa

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

4.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 7.0%

Dominic Sessa

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Ethan Hawke

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Ethan Hawke

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Hanns Zischler

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 3.0%

Hanns Zischler

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Jaafar Jackson

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

12.0%

Bid 12.0% · Ask 14.0%

Jaafar Jackson

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Jacques Berman Webster II (Travis Scott)

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0%

Jacques Berman Webster II (Travis Scott)

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Jason Bateman

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

54.0%

Bid 36.0% · Ask 54.0%

Jason Bateman

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Javier Bardem

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 3.0%

Javier Bardem

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Jeremy Allen White

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

4.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.0%

Jeremy Allen White

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

John Malkovich

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

88.0%

Bid 88.0% · Ask 93.0%

John Malkovich

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

John Turturro

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

43.0%

Bid 35.0% · Ask 43.0%

John Turturro

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Josh O'Connor

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.0%

Josh O'Connor

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Keanu Reeves

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

5.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 5.0%

Keanu Reeves

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Mahershala Ali

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

10.0%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 10.0%

Mahershala Ali

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Matt Damon

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

93.0%

Bid 93.0% · Ask 94.0%

Matt Damon

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Nick Offerman

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

34.0%

Bid 34.0% · Ask 45.0%

Nick Offerman

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Patrick Ball

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

66.5%

Bid 60.0% · Ask 73.0%

Patrick Ball

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Paul W. Downs

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

8.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 15.0%

Paul W. Downs

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Pedro Pascal

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

15.0%

Bid 14.0% · Ask 15.0%

Pedro Pascal

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Richard Gadd

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

30.0%

Bid 20.0% · Ask 40.0%

Richard Gadd

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Robert Aramayo

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

7.0%

Bid 7.0% · Ask 8.0%

Robert Aramayo

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Robert De Niro

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

2.5%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.0%

Robert De Niro

Open Polymarket ↗

Robert DeNiro

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.0%

Robert DeNiro

Open Kalshi ↗

5.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 5.0%

Robert DeNiro

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Ryan Gosling

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

46.0%

Bid 43.0% · Ask 46.0%

Ryan Gosling

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Sacha Baron Cohen

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.0%

Sacha Baron Cohen

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Sebastian Stan

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

13.0%

Bid 13.0% · Ask 14.0%

Sebastian Stan

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Shawn Hatosy

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

45.0%

Bid 45.0% · Ask 62.0%

Shawn Hatosy

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Stephen Root

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

70.0%

Bid 69.0% · Ask 70.0%

Stephen Root

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Timothée Chalamet

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

15.0%

Bid 14.0% · Ask 15.0%

Timothée Chalamet

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Tom Cruise

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

55.0%

Bid 55.0% · Ask 58.0%

Tom Cruise

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Yura Borisov

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

24.0%

Bid 18.0% · Ask 24.0%

Yura Borisov

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.