The Prediction Markets

Market comparison

Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actress Nominations

2 venues · 34 outcome rows · 18 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

44 outcomes · $124K reported volume

Observed 19s ago

Observed 19s ago

Observed 19s ago

Recorded venue end date: Dec 31, 2027

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

18 outcomes · $40K reported volume

Observed 19s ago

Recorded venue end date: Mar 15, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Amanda Seyfried

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

62.0%

Bid 60.0% · Ask 62.0%

Amanda Seyfried

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

58.0%

Bid 56.0% · Ask 60.0%

Amanda Seyfried

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 4.0 pp

Anne Hathaway

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

90.0%

Bid 88.0% · Ask 90.0%

Anne Hathaway

Open Kalshi ↗

89.5%

Bid 80.0% · Ask 99.0%

Anne Hathaway

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

88.0%

Bid 87.0% · Ask 89.0%

Anne Hathaway

Open Polymarket ↗

Betty Gilpin

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

9.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 9.0%

Betty Gilpin

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

3.5%

Bid 1.3% · Ask 5.7%

Betty Gilpin

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 5.5 pp

Danielle Deadwyler

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

9.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 9.0%

Danielle Deadwyler

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

17.6%

Bid 1.3% · Ask 34.0%

Danielle Deadwyler

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 8.6 pp

Gemma Chan

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

8.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 9.0%

Gemma Chan

Open Kalshi ↗

20.0%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 30.0%

Gemma Chan

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

9.0%

Bid 8.0% · Ask 10.0%

Gemma Chan

Open Polymarket ↗

Inde Navarrette

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

4.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 4.0%

Inde Navarrette

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

1.1%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 1.2%

Inde Navarrette

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 2.9 pp

Isabella Rossellini

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

8.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 8.0%

Isabella Rossellini

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

5.5%

Bid 4.2% · Ask 6.9%

Isabella Rossellini

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 2.5 pp

Kate O'Flynn

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

38.0%

Bid 26.0% · Ask 39.0%

Kate O'Flynn

Open Kalshi ↗

97.0%

Bid 81.0% · Ask 98.0%

Kate O’Flynn

Open Kalshi ↗

33.0%

Bid 24.0% · Ask 42.0%

Kate O’Flynn

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

41.0%

Bid 25.0% · Ask 57.0%

Kate O'Flynn

Open Polymarket ↗

Margaret Qualley

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

8.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 9.0%

Margaret Qualley

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

3.5%

Bid 0.5% · Ask 6.5%

Margaret Qualley

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 4.5 pp

Mariana di Girolamo

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

34.0%

Bid 26.0% · Ask 36.0%

Mariana di Girolamo

Open Kalshi ↗

21.5%

Bid 13.0% · Ask 30.0%

Mariana Di Girolamo

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

29.5%

Bid 29.0% · Ask 30.0%

Mariana di Girolamo

Open Polymarket ↗

Merritt Wever

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

24.0%

Bid 14.0% · Ask 27.0%

Merritt Wever

Open Kalshi ↗

20.0%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 30.0%

Merritt Wever

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

13.0%

Bid 12.0% · Ask 14.0%

Merritt Wever

Open Polymarket ↗

Olivia Colman

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

41.0%

Bid 33.0% · Ask 41.0%

Olivia Colman

Open Kalshi ↗

47.0%

Bid 44.0% · Ask 62.0%

Olivia Colman

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

31.5%

Bid 24.0% · Ask 39.0%

Olivia Colman

Open Polymarket ↗

Parker Posey

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

20.0%

Bid 16.0% · Ask 22.0%

Parker Posey

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

22.0%

Bid 20.0% · Ask 24.0%

Parker Posey

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 2.0 pp

Penélope Cruz

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

75.0%

Bid 74.0% · Ask 76.0%

Penélope Cruz

Open Kalshi ↗

75.0%

Bid 65.0% · Ask 85.0%

Penélope Cruz

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

75.0%

Bid 74.0% · Ask 76.0%

Penélope Cruz

Open Polymarket ↗

Samantha Morton

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

78.0%

Bid 77.0% · Ask 79.0%

Samantha Morton

Open Kalshi ↗

75.0%

Bid 65.0% · Ask 85.0%

Samantha Morton

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

78.5%

Bid 75.0% · Ask 82.0%

Samantha Morton

Open Polymarket ↗

Sandra Hüller

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

27.0%

Bid 21.0% · Ask 27.0%

Sandra Hüller

Open Kalshi ↗

30.0%

Bid 25.0% · Ask 30.0%

Sandra Hüller

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

34.5%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 59.0%

Sandra Hüller

Open Polymarket ↗

Tao Okamoto

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

66.0%

Bid 64.0% · Ask 66.0%

Tao Okamoto

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

62.0%

Bid 60.0% · Ask 64.0%

Tao Okamoto

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 4.0 pp

Zendaya

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

14.0%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 14.0%

Zendaya

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

13.5%

Bid 11.0% · Ask 16.0%

Zendaya

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.5 pp

Alice Bailey Johnson

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

20.0%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 30.0%

Alice Bailey Johnson

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Allison Janney

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

69.0%

Bid 69.0% · Ask 79.0%

Allison Janney

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Colleen Camp

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

20.0%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 30.0%

Colleen Camp

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Constance Zimmer

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

8.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 15.0%

Constance Zimmer

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Elizabeth Debicki

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

20.0%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 30.0%

Elizabeth Debicki

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Hannah Einbinder

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

84.5%

Bid 75.0% · Ask 94.0%

Hannah Einbinder

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Jessica Williams

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

8.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 15.0%

Jessica Williams

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Joy Sunday

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

8.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 15.0%

Joy Sunday

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Katherine LaNasa

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

76.0%

Bid 65.0% · Ask 76.0%

Katherine LaNasa

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Linda Cardellini

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

85.0%

Bid 70.0% · Ask 89.0%

Linda Cardellini

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Marion Bailey

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

6.5%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 12.0%

Marion Bailey

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Michelle Pfeiffer

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

70.5%

Bid 62.0% · Ask 79.0%

Michelle Pfeiffer

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Scarlett Johansson

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

40.0%

Bid 30.0% · Ask 50.0%

Scarlett Johansson

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Sophie Okonedo

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

20.0%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 30.0%

Sophie Okonedo

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Wunmi Mosaku

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

20.0%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 30.0%

Wunmi Mosaku

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Youn Yuh-jung

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

15.0%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 25.0%

Youn Yuh-jung

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.