Market comparison

Pennsylvania's 1st District margin of victory

2 venues · 19 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

13 outcomes · $10K reported volume

Observed 17s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

9 outcomes · $10K reported volume

Observed 17s ago

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Pennsylvania's 1st District margin of victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Democrat 0-3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	23.5% Bid 22.0% · Ask 25.0% Republican 0-3% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 0-3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	20.0% Bid 19.5% · Ask 20.5% Democrat 0-3% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 9-12% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.5% Bid 1.1% · Ask 6.0% Republican 9-12% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 9-12% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.3% Bid 0.5% · Ask 6.1% Democrat 9-12% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 12%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.3% Bid 1.1% · Ask 7.5% Democrat 12%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 12%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.3% Bid 1.0% · Ask 7.5% Republican 12%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Fitzpatrick, 2+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	45.0% Bid 44.0% · Ask 56.0% Fitzpatrick, 2+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Fitzpatrick, 5+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	32.0% Bid 28.0% · Ask 39.0% Fitzpatrick, 5+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Fitzpatrick, 8+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	23.0% Bid 13.0% · Ask 25.0% Fitzpatrick, 8+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Fitzpatrick, 11+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	14.0% Bid 2.4% · Ask 14.0% Fitzpatrick, 11+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Fitzpatrick, 14+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	5.1% Bid 5.1% · Ask 8.9% Fitzpatrick, 14+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Harvie, 1+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	37.0% Bid 27.0% · Ask 37.0% Harvie, 1+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Harvie, 4+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	21.0% Bid 12.0% · Ask 23.0% Harvie, 4+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Harvie, 7+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	13.0% Bid 7.4% · Ask 13.0% Harvie, 7+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Harvie, 10+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	9.2% Bid 9.0% · Ask 9.6% Harvie, 10+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republican 3-6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	27.5% Bid 26.0% · Ask 29.0% Republican 3-6% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 3-6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	17.5% Bid 16.7% · Ask 18.3% Democrat 3-6% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 6-9% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	7.8% Bid 5.7% · Ask 9.9% Democrat 6-9% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 6-9% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.2% Bid 1.0% · Ask 7.3% Republican 6-9% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Democrat 0-3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

23.5%

Bid 22.0% · Ask 25.0%

Republican 0-3%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 0-3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

20.0%

Bid 19.5% · Ask 20.5%

Democrat 0-3%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 9-12%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.5%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 6.0%

Republican 9-12%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 9-12%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.3%

Bid 0.5% · Ask 6.1%

Democrat 9-12%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 12%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.3%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 7.5%

Democrat 12%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 12%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.3%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 7.5%

Republican 12%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Fitzpatrick, 2+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

45.0%

Bid 44.0% · Ask 56.0%

Fitzpatrick, 2+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Fitzpatrick, 5+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

32.0%

Bid 28.0% · Ask 39.0%

Fitzpatrick, 5+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Fitzpatrick, 8+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

23.0%

Bid 13.0% · Ask 25.0%

Fitzpatrick, 8+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Fitzpatrick, 11+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

14.0%

Bid 2.4% · Ask 14.0%

Fitzpatrick, 11+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Fitzpatrick, 14+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

5.1%

Bid 5.1% · Ask 8.9%

Fitzpatrick, 14+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Harvie, 1+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

37.0%

Bid 27.0% · Ask 37.0%

Harvie, 1+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Harvie, 4+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

21.0%

Bid 12.0% · Ask 23.0%

Harvie, 4+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Harvie, 7+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

13.0%

Bid 7.4% · Ask 13.0%

Harvie, 7+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Harvie, 10+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

9.2%

Bid 9.0% · Ask 9.6%

Harvie, 10+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republican 3-6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

27.5%

Bid 26.0% · Ask 29.0%

Republican 3-6%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 3-6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

17.5%

Bid 16.7% · Ask 18.3%

Democrat 3-6%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 6-9%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

7.8%

Bid 5.7% · Ask 9.9%

Democrat 6-9%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 6-9%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.2%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 7.3%

Republican 6-9%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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