Market comparison

Pennsylvania's 4th District margin of victory

2 venues · 18 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

12 outcomes · $13K reported volume

Observed 47s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

9 outcomes · $2K reported volume

Observed 47s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Pennsylvania's 4th District margin of victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Dean, 12+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	87.0% Bid 80.0% · Ask 91.4% Dean, 12+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Dean, 15+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	80.0% Bid 71.0% · Ask 82.0% Dean, 15+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Dean, 18+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	66.5% Bid 61.0% · Ask 72.0% Dean, 18+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Dean, 21+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	62.0% Bid 52.0% · Ask 63.0% Dean, 21+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Dean, 24+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	49.0% Bid 42.0% · Ask 53.0% Dean, 24+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Dean, 27+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	38.0% Bid 32.0% · Ask 44.0% Dean, 27+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Dean, 30+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	29.0% Bid 23.0% · Ask 35.0% Dean, 30+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Dean, 33+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	19.0% Bid 13.0% · Ask 25.0% Dean, 33+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Dean, 36+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	12.0% Bid 3.8% · Ask 15.0% Dean, 36+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Democrat 0-10% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.1% Bid 0.3% · Ask 10.0% Democrat 0-10% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 10-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.7% Bid 0.4% · Ask 9.0% Democrat 10-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 15-20% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.8% Bid 0.7% · Ask 4.9% Democrat 15-20% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 20-25% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	37.5% Bid 31.0% · Ask 44.0% Democrat 20-25% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 25-30% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	14.5% Bid 5.0% · Ask 24.0% Democrat 25-30% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 30-35% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	24.0% Bid 22.0% · Ask 26.0% Democrat 30-35% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 35-40% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	7.5% Bid 4.0% · Ask 11.0% Democrat 35-40% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 40%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.4% Bid 0.7% · Ask 4.0% Democrat 40%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican Wins Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.4% · Ask 1.6% Republican Wins Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Dean, 12+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

87.0%

Bid 80.0% · Ask 91.4%

Dean, 12+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Dean, 15+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

80.0%

Bid 71.0% · Ask 82.0%

Dean, 15+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Dean, 18+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

66.5%

Bid 61.0% · Ask 72.0%

Dean, 18+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Dean, 21+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

62.0%

Bid 52.0% · Ask 63.0%

Dean, 21+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Dean, 24+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

49.0%

Bid 42.0% · Ask 53.0%

Dean, 24+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Dean, 27+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

38.0%

Bid 32.0% · Ask 44.0%

Dean, 27+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Dean, 30+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

29.0%

Bid 23.0% · Ask 35.0%

Dean, 30+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Dean, 33+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

19.0%

Bid 13.0% · Ask 25.0%

Dean, 33+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Dean, 36+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

12.0%

Bid 3.8% · Ask 15.0%

Dean, 36+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Democrat 0-10%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

5.1%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 10.0%

Democrat 0-10%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 10-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.7%

Bid 0.4% · Ask 9.0%

Democrat 10-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 15-20%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.8%

Bid 0.7% · Ask 4.9%

Democrat 15-20%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 20-25%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

37.5%

Bid 31.0% · Ask 44.0%

Democrat 20-25%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 25-30%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

14.5%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 24.0%

Democrat 25-30%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 30-35%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

24.0%

Bid 22.0% · Ask 26.0%

Democrat 30-35%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 35-40%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

7.5%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 11.0%

Democrat 35-40%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 40%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.4%

Bid 0.7% · Ask 4.0%

Democrat 40%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican Wins

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.0%

Bid 0.4% · Ask 1.6%

Republican Wins

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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