Market comparison

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?

1 venue · 15 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · inactive

Kalshi

15 outcomes · $895K reported volume

Observed 57m ago

Recorded venue end date: Sep 1, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?
Outcome	Kalshi	Difference
Before Apr 1, 2027 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	59.0% Bid 58.0% · Ask 59.0% Before Apr 1, 2027 Open Kalshi ↗	—
Before Aug 1, 2026 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Before Aug 1, 2026 · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Before Dec 1, 2026 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	18.0% Bid 16.0% · Ask 18.0% Before Dec 1, 2026 Open Kalshi ↗	—
Before Feb 1, 2027 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	44.0% Bid 42.0% · Ask 45.0% Before Feb 1, 2027 Open Kalshi ↗	—
Before Jan 1, 2028 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	70.0% Bid 69.0% · Ask 78.0% Before Jan 1, 2028 Open Kalshi ↗	—
Before Jan 1, 2029 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	82.0% Bid 82.0% · Ask 86.0% Before Jan 1, 2029 Open Kalshi ↗	—
Before Jul 1, 2026 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.3% Bid 2.4% · Ask 5.2% Before Jul 1, 2026 Open Kalshi ↗	—
Before Jul 1, 2027 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	63.0% Bid 61.0% · Ask 63.0% Before Jul 1, 2027 Open Kalshi ↗	—
Before Jul 1, 2028 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	86.0% Bid 79.0% · Ask 86.0% Before Jul 1, 2028 Open Kalshi ↗	—
Before Jun 1, 2026 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.2% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Before Jun 1, 2026 · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Before May 1, 2026 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.9% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Before May 1, 2026 · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Before Nov 1, 2026 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% Before Nov 1, 2026 Open Kalshi ↗	—
Before Oct 1, 2026 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Before Oct 1, 2026 · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Before Oct 1, 2027 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	67.0% Bid 61.0% · Ask 68.0% Before Oct 1, 2027 Open Kalshi ↗	—
Before Sep 1, 2026 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.3% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Before Sep 1, 2026 · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—

Before Apr 1, 2027

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

59.0%

Bid 58.0% · Ask 59.0%

Before Apr 1, 2027

Open Kalshi ↗

Before Aug 1, 2026

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

0.1%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Before Aug 1, 2026 · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Before Dec 1, 2026

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

18.0%

Bid 16.0% · Ask 18.0%

Before Dec 1, 2026

Open Kalshi ↗

Before Feb 1, 2027

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

44.0%

Bid 42.0% · Ask 45.0%

Before Feb 1, 2027

Open Kalshi ↗

Before Jan 1, 2028

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

70.0%

Bid 69.0% · Ask 78.0%

Before Jan 1, 2028

Open Kalshi ↗

Before Jan 1, 2029

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

82.0%

Bid 82.0% · Ask 86.0%

Before Jan 1, 2029

Open Kalshi ↗

Before Jul 1, 2026

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

2.3%

Bid 2.4% · Ask 5.2%

Before Jul 1, 2026

Open Kalshi ↗

Before Jul 1, 2027

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

63.0%

Bid 61.0% · Ask 63.0%

Before Jul 1, 2027

Open Kalshi ↗

Before Jul 1, 2028

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

86.0%

Bid 79.0% · Ask 86.0%

Before Jul 1, 2028

Open Kalshi ↗

Before Jun 1, 2026

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

0.2%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Before Jun 1, 2026 · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Before May 1, 2026

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

0.9%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Before May 1, 2026 · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Before Nov 1, 2026

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Before Nov 1, 2026

Open Kalshi ↗

Before Oct 1, 2026

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Before Oct 1, 2026 · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Before Oct 1, 2027

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

67.0%

Bid 61.0% · Ask 68.0%

Before Oct 1, 2027

Open Kalshi ↗

Before Sep 1, 2026

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

0.3%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Before Sep 1, 2026 · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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