Market comparison
Prime Minister of Greece after the next election?
2 venues · 37 outcome rows · 6 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active
Polymarket
Open venue ↗61 outcomes · $33K reported volume
Observed 2m ago
Recorded venue end date: Jul 26, 2027
Kalshi
Open venue ↗9 outcomes · $12K reported volume
Observed 27s ago
Recorded venue end date: Jul 25, 2028
Known rule differences between venues
- Deadlines differ: Kalshi needs the person to take office and meet constitutional requirements before its own date (e.g. Oct 27, 2027 for Israel); Polymarket waits for a swearing-in until its date (e.g. Dec 31, 2027), then resolves to 'Other'. A government formed between the two dates splits them.
- Kalshi counts becoming Prime Minister 'as a result of government formation' after the election; Polymarket requires a formal swearing-in (some events: a confidence vote) and excludes interim or caretaker leaders. An incumbent staying on as caretaker is No on both until a new government forms.
- If an early election is called, Polymarket resolves on that election; Kalshi's 'next election' wording does the same, but its stated-year events (e.g. 'after the 2026 election') may not.
A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Kalshi | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
Alexis Tsipras Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 4.4 pp | ||
Kyriakos Mitsotakis Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 8.0 pp | ||
Kyriakos Velopoulos Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 3.7 pp | ||
Maria Karystianou Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 0.8 pp | ||
Nikos Androulakis Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 5.8 pp | ||
Zoe Konstantopoulou Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 0.7 pp | ||
Afroditi Latinopoulou Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Dimitris Koutsoumbas Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Giannis Antetokounmpo Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Kostis Hatzidakis Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Kyriakos Pierrakakis Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Nikos Dendias Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Person AA Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Person AB Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Person AC Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Person AD Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Person AE Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Person AF Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Person AG Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Person AH Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Person AI Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Person AJ Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Person AK Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Person AL Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Person AM Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Person AN Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Person AO Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Person AP Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Person AQ Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Person AR Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Person AS Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Person AT Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Person AU Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Person AV Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Person AW Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Stefanos Kasselakis Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Yanis Varoufakis Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — |
Alexis Tsipras
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 4.4 pp
Kyriakos Mitsotakis
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 8.0 pp
Kyriakos Velopoulos
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 3.7 pp
Maria Karystianou
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 0.8 pp
Nikos Androulakis
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 5.8 pp
Zoe Konstantopoulou
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 0.7 pp
Afroditi Latinopoulou
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Dimitris Koutsoumbas
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Giannis Antetokounmpo
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Kostis Hatzidakis
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
Kyriakos Pierrakakis
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
Nikos Dendias
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
Person AA
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Person AB
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Person AC
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Person AD
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Person AE
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Person AF
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Person AG
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Person AH
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Person AI
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Person AJ
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Person AK
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Person AL
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Person AM
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Person AN
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Person AO
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Person AP
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Person AQ
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Person AR
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Person AS
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Person AT
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Person AU
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Person AV
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Person AW
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Stefanos Kasselakis
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Yanis Varoufakis
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.