Market comparison
Pro Basketball Western Conference Champion
2 venues · 15 outcome rows · 15 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active
Kalshi
Open venue ↗15 outcomes · $1.3M reported volume
Observed 13s ago
Recorded venue end date: Jun 29, 2029
Polymarket
Open venue ↗18 outcomes · $126K reported volume
Observed 2m ago
Recorded venue end date: Jul 1, 2027
Known rule differences between venues
- Both settle on the official league/organizer result for the named season; Kalshi's season is the ticker edition (KXNBA-27 = 2026-27) and Polymarket's is stated in the title or slug.
- Season cancelled or not completed: Kalshi resolves per its rules (typically a fair price); Polymarket resolves to 'Other' or 50-50 depending on the event.
- Polymarket lists placeholders ('Other', 'Team A') and closes eliminated outcomes early; only live named outcomes are linked.
A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.
| Outcome | Kalshi | Polymarket | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
Dallas Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 0.3 pp | ||
Denver Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 0.5 pp | ||
Golden State Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 1.5 pp | ||
Houston Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 0.7 pp | ||
Los Angeles C Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 0.1 pp | ||
Los Angeles L Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 2.0 pp | ||
Memphis Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 0.7 pp | ||
Minnesota Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 0.0 pp | ||
New Orleans Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 0.4 pp | ||
Oklahoma City Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 3.0 pp | ||
Phoenix Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 0.1 pp | ||
Portland Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 1.2 pp | ||
Sacramento Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 0.7 pp | ||
San Antonio Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 0.5 pp | ||
Utah Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 0.3 pp |
Dallas
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 0.3 pp
Denver
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 0.5 pp
Golden State
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 1.5 pp
Houston
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 0.7 pp
Los Angeles C
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 0.1 pp
Los Angeles L
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 2.0 pp
Memphis
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 0.7 pp
Minnesota
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 0.0 pp
New Orleans
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 0.4 pp
Oklahoma City
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 3.0 pp
Phoenix
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 0.1 pp
Portland
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 1.2 pp
Sacramento
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 0.7 pp
San Antonio
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 0.5 pp
Utah
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 0.3 pp
Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.