Market comparison

Pro Football: 20+ Passing Touchdowns Season

2 venues · 44 outcome rows · 25 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

36 outcomes · $47K reported volume

Observed 7s ago

Observed 6m ago

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 27, 2027

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

33 outcomes · $8K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Feb 2, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Available outcome prices by venue for Pro Football: 20+ Passing Touchdowns Season
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Aaron Rodgers Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	47.0% Bid 45.0% · Ask 49.0% Aaron Rodgers Open Polymarket ↗	75.0% Bid 74.0% · Ask 92.0% Aaron Rodgers Open Kalshi ↗	28.0 pp
Baker Mayfield Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	6.3% Bid 5.2% · Ask 7.3% Baker Mayfield Open Polymarket ↗	2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 85.0% Baker Mayfield Open Kalshi ↗	4.3 pp
Bo Nix Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	10.5% Bid 9.0% · Ask 12.0% Bo Nix Open Polymarket ↗	42.5% Bid 1.0% · Ask 84.0% Bo Nix Open Kalshi ↗	32.0 pp
Brock Purdy Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	72.5% Bid 71.0% · Ask 74.0% Brock Purdy Open Polymarket ↗	97.0% Bid 71.0% · Ask 97.0% Brock Purdy Open Kalshi ↗	24.5 pp
Bryce Young Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	47.0% Bid 46.0% · Ask 48.0% Bryce Young Open Polymarket ↗	85.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 97.0% Bryce Young Open Kalshi ↗	38.0 pp
C.J. Stroud Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	17.0% Bid 15.0% · Ask 19.0% C.J. Stroud Open Polymarket ↗	64.0% Bid 64.0% · Ask 80.0% C.J. Stroud Open Kalshi ↗	47.0 pp
Caleb Williams Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	7.0% Bid 5.0% · Ask 9.0% Caleb Williams Open Polymarket ↗	58.0% Bid 40.0% · Ask 84.0% Caleb Williams Open Kalshi ↗	51.0 pp
Dak Prescott Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	53.0% Bid 51.0% · Ask 55.0% Dak Prescott Open Polymarket ↗	56.0% Bid 56.0% · Ask 95.0% Dak Prescott Open Kalshi ↗	3.0 pp
Drake Maye Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	48.5% Bid 47.0% · Ask 50.0% Drake Maye Open Polymarket ↗	79.0% Bid 79.0% · Ask 84.0% Drake Maye Open Kalshi ↗	30.5 pp
Fernando Mendoza Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	1.8% Bid 0.1% · Ask 3.4% Fernando Mendoza Open Polymarket ↗	1.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 84.0% Fernando Mendoza Open Kalshi ↗	0.8 pp
Jalen Hurts Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	6.0% Bid 5.0% · Ask 7.0% Jalen Hurts Open Polymarket ↗	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 79.0% Jalen Hurts Open Kalshi ↗	5.0 pp
Jared Goff Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	75.0% Bid 74.0% · Ask 76.0% Jared Goff Open Polymarket ↗	95.0% Bid 90.0% · Ask 97.0% Jared Goff Open Kalshi ↗	20.0 pp
Jaxson Dart Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	2.1% Bid 0.4% · Ask 3.8% Jaxson Dart Open Polymarket ↗	60.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 84.0% Jaxson Dart Open Kalshi ↗	57.9 pp
Jayden Daniels Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	4.6% Bid 1.3% · Ask 7.9% Jayden Daniels Open Polymarket ↗	23.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 85.0% Jayden Daniels Open Kalshi ↗	18.4 pp
Joe Burrow Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	65.5% Bid 65.0% · Ask 66.0% Joe Burrow Open Polymarket ↗	86.0% Bid 86.0% · Ask 96.0% Joe Burrow Open Kalshi ↗	20.5 pp
Jordan Love Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	45.0% Bid 43.0% · Ask 47.0% Jordan Love Open Polymarket ↗	86.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 98.0% Jordan Love Open Kalshi ↗	41.0 pp
Josh Allen Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	31.0% Bid 29.0% · Ask 33.0% Josh Allen Open Polymarket ↗	79.0% Bid 79.0% · Ask 85.0% Josh Allen Open Kalshi ↗	48.0 pp
Justin Herbert Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	5.1% Bid 2.1% · Ask 8.0% Justin Herbert Open Polymarket ↗	38.0% Bid 22.0% · Ask 84.0% Justin Herbert Open Kalshi ↗	33.0 pp
Lamar Jackson Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	10.5% Bid 10.0% · Ask 11.0% Lamar Jackson Open Polymarket ↗	85.0% Bid 60.0% · Ask 97.0% Lamar Jackson Open Kalshi ↗	74.5 pp
Malik Willis Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	7.0% Bid 6.0% · Ask 8.0% Malik Willis Open Polymarket ↗	15.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 84.0% Malik Willis Open Kalshi ↗	8.0 pp
Matthew Stafford Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	51.5% Bid 50.0% · Ask 53.0% Matthew Stafford Open Polymarket ↗	85.0% Bid 84.0% · Ask 85.0% Matthew Stafford Open Kalshi ↗	33.5 pp
Patrick Mahomes Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	38.0% Bid 37.0% · Ask 39.0% Patrick Mahomes Open Polymarket ↗	86.0% Bid 70.0% · Ask 96.0% Patrick Mahomes Open Kalshi ↗	48.0 pp
Sam Darnold Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	17.0% Bid 15.0% · Ask 19.0% Sam Darnold Open Polymarket ↗	42.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 85.0% Sam Darnold Open Kalshi ↗	25.5 pp
Trevor Lawrence Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	67.0% Bid 66.0% · Ask 68.0% Trevor Lawrence Open Polymarket ↗	91.0% Bid 91.0% · Ask 97.0% Trevor Lawrence Open Kalshi ↗	24.0 pp
Tyler Shough Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	40.0% Bid 39.0% · Ask 41.0% Tyler Shough Open Polymarket ↗	84.0% Bid 79.0% · Ask 84.0% Tyler Shough Open Kalshi ↗	44.0 pp
16.5+ passing TDs Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	91.0% Bid 89.0% · Ask 93.0% 16.5+ passing TDs Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
18.5+ passing TDs Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	61.0% Bid 60.0% · Ask 62.0% 18.5+ passing TDs Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
19.5+ passing TDs Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	75.5% Bid 74.0% · Ask 77.0% 19.5+ passing TDs Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
21.5+ passing TDs Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	42.5% Bid 41.0% · Ask 44.0% 21.5+ passing TDs Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
22.5+ passing TDs Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.5% Bid 49.0% · Ask 52.0% 22.5+ passing TDs Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
24.5+ passing TDs Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	30.5% Bid 30.0% · Ask 31.0% 24.5+ passing TDs Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
25.5+ passing TDs Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	28.0% Bid 27.0% · Ask 29.0% 25.5+ passing TDs Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
27.5+ passing TDs Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	12.0% Bid 11.0% · Ask 13.0% 27.5+ passing TDs Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
28.5+ passing TDs Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	18.0% Bid 15.0% · Ask 21.0% 28.5+ passing TDs Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
30.5+ passing TDs Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.8% Bid 0.2% · Ask 3.3% 30.5+ passing TDs Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Cam Ward Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	7.5% Bid 7.0% · Ask 8.0% Cameron Ward Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Cam Ward Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	17.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 31.0% Cam Ward Open Kalshi ↗	—
Daniel Jones Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	57.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 84.0% Daniel Jones Open Kalshi ↗	—
Geno Smith Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	84.0% Bid 50.0% · Ask 84.0% Geno Smith Open Kalshi ↗	—
Jacoby Brissett Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	84.0% Bid 58.0% · Ask 84.0% Jacoby Brissett Open Kalshi ↗	—
Kirk Cousins Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	85.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 85.0% Kirk Cousins Open Kalshi ↗	—
Kyler Murray Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	80.0% Bid 18.0% · Ask 80.0% Kyler Murray Open Kalshi ↗	—
Shedeur Sanders Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	83.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 85.0% Shedeur Sanders Open Kalshi ↗	—
Tua Tagovailoa Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	42.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 85.0% Tua Tagovailoa Open Kalshi ↗	—

Aaron Rodgers

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

47.0%

Bid 45.0% · Ask 49.0%

Aaron Rodgers

Pro Football: 20+ Passing Touchdowns Season

Polymarket

Kalshi

Aaron Rodgers

Polymarket

Kalshi

Baker Mayfield

Polymarket

Kalshi

Bo Nix

Polymarket

Kalshi

Brock Purdy

Polymarket

Kalshi

Bryce Young

Polymarket

Kalshi

C.J. Stroud

Polymarket

Kalshi

Caleb Williams

Polymarket

Kalshi

Dak Prescott

Polymarket

Kalshi

Drake Maye

Polymarket

Kalshi

Fernando Mendoza

Polymarket

Kalshi

Jalen Hurts

Polymarket

Kalshi

Jared Goff

Polymarket

Kalshi

Jaxson Dart

Polymarket

Kalshi

Jayden Daniels

Polymarket

Kalshi

Joe Burrow

Polymarket

Kalshi

Jordan Love

Polymarket

Kalshi

Josh Allen

Polymarket

Kalshi

Justin Herbert

Polymarket

Kalshi

Lamar Jackson

Polymarket

Kalshi

Malik Willis

Polymarket

Kalshi

Matthew Stafford

Polymarket

Kalshi

Patrick Mahomes

Polymarket

Kalshi

Sam Darnold

Polymarket

Kalshi

Trevor Lawrence

Polymarket

Kalshi

Tyler Shough

Polymarket

Kalshi

16.5+ passing TDs

Polymarket