The Prediction Markets

Market comparison

Pro Football: 2026-27 30+ Passing Touchdowns

2 venues · 34 outcome rows · 25 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

26 outcomes · $31K reported volume

Observed 56s ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 27, 2027

89 outcomes · $23K reported volume

Observed 56s ago

Observed 56s ago

Observed 56s ago

Recorded venue end date: Feb 2, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Aaron Rodgers

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

44.5%

Bid 43.0% · Ask 46.0%

Aaron Rodgers

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

62.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 84.0%

Aaron Rodgers

Open Kalshi ↗

75.0%

Bid 73.0% · Ask 97.0%

Aaron Rodgers

Open Kalshi ↗

Baker Mayfield

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

6.3%

Bid 5.2% · Ask 7.3%

Baker Mayfield

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

45.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 85.0%

Baker Mayfield

Open Kalshi ↗

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 85.0%

Baker Mayfield

Open Kalshi ↗

40.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 84.0%

Baker Mayfield

Open Kalshi ↗

Bo Nix

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

10.5%

Bid 9.0% · Ask 12.0%

Bo Nix

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

36.0%

Bid 18.0% · Ask 38.0%

Bo Nix

Open Kalshi ↗

43.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 85.0%

Bo Nix

Open Kalshi ↗

18.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 84.0%

Bo Nix

Open Kalshi ↗

Brock Purdy

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

70.5%

Bid 69.0% · Ask 72.0%

Brock Purdy

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

82.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 97.0%

Brock Purdy

Open Kalshi ↗

97.0%

Bid 73.0% · Ask 97.0%

Brock Purdy

Open Kalshi ↗

77.0%

Bid 64.0% · Ask 83.0%

Brock Purdy

Open Kalshi ↗

Bryce Young

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

47.5%

Bid 46.0% · Ask 49.0%

Bryce Young

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

69.0%

Bid 51.0% · Ask 69.0%

Bryce Young

Open Kalshi ↗

85.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 95.0%

Bryce Young

Open Kalshi ↗

48.0%

Bid 36.0% · Ask 48.0%

Bryce Young

Open Kalshi ↗

C.J. Stroud

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

16.0%

Bid 13.0% · Ask 19.0%

C.J. Stroud

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

59.5%

Bid 34.0% · Ask 85.0%

C.J. Stroud

Open Kalshi ↗

61.0%

Bid 61.0% · Ask 81.0%

C.J. Stroud

Open Kalshi ↗

16.0%

Bid 16.0% · Ask 66.0%

C.J. Stroud

Open Kalshi ↗

Caleb Williams

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

7.0%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 9.0%

Caleb Williams

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

18.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 85.0%

Caleb Williams

Open Kalshi ↗

85.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 85.0%

Caleb Williams

Open Kalshi ↗

9.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 84.0%

Caleb Williams

Open Kalshi ↗

Dak Prescott

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

50.5%

Bid 50.0% · Ask 51.0%

Dak Prescott

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

80.0%

Bid 60.0% · Ask 80.0%

Dak Prescott

Open Kalshi ↗

56.0%

Bid 56.0% · Ask 96.0%

Dak Prescott

Open Kalshi ↗

44.0%

Bid 9.0% · Ask 82.0%

Dak Prescott

Open Kalshi ↗

Drake Maye

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

69.0%

Bid 49.0% · Ask 89.0%

Drake Maye

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

68.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 98.0%

Drake Maye

Open Kalshi ↗

79.0%

Bid 79.0% · Ask 85.0%

Drake Maye

Open Kalshi ↗

64.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 80.0%

Drake Maye

Open Kalshi ↗

Fernando Mendoza

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

1.9%

Bid 0.4% · Ask 3.4%

Fernando Mendoza

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

42.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 85.0%

Fernando Mendoza

Open Kalshi ↗

1.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 85.0%

Fernando Mendoza

Open Kalshi ↗

Jalen Hurts

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

6.0%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 7.0%

Jalen Hurts

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Jalen Hurts

Open Kalshi ↗

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 79.0%

Jalen Hurts

Open Kalshi ↗

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0%

Jalen Hurts

Open Kalshi ↗

Jared Goff

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

75.0%

Bid 73.0% · Ask 77.0%

Jared Goff

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

96.0%

Bid 82.0% · Ask 96.0%

Jared Goff

Open Kalshi ↗

95.0%

Bid 90.0% · Ask 98.0%

Jared Goff

Open Kalshi ↗

65.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 77.0%

Jared Goff

Open Kalshi ↗

Jaxson Dart

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

2.2%

Bid 0.6% · Ask 3.8%

Jaxson Dart

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

40.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 85.0%

Jaxson Dart

Open Kalshi ↗

60.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 85.0%

Jaxson Dart

Open Kalshi ↗

42.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 84.0%

Jaxson Dart

Open Kalshi ↗

Jayden Daniels

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

4.5%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 8.0%

Jayden Daniels

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

10.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 85.0%

Jayden Daniels

Open Kalshi ↗

23.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 85.0%

Jayden Daniels

Open Kalshi ↗

6.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 80.0%

Jayden Daniels

Open Kalshi ↗

Joe Burrow

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

65.5%

Bid 65.0% · Ask 66.0%

Joe Burrow

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

71.0%

Bid 67.0% · Ask 84.0%

Joe Burrow

Open Kalshi ↗

86.0%

Bid 86.0% · Ask 96.0%

Joe Burrow

Open Kalshi ↗

59.0%

Bid 53.0% · Ask 78.0%

Joe Burrow

Open Kalshi ↗

Jordan Love

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

47.0%

Bid 46.0% · Ask 48.0%

Jordan Love

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

84.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 85.0%

Jordan Love

Open Kalshi ↗

86.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 98.0%

Jordan Love

Open Kalshi ↗

78.0%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 83.0%

Jordan Love

Open Kalshi ↗

Josh Allen

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

31.0%

Bid 29.0% · Ask 33.0%

Josh Allen

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

56.0%

Bid 56.0% · Ask 75.0%

Josh Allen

Open Kalshi ↗

79.0%

Bid 78.0% · Ask 85.0%

Josh Allen

Open Kalshi ↗

61.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 61.0%

Josh Allen

Open Kalshi ↗

Justin Herbert

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

5.1%

Bid 2.1% · Ask 8.0%

Justin Herbert

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

10.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 83.0%

Justin Herbert

Open Kalshi ↗

38.0%

Bid 24.0% · Ask 85.0%

Justin Herbert

Open Kalshi ↗

17.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 74.0%

Justin Herbert

Open Kalshi ↗

Lamar Jackson

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

10.0%

Bid 9.0% · Ask 11.0%

Lamar Jackson

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

48.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 85.0%

Lamar Jackson

Open Kalshi ↗

85.0%

Bid 60.0% · Ask 97.0%

Lamar Jackson

Open Kalshi ↗

9.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 75.0%

Lamar Jackson

Open Kalshi ↗

Malik Willis

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

7.5%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 9.0%

Malik Willis

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

22.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 85.0%

Malik Willis

Open Kalshi ↗

15.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 85.0%

Malik Willis

Open Kalshi ↗

Matthew Stafford

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

50.5%

Bid 50.0% · Ask 51.0%

Matthew Stafford

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

73.0%

Bid 59.0% · Ask 75.0%

Matthew Stafford

Open Kalshi ↗

85.0%

Bid 84.0% · Ask 85.0%

Matthew Stafford

Open Kalshi ↗

69.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 69.0%

Matthew Stafford

Open Kalshi ↗

Patrick Mahomes

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

38.5%

Bid 37.0% · Ask 40.0%

Patrick Mahomes

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

65.0%

Bid 64.0% · Ask 85.0%

Patrick Mahomes

Open Kalshi ↗

73.0%

Bid 73.0% · Ask 96.0%

Patrick Mahomes

Open Kalshi ↗

34.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 84.0%

Patrick Mahomes

Open Kalshi ↗

Sam Darnold

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

16.5%

Bid 12.0% · Ask 21.0%

Sam Darnold

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

85.0%

Bid 19.0% · Ask 85.0%

Sam Darnold

Open Kalshi ↗

42.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 85.0%

Sam Darnold

Open Kalshi ↗

17.0%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 49.0%

Sam Darnold

Open Kalshi ↗

Trevor Lawrence

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

67.0%

Bid 66.0% · Ask 68.0%

Trevor Lawrence

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

87.0%

Bid 81.0% · Ask 96.0%

Trevor Lawrence

Open Kalshi ↗

90.0%

Bid 90.0% · Ask 97.0%

Trevor Lawrence

Open Kalshi ↗

61.0%

Bid 56.0% · Ask 75.0%

Trevor Lawrence

Open Kalshi ↗

Tyler Shough

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

40.0%

Bid 39.0% · Ask 41.0%

Tyler Shough

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

61.0%

Bid 61.0% · Ask 81.0%

Tyler Shough

Open Kalshi ↗

84.0%

Bid 79.0% · Ask 85.0%

Tyler Shough

Open Kalshi ↗

Cam Ward

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

7.5%

Bid 7.0% · Ask 8.0%

Cameron Ward

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Cam Ward

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

14.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 14.0%

Cam Ward

Open Kalshi ↗

17.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 30.0%

Cam Ward

Open Kalshi ↗

42.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 85.0%

Cam Ward

Open Kalshi ↗

Daniel Jones

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

42.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 85.0%

Daniel Jones

Open Kalshi ↗

57.0%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 85.0%

Daniel Jones

Open Kalshi ↗

Geno Smith

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

52.0%

Bid 19.0% · Ask 85.0%

Geno Smith

Open Kalshi ↗

85.0%

Bid 49.0% · Ask 85.0%

Geno Smith

Open Kalshi ↗

Jacoby Brissett

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

33.0%

Bid 33.0% · Ask 53.0%

Jacoby Brissett

Open Kalshi ↗

84.0%

Bid 59.0% · Ask 85.0%

Jacoby Brissett

Open Kalshi ↗

Kirk Cousins

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

85.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 85.0%

Kirk Cousins

Open Kalshi ↗

Kyler Murray

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

32.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 85.0%

Kyler Murray

Open Kalshi ↗

81.0%

Bid 15.0% · Ask 81.0%

Kyler Murray

Open Kalshi ↗

13.0%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 84.0%

Kyler Murray

Open Kalshi ↗

Shedeur Sanders

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

9.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 85.0%

Shedeur Sanders

Open Kalshi ↗

83.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 85.0%

Shedeur Sanders

Open Kalshi ↗

Tua Tagovailoa

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

42.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 85.0%

Tua Tagovailoa

Open Kalshi ↗

42.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 85.0%

Tua Tagovailoa

Open Kalshi ↗

42.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 85.0%

Tua Tagovailoa

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.