Market comparison

Pro Football: 2026-27 Passing Touchdowns Leader

2 venues · 51 outcome rows · 31 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

93 outcomes · $144K reported volume

Observed 15s ago

Recorded venue end date: Feb 8, 2027

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

76 outcomes · $34K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 12, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Available outcome prices by venue for Pro Football: 2026-27 Passing Touchdowns Leader
Outcome	Kalshi	Polymarket	Difference
Aaron Rodgers Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	7.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 7.0% Aaron Rodgers Open Kalshi ↗ 62.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 84.0% Aaron Rodgers Open Kalshi ↗ 75.0% Bid 73.0% · Ask 97.0% Aaron Rodgers Open Kalshi ↗	8.9% Bid 0.1% · Ask 17.7% Aaron Rodgers Open Polymarket ↗	—
Bo Nix Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Bo Nix Open Kalshi ↗ 36.0% Bid 18.0% · Ask 38.0% Bo Nix Open Kalshi ↗ 43.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 85.0% Bo Nix Open Kalshi ↗	2.4% Bid 0.1% · Ask 4.6% Bo Nix Open Polymarket ↗	—
Brock Purdy Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	28.0% Bid 27.0% · Ask 31.0% Brock Purdy Open Kalshi ↗ 82.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 97.0% Brock Purdy Open Kalshi ↗ 97.0% Bid 73.0% · Ask 97.0% Brock Purdy Open Kalshi ↗	19.6% Bid 17.1% · Ask 22.0% Brock Purdy Open Polymarket ↗	—
Bryce Young Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	7.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 7.0% Bryce Young Open Kalshi ↗ 69.0% Bid 51.0% · Ask 69.0% Bryce Young Open Kalshi ↗ 85.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 95.0% Bryce Young Open Kalshi ↗	3.7% Bid — · Ask 7.4% Bryce Young Open Polymarket ↗	—
C.J. Stroud Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	2.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% C.J. Stroud Open Kalshi ↗ 59.0% Bid 33.0% · Ask 85.0% C.J. Stroud Open Kalshi ↗ 60.0% Bid 60.0% · Ask 80.0% C.J. Stroud Open Kalshi ↗	3.1% Bid 0.2% · Ask 6.1% C.J. Stroud Open Polymarket ↗	—
Caleb Williams Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	2.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% Caleb Williams Open Kalshi ↗ 18.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 85.0% Caleb Williams Open Kalshi ↗ 85.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 85.0% Caleb Williams Open Kalshi ↗	3.0% Bid 0.2% · Ask 5.8% Caleb Williams Open Polymarket ↗	—
Cam Ward Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Cam Ward Open Kalshi ↗ 15.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 15.0% Cam Ward Open Kalshi ↗ 17.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 30.0% Cam Ward Open Kalshi ↗	0.7% Bid — · Ask 1.3% Cam Ward Open Polymarket ↗	—
Dak Prescott Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% Dak Prescott Open Kalshi ↗ 80.0% Bid 60.0% · Ask 80.0% Dak Prescott Open Kalshi ↗ 56.0% Bid 56.0% · Ask 92.0% Dak Prescott Open Kalshi ↗	6.2% Bid 0.4% · Ask 12.0% Dak Prescott Open Polymarket ↗	—
Daniel Jones Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	0.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Daniel Jones Open Kalshi ↗ 42.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 85.0% Daniel Jones Open Kalshi ↗ 57.0% Bid 4.0% · Ask 85.0% Daniel Jones Open Kalshi ↗	1.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 2.1% Daniel Jones Open Polymarket ↗	—
Drake Maye Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	4.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 5.0% Drake Maye Open Kalshi ↗ 68.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 98.0% Drake Maye Open Kalshi ↗ 79.0% Bid 79.0% · Ask 85.0% Drake Maye Open Kalshi ↗	7.8% Bid 0.1% · Ask 15.5% Drake Maye Open Polymarket ↗	—
Fernando Mendoza Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	42.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 85.0% Fernando Mendoza Open Kalshi ↗ 1.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 85.0% Fernando Mendoza Open Kalshi ↗	0.2% Bid — · Ask 0.4% Fernando Mendoza Open Polymarket ↗	—
Geno Smith Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% Geno Smith Open Kalshi ↗ 52.0% Bid 19.0% · Ask 85.0% Geno Smith Open Kalshi ↗ 85.0% Bid 49.0% · Ask 85.0% Geno Smith Open Kalshi ↗	0.9% Bid — · Ask 1.9% Geno Smith Open Polymarket ↗	—
Jacoby Brissett Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	2.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% Jacoby Brissett Open Kalshi ↗ 34.0% Bid 34.0% · Ask 54.0% Jacoby Brissett Open Kalshi ↗ 84.0% Bid 60.0% · Ask 85.0% Jacoby Brissett Open Kalshi ↗	1.0% Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.9% Jacoby Brissett Open Polymarket ↗	—
Jalen Hurts Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% Jalen Hurts Open Kalshi ↗ 1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Jalen Hurts Open Kalshi ↗ 1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 79.0% Jalen Hurts Open Kalshi ↗	0.7% Bid — · Ask 1.3% Jalen Hurts Open Polymarket ↗	—
Jared Goff Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	19.0% Bid 16.0% · Ask 19.0% Jared Goff Open Kalshi ↗ 96.0% Bid 82.0% · Ask 96.0% Jared Goff Open Kalshi ↗ 95.0% Bid 90.0% · Ask 98.0% Jared Goff Open Kalshi ↗	18.0% Bid 17.0% · Ask 19.0% Jared Goff Open Polymarket ↗	—
Jaxson Dart Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	40.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 85.0% Jaxson Dart Open Kalshi ↗ 60.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 85.0% Jaxson Dart Open Kalshi ↗	4.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 7.1% Jaxson Dart Open Polymarket ↗	—
Jayden Daniels Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% Jayden Daniels Open Kalshi ↗ 10.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 85.0% Jayden Daniels Open Kalshi ↗ 23.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 85.0% Jayden Daniels Open Kalshi ↗	1.8% Bid 0.1% · Ask 3.4% Jayden Daniels Open Polymarket ↗	—
Joe Burrow Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	17.0% Bid 13.0% · Ask 17.0% Joe Burrow Open Kalshi ↗ 71.0% Bid 67.0% · Ask 84.0% Joe Burrow Open Kalshi ↗ 86.0% Bid 86.0% · Ask 96.0% Joe Burrow Open Kalshi ↗	14.5% Bid 13.0% · Ask 16.0% Joe Burrow Open Polymarket ↗	—
Jordan Love Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	7.0% Bid 5.0% · Ask 8.0% Jordan Love Open Kalshi ↗ 84.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 85.0% Jordan Love Open Kalshi ↗ 86.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 98.0% Jordan Love Open Kalshi ↗	4.3% Bid 0.3% · Ask 8.2% Jordan Love Open Polymarket ↗	—
Josh Allen Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	3.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 3.0% Josh Allen Open Kalshi ↗ 56.0% Bid 56.0% · Ask 75.0% Josh Allen Open Kalshi ↗ 79.0% Bid 78.0% · Ask 85.0% Josh Allen Open Kalshi ↗	3.1% Bid 1.9% · Ask 4.4% Josh Allen Open Polymarket ↗	—
Justin Herbert Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% Justin Herbert Open Kalshi ↗ 10.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 84.0% Justin Herbert Open Kalshi ↗ 38.0% Bid 24.0% · Ask 85.0% Justin Herbert Open Kalshi ↗	2.5% Bid 0.2% · Ask 4.8% Justin Herbert Open Polymarket ↗	—
Kirk Cousins Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	85.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 85.0% Kirk Cousins Open Kalshi ↗	8.0% Bid 5.0% · Ask 11.0% Kirk Cousins Open Polymarket ↗	77.0 pp
Kyler Murray Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	32.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 85.0% Kyler Murray Open Kalshi ↗ 81.0% Bid 15.0% · Ask 81.0% Kyler Murray Open Kalshi ↗	7.9% Bid 0.3% · Ask 15.5% Kyler Murray Open Polymarket ↗	—
Lamar Jackson Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	2.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% Lamar Jackson Open Kalshi ↗ 48.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 85.0% Lamar Jackson Open Kalshi ↗ 85.0% Bid 60.0% · Ask 97.0% Lamar Jackson Open Kalshi ↗	0.9% Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.6% Lamar Jackson Open Polymarket ↗	—
Malik Willis Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Malik Willis Open Kalshi ↗ 22.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 85.0% Malik Willis Open Kalshi ↗ 15.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 85.0% Malik Willis Open Kalshi ↗	0.3% Bid — · Ask 0.5% Malik Willis Open Polymarket ↗	—
Matthew Stafford Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	5.0% Bid 3.0% · Ask 8.0% Matthew Stafford Open Kalshi ↗ 73.0% Bid 59.0% · Ask 75.0% Matthew Stafford Open Kalshi ↗ 85.0% Bid 84.0% · Ask 85.0% Matthew Stafford Open Kalshi ↗	8.5% Bid 7.0% · Ask 10.0% Matthew Stafford Open Polymarket ↗	—
Patrick Mahomes Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	4.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 5.0% Patrick Mahomes Open Kalshi ↗ 65.0% Bid 64.0% · Ask 85.0% Patrick Mahomes Open Kalshi ↗ 73.0% Bid 73.0% · Ask 96.0% Patrick Mahomes Open Kalshi ↗	10.5% Bid 7.2% · Ask 13.9% Patrick Mahomes Open Polymarket ↗	—
Sam Darnold Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% Sam Darnold Open Kalshi ↗ 85.0% Bid 19.0% · Ask 85.0% Sam Darnold Open Kalshi ↗ 42.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 85.0% Sam Darnold Open Kalshi ↗	3.0% Bid 0.1% · Ask 5.9% Sam Darnold Open Polymarket ↗	—
Shedeur Sanders Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Shedeur Sanders Open Kalshi ↗ 9.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 85.0% Shedeur Sanders Open Kalshi ↗ 83.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 85.0% Shedeur Sanders Open Kalshi ↗	0.2% Bid — · Ask 0.4% Shedeur Sanders Open Polymarket ↗	—
Trevor Lawrence Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	5.0% Bid 5.0% · Ask 6.0% Trevor Lawrence Open Kalshi ↗ 87.0% Bid 81.0% · Ask 96.0% Trevor Lawrence Open Kalshi ↗ 90.0% Bid 90.0% · Ask 97.0% Trevor Lawrence Open Kalshi ↗	10.9% Bid 10.0% · Ask 11.9% Trevor Lawrence Open Polymarket ↗	—
Tyler Shough Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	2.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 3.0% Tyler Shough Open Kalshi ↗ 61.0% Bid 61.0% · Ask 81.0% Tyler Shough Open Kalshi ↗ 84.0% Bid 79.0% · Ask 85.0% Tyler Shough Open Kalshi ↗	1.6% Bid 0.3% · Ask 2.8% Tyler Shough Open Polymarket ↗	—
Baker Mayfield Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% Baker Mayfield Open Kalshi ↗ 45.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 85.0% Baker Mayfield Open Kalshi ↗ 2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 85.0% Baker Mayfield Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Carson Beck Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.8% Bid — · Ask 1.6% Carson Beck Open Polymarket ↗	—
Deshaun Watson Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.9% Bid — · Ask 1.9% Deshaun Watson Open Polymarket ↗	—
JJ McCarthy Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	2.2% Bid 0.2% · Ask 4.2% JJ McCarthy Open Polymarket ↗	—
Michael Penix Jr. Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.5% Bid — · Ask 2.9% Michael Penix Jr. Open Polymarket ↗	—
Player AA Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Player AA · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Player AB Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Player AB · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Player AC Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Player AC · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Player AD Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Player AD · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Player AE Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Player AE · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Player AF Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Player AF · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Player AG Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Player AG · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Player AH Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Player AH · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Player AI Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Player AI · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Player AJ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Player AJ · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Player AK Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Player AK · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Player AL Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Player AL · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Player AM Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Player AM · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Player AN Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Player AN · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Tua Tagovailoa Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	42.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 85.0% Tua Tagovailoa Open Kalshi ↗ 42.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 85.0% Tua Tagovailoa Open Kalshi ↗	—	—

Aaron Rodgers

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

7.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 7.0%

Aaron Rodgers

Pro Football: 2026-27 Passing Touchdowns Leader

Kalshi

Polymarket

Aaron Rodgers

Kalshi

Polymarket

Bo Nix

Kalshi

Polymarket

Brock Purdy

Kalshi

Polymarket

Bryce Young

Kalshi

Polymarket

C.J. Stroud

Kalshi

Polymarket

Caleb Williams

Kalshi

Polymarket

Cam Ward

Kalshi

Polymarket

Dak Prescott

Kalshi

Polymarket

Daniel Jones

Kalshi

Polymarket

Drake Maye

Kalshi

Polymarket

Fernando Mendoza

Kalshi

Polymarket

Geno Smith

Kalshi

Polymarket

Jacoby Brissett

Kalshi

Polymarket

Jalen Hurts

Kalshi

Polymarket

Jared Goff

Kalshi

Polymarket

Jaxson Dart

Kalshi

Polymarket

Jayden Daniels

Kalshi

Polymarket

Joe Burrow

Kalshi

Polymarket

Jordan Love

Kalshi

Polymarket

Josh Allen

Kalshi

Polymarket

Justin Herbert

Kalshi

Polymarket

Kirk Cousins

Kalshi

Polymarket

Kyler Murray

Kalshi

Polymarket

Lamar Jackson

Kalshi

Polymarket

Malik Willis

Kalshi

Polymarket

Matthew Stafford

Kalshi