Market comparison

Pro Football: 30+ Passing Touchdowns Season

2 venues · 39 outcome rows · 21 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

36 outcomes · $47K reported volume

Observed 40s ago

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 27, 2027

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

24 outcomes · $6K reported volume

Observed 40s ago

Recorded venue end date: Feb 2, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Available outcome prices by venue for Pro Football: 30+ Passing Touchdowns Season
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Baker Mayfield Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	6.3% Bid 5.2% · Ask 7.3% Baker Mayfield Open Polymarket ↗	40.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 82.0% Baker Mayfield Open Kalshi ↗	33.8 pp
Bo Nix Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	10.5% Bid 9.0% · Ask 12.0% Bo Nix Open Polymarket ↗	18.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 84.0% Bo Nix Open Kalshi ↗	7.5 pp
Brock Purdy Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	72.5% Bid 71.0% · Ask 74.0% Brock Purdy Open Polymarket ↗	77.0% Bid 64.0% · Ask 83.0% Brock Purdy Open Kalshi ↗	4.5 pp
Bryce Young Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	47.5% Bid 46.0% · Ask 49.0% Bryce Young Open Polymarket ↗	49.0% Bid 36.0% · Ask 50.0% Bryce Young Open Kalshi ↗	1.5 pp
C.J. Stroud Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	17.0% Bid 15.0% · Ask 19.0% C.J. Stroud Open Polymarket ↗	16.0% Bid 14.0% · Ask 69.0% C.J. Stroud Open Kalshi ↗	1.0 pp
Caleb Williams Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	7.0% Bid 5.0% · Ask 9.0% Caleb Williams Open Polymarket ↗	9.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 84.0% Caleb Williams Open Kalshi ↗	2.0 pp
Dak Prescott Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	53.5% Bid 52.0% · Ask 55.0% Dak Prescott Open Polymarket ↗	44.0% Bid 19.0% · Ask 84.0% Dak Prescott Open Kalshi ↗	9.5 pp
Drake Maye Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	41.5% Bid 38.0% · Ask 45.0% Drake Maye Open Polymarket ↗	62.0% Bid 34.0% · Ask 62.0% Drake Maye Open Kalshi ↗	20.5 pp
Jalen Hurts Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	6.0% Bid 5.0% · Ask 7.0% Jalen Hurts Open Polymarket ↗	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% Jalen Hurts Open Kalshi ↗	5.0 pp
Jared Goff Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	75.0% Bid 73.0% · Ask 77.0% Jared Goff Open Polymarket ↗	65.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 75.0% Jared Goff Open Kalshi ↗	10.0 pp
Jaxson Dart Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	2.2% Bid 0.6% · Ask 3.8% Jaxson Dart Open Polymarket ↗	42.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 84.0% Jaxson Dart Open Kalshi ↗	39.8 pp
Jayden Daniels Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	4.7% Bid 1.4% · Ask 7.9% Jayden Daniels Open Polymarket ↗	6.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 80.0% Jayden Daniels Open Kalshi ↗	1.3 pp
Joe Burrow Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	65.5% Bid 65.0% · Ask 66.0% Joe Burrow Open Polymarket ↗	59.0% Bid 53.0% · Ask 78.0% Joe Burrow Open Kalshi ↗	6.5 pp
Jordan Love Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	46.5% Bid 44.0% · Ask 49.0% Jordan Love Open Polymarket ↗	78.0% Bid 9.0% · Ask 84.0% Jordan Love Open Kalshi ↗	31.5 pp
Josh Allen Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	30.5% Bid 28.0% · Ask 33.0% Josh Allen Open Polymarket ↗	66.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 66.0% Josh Allen Open Kalshi ↗	35.5 pp
Justin Herbert Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	5.1% Bid 2.2% · Ask 8.0% Justin Herbert Open Polymarket ↗	17.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 74.0% Justin Herbert Open Kalshi ↗	11.9 pp
Lamar Jackson Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	10.5% Bid 10.0% · Ask 11.0% Lamar Jackson Open Polymarket ↗	31.0% Bid 9.0% · Ask 78.0% Lamar Jackson Open Kalshi ↗	20.5 pp
Matthew Stafford Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	52.0% Bid 50.0% · Ask 54.0% Matthew Stafford Open Polymarket ↗	75.0% Bid 29.0% · Ask 75.0% Matthew Stafford Open Kalshi ↗	23.0 pp
Patrick Mahomes Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	37.5% Bid 36.0% · Ask 39.0% Patrick Mahomes Open Polymarket ↗	34.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 84.0% Patrick Mahomes Open Kalshi ↗	3.5 pp
Sam Darnold Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	14.5% Bid 12.0% · Ask 17.0% Sam Darnold Open Polymarket ↗	17.0% Bid 6.0% · Ask 58.0% Sam Darnold Open Kalshi ↗	2.5 pp
Trevor Lawrence Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	67.0% Bid 66.0% · Ask 68.0% Trevor Lawrence Open Polymarket ↗	61.0% Bid 53.0% · Ask 74.0% Trevor Lawrence Open Kalshi ↗	6.0 pp
16.5+ passing TDs Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	89.5% Bid 87.0% · Ask 92.0% 16.5+ passing TDs Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
18.5+ passing TDs Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	61.0% Bid 60.0% · Ask 62.0% 18.5+ passing TDs Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
19.5+ passing TDs Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	74.5% Bid 73.0% · Ask 76.0% 19.5+ passing TDs Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
21.5+ passing TDs Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	42.5% Bid 41.0% · Ask 44.0% 21.5+ passing TDs Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
22.5+ passing TDs Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	49.5% Bid 48.0% · Ask 51.0% 22.5+ passing TDs Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
24.5+ passing TDs Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	30.5% Bid 30.0% · Ask 31.0% 24.5+ passing TDs Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
25.5+ passing TDs Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	28.0% Bid 27.0% · Ask 29.0% 25.5+ passing TDs Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
27.5+ passing TDs Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	14.0% Bid 11.0% · Ask 17.0% 27.5+ passing TDs Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
28.5+ passing TDs Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	18.0% Bid 15.0% · Ask 21.0% 28.5+ passing TDs Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
30.5+ passing TDs Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.8% Bid 0.3% · Ask 3.4% 30.5+ passing TDs Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Aaron Rodgers Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	46.0% Bid 44.0% · Ask 48.0% Aaron Rodgers Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Cameron Ward Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	7.5% Bid 7.0% · Ask 8.0% Cameron Ward Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Cameron Ward Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	42.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 85.0% Cam Ward Open Kalshi ↗	—
Fernando Mendoza Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.9% Bid 0.4% · Ask 3.4% Fernando Mendoza Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Kyler Murray Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	13.0% Bid 4.0% · Ask 84.0% Kyler Murray Open Kalshi ↗	—
Malik Willis Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	7.5% Bid 6.0% · Ask 9.0% Malik Willis Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Tua Tagovailoa Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	42.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 85.0% Tua Tagovailoa Open Kalshi ↗	—
Tyler Shough Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	39.5% Bid 38.0% · Ask 41.0% Tyler Shough Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Baker Mayfield

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

6.3%

Bid 5.2% · Ask 7.3%

Baker Mayfield

Pro Football: 30+ Passing Touchdowns Season

Polymarket

Kalshi

Baker Mayfield

Polymarket

Kalshi

Bo Nix

Polymarket

Kalshi

Brock Purdy

Polymarket

Kalshi

Bryce Young

Polymarket

Kalshi

C.J. Stroud

Polymarket

Kalshi

Caleb Williams

Polymarket

Kalshi

Dak Prescott

Polymarket

Kalshi

Drake Maye

Polymarket

Kalshi

Jalen Hurts

Polymarket

Kalshi

Jared Goff

Polymarket

Kalshi

Jaxson Dart

Polymarket

Kalshi

Jayden Daniels

Polymarket

Kalshi

Joe Burrow

Polymarket

Kalshi

Jordan Love

Polymarket

Kalshi

Josh Allen

Polymarket

Kalshi

Justin Herbert

Polymarket

Kalshi

Lamar Jackson

Polymarket

Kalshi

Matthew Stafford

Polymarket

Kalshi

Patrick Mahomes

Polymarket

Kalshi

Sam Darnold

Polymarket

Kalshi

Trevor Lawrence

Polymarket

Kalshi

16.5+ passing TDs

Polymarket

Kalshi

18.5+ passing TDs

Polymarket

Kalshi

19.5+ passing TDs

Polymarket

Kalshi

21.5+ passing TDs

Polymarket

Kalshi

22.5+ passing TDs

Polymarket