The Prediction Markets

Market comparison

Pro Football: 35+ Passing Touchdowns Season

2 venues · 36 outcome rows · 16 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

36 outcomes · $47K reported volume

Observed 53s ago

Observed 5m ago

Observed 53s ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 27, 2027

16 outcomes · $2K reported volume

Observed 53s ago

Recorded venue end date: Feb 2, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Baker Mayfield

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

6.3%

Bid 5.2% · Ask 7.3%

Baker Mayfield

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

13.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 85.0%

Baker Mayfield

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 6.8 pp

Bo Nix

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

10.5%

Bid 9.0% · Ask 12.0%

Bo Nix

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

3.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 13.0%

Bo Nix

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 7.5 pp

Brock Purdy

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

72.5%

Bid 71.0% · Ask 74.0%

Brock Purdy

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

54.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 85.0%

Brock Purdy

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 18.5 pp

Caleb Williams

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

7.0%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 9.0%

Caleb Williams

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

16.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 16.0%

Caleb Williams

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 9.0 pp

Dak Prescott

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

52.5%

Bid 50.0% · Ask 55.0%

Dak Prescott

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

18.0%

Bid 11.0% · Ask 31.0%

Dak Prescott

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 34.5 pp

Drake Maye

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

42.0%

Bid 39.0% · Ask 45.0%

Drake Maye

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

11.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 82.0%

Drake Maye

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 31.0 pp

Jalen Hurts

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

6.0%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 7.0%

Jalen Hurts

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0%

Jalen Hurts

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 4.0 pp

Jared Goff

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

74.5%

Bid 73.0% · Ask 76.0%

Jared Goff

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

49.0%

Bid 34.0% · Ask 54.0%

Jared Goff

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 25.5 pp

Jayden Daniels

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

4.7%

Bid 1.4% · Ask 7.9%

Jayden Daniels

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

42.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 85.0%

Jayden Daniels

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 37.9 pp

Joe Burrow

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

65.5%

Bid 65.0% · Ask 66.0%

Joe Burrow

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

27.0%

Bid 27.0% · Ask 47.0%

Joe Burrow

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 38.5 pp

Jordan Love

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

45.5%

Bid 44.0% · Ask 47.0%

Jordan Love

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

29.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 81.0%

Jordan Love

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 16.5 pp

Josh Allen

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

31.0%

Bid 29.0% · Ask 33.0%

Josh Allen

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

17.0%

Bid 7.0% · Ask 27.0%

Josh Allen

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 14.0 pp

Justin Herbert

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

5.1%

Bid 2.2% · Ask 8.0%

Justin Herbert

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

4.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 10.0%

Justin Herbert

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 1.1 pp

Lamar Jackson

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

10.5%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 11.0%

Lamar Jackson

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

42.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 85.0%

Lamar Jackson

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 32.0 pp

Matthew Stafford

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

51.0%

Bid 50.0% · Ask 52.0%

Matthew Stafford

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

29.0%

Bid 9.0% · Ask 29.0%

Matthew Stafford

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 22.0 pp

Patrick Mahomes

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

37.0%

Bid 36.0% · Ask 38.0%

Patrick Mahomes

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

23.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 23.0%

Patrick Mahomes

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 14.0 pp

16.5+ passing TDs

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

89.5%

Bid 87.0% · Ask 92.0%

16.5+ passing TDs

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

18.5+ passing TDs

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

61.5%

Bid 61.0% · Ask 62.0%

18.5+ passing TDs

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

19.5+ passing TDs

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

74.0%

Bid 72.0% · Ask 76.0%

19.5+ passing TDs

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

21.5+ passing TDs

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

42.5%

Bid 41.0% · Ask 44.0%

21.5+ passing TDs

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

22.5+ passing TDs

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 49.0% · Ask 51.0%

22.5+ passing TDs

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

24.5+ passing TDs

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

30.5%

Bid 30.0% · Ask 31.0%

24.5+ passing TDs

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

25.5+ passing TDs

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

28.0%

Bid 27.0% · Ask 29.0%

25.5+ passing TDs

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

27.5+ passing TDs

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

14.0%

Bid 11.0% · Ask 17.0%

27.5+ passing TDs

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

28.5+ passing TDs

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

18.0%

Bid 15.0% · Ask 21.0%

28.5+ passing TDs

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

30.5+ passing TDs

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.9%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 3.5%

30.5+ passing TDs

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Aaron Rodgers

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

46.5%

Bid 45.0% · Ask 48.0%

Aaron Rodgers

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Bryce Young

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

47.5%

Bid 46.0% · Ask 49.0%

Bryce Young

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

C.J. Stroud

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

17.0%

Bid 15.0% · Ask 19.0%

C.J. Stroud

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Cameron Ward

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

7.5%

Bid 7.0% · Ask 8.0%

Cameron Ward

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Fernando Mendoza

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.9%

Bid 0.4% · Ask 3.4%

Fernando Mendoza

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Jaxson Dart

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.2%

Bid 0.6% · Ask 3.8%

Jaxson Dart

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Malik Willis

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

7.5%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 9.0%

Malik Willis

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Sam Darnold

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

16.0%

Bid 14.0% · Ask 18.0%

Sam Darnold

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Trevor Lawrence

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

67.0%

Bid 66.0% · Ask 68.0%

Trevor Lawrence

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Tyler Shough

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

39.5%

Bid 38.0% · Ask 41.0%

Tyler Shough

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.