Market comparison

Pro Football: 40+ Passing Touchdowns Season

2 venues · 36 outcome rows · 10 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

36 outcomes · $47K reported volume

Observed 39s ago

Observed 6m ago

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 27, 2027

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

10 outcomes · $10K reported volume

Observed 2m ago

Recorded venue end date: Feb 2, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Available outcome prices by venue for Pro Football: 40+ Passing Touchdowns Season
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Baker Mayfield Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	6.3% Bid 5.2% · Ask 7.3% Baker Mayfield Open Polymarket ↗	7.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 81.0% Baker Mayfield Open Kalshi ↗	0.8 pp
Brock Purdy Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	71.5% Bid 71.0% · Ask 72.0% Brock Purdy Open Polymarket ↗	48.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 85.0% Brock Purdy Open Kalshi ↗	23.5 pp
Dak Prescott Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	50.5% Bid 49.0% · Ask 52.0% Dak Prescott Open Polymarket ↗	13.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 13.0% Dak Prescott Open Kalshi ↗	37.5 pp
Drake Maye Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	63.0% Bid 48.0% · Ask 78.0% Drake Maye Open Polymarket ↗	49.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 81.0% Drake Maye Open Kalshi ↗	14.0 pp
Jared Goff Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	75.0% Bid 73.0% · Ask 77.0% Jared Goff Open Polymarket ↗	19.0% Bid 16.0% · Ask 20.0% Jared Goff Open Kalshi ↗	56.0 pp
Joe Burrow Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	65.5% Bid 65.0% · Ask 66.0% Joe Burrow Open Polymarket ↗	14.0% Bid 11.0% · Ask 30.0% Joe Burrow Open Kalshi ↗	51.5 pp
Josh Allen Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	31.0% Bid 29.0% · Ask 33.0% Josh Allen Open Polymarket ↗	17.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 17.0% Josh Allen Open Kalshi ↗	14.0 pp
Justin Herbert Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	5.1% Bid 2.1% · Ask 8.0% Justin Herbert Open Polymarket ↗	10.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 10.0% Justin Herbert Open Kalshi ↗	5.0 pp
Lamar Jackson Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	10.0% Bid 9.0% · Ask 11.0% Lamar Jackson Open Polymarket ↗	40.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 81.0% Lamar Jackson Open Kalshi ↗	30.5 pp
Patrick Mahomes Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	38.5% Bid 37.0% · Ask 40.0% Patrick Mahomes Open Polymarket ↗	2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 15.0% Patrick Mahomes Open Kalshi ↗	36.5 pp
16.5+ passing TDs Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	89.0% Bid 87.0% · Ask 91.0% 16.5+ passing TDs Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
18.5+ passing TDs Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	61.5% Bid 61.0% · Ask 62.0% 18.5+ passing TDs Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
19.5+ passing TDs Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	74.0% Bid 72.0% · Ask 76.0% 19.5+ passing TDs Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
21.5+ passing TDs Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	40.5% Bid 39.0% · Ask 42.0% 21.5+ passing TDs Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
22.5+ passing TDs Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 49.0% · Ask 51.0% 22.5+ passing TDs Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
24.5+ passing TDs Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	30.5% Bid 30.0% · Ask 31.0% 24.5+ passing TDs Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
25.5+ passing TDs Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	28.0% Bid 27.0% · Ask 29.0% 25.5+ passing TDs Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
27.5+ passing TDs Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	13.5% Bid 11.0% · Ask 16.0% 27.5+ passing TDs Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
28.5+ passing TDs Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	18.0% Bid 15.0% · Ask 21.0% 28.5+ passing TDs Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
30.5+ passing TDs Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.7% Bid 0.3% · Ask 3.0% 30.5+ passing TDs Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Aaron Rodgers Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	44.0% Bid 43.0% · Ask 45.0% Aaron Rodgers Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Bo Nix Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	10.5% Bid 9.0% · Ask 12.0% Bo Nix Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Bryce Young Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	47.5% Bid 46.0% · Ask 49.0% Bryce Young Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
C.J. Stroud Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	16.5% Bid 14.0% · Ask 19.0% C.J. Stroud Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Caleb Williams Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	7.0% Bid 5.0% · Ask 9.0% Caleb Williams Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Cameron Ward Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	7.5% Bid 7.0% · Ask 8.0% Cameron Ward Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Fernando Mendoza Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.9% Bid 0.4% · Ask 3.4% Fernando Mendoza Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Jalen Hurts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.0% Bid 5.0% · Ask 7.0% Jalen Hurts Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Jaxson Dart Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.2% Bid 0.6% · Ask 3.8% Jaxson Dart Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Jayden Daniels Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.6% Bid 1.2% · Ask 8.0% Jayden Daniels Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Jordan Love Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	46.0% Bid 44.0% · Ask 48.0% Jordan Love Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Malik Willis Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	7.5% Bid 6.0% · Ask 9.0% Malik Willis Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Matthew Stafford Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.5% Bid 50.0% · Ask 51.0% Matthew Stafford Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Sam Darnold Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	16.0% Bid 12.0% · Ask 20.0% Sam Darnold Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Trevor Lawrence Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	67.0% Bid 66.0% · Ask 68.0% Trevor Lawrence Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Tyler Shough Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	40.0% Bid 39.0% · Ask 41.0% Tyler Shough Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Baker Mayfield

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

6.3%

Bid 5.2% · Ask 7.3%

Baker Mayfield

Pro Football: 40+ Passing Touchdowns Season

Polymarket

Kalshi

Baker Mayfield

Polymarket

Kalshi

Brock Purdy

Polymarket

Kalshi

Dak Prescott

Polymarket

Kalshi

Drake Maye

Polymarket

Kalshi

Jared Goff

Polymarket

Kalshi

Joe Burrow

Polymarket

Kalshi

Josh Allen

Polymarket

Kalshi

Justin Herbert

Polymarket

Kalshi

Lamar Jackson

Polymarket

Kalshi

Patrick Mahomes

Polymarket

Kalshi

16.5+ passing TDs

Polymarket

Kalshi

18.5+ passing TDs

Polymarket

Kalshi

19.5+ passing TDs

Polymarket

Kalshi

21.5+ passing TDs

Polymarket

Kalshi

22.5+ passing TDs

Polymarket

Kalshi

24.5+ passing TDs

Polymarket

Kalshi

25.5+ passing TDs

Polymarket

Kalshi

27.5+ passing TDs

Polymarket

Kalshi

28.5+ passing TDs

Polymarket

Kalshi

30.5+ passing TDs

Polymarket

Kalshi

Aaron Rodgers

Polymarket

Kalshi

Bo Nix

Polymarket

Kalshi

Bryce Young

Polymarket

Kalshi

C.J. Stroud

Polymarket

Kalshi

Caleb Williams

Polymarket

Kalshi

Cameron Ward

Polymarket