Market comparison

Pro Football Passing Touchdowns Leader

2 venues · 72 outcome rows · 28 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

28 outcomes · $127K reported volume

Observed 37s ago

Recorded venue end date: Feb 8, 2027

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

164 outcomes · $72K reported volume

Observed 37s ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 12, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Available outcome prices by venue for Pro Football Passing Touchdowns Leader
Outcome	Kalshi	Polymarket	Difference
Aaron Rodgers Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	3.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 3.0% Aaron Rodgers Open Kalshi ↗	8.9% Bid 0.1% · Ask 17.7% Aaron Rodgers Open Polymarket ↗ 46.5% Bid 45.0% · Ask 48.0% Aaron Rodgers Open Polymarket ↗	—
Baker Mayfield Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% Baker Mayfield Open Kalshi ↗	6.3% Bid 5.2% · Ask 7.3% Baker Mayfield Open Polymarket ↗	4.3 pp
Bo Nix Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Bo Nix Open Kalshi ↗	2.4% Bid 0.1% · Ask 4.7% Bo Nix Open Polymarket ↗ 10.5% Bid 9.0% · Ask 12.0% Bo Nix Open Polymarket ↗	—
Brock Purdy Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	28.0% Bid 27.0% · Ask 30.0% Brock Purdy Open Kalshi ↗	19.1% Bid 16.3% · Ask 22.0% Brock Purdy Open Polymarket ↗ 71.0% Bid 69.0% · Ask 73.0% Brock Purdy Open Polymarket ↗	—
Bryce Young Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	7.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 7.0% Bryce Young Open Kalshi ↗	3.7% Bid — · Ask 7.4% Bryce Young Open Polymarket ↗ 47.5% Bid 46.0% · Ask 49.0% Bryce Young Open Polymarket ↗	—
C.J. Stroud Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	2.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% C.J. Stroud Open Kalshi ↗	3.1% Bid 0.2% · Ask 6.1% C.J. Stroud Open Polymarket ↗ 17.0% Bid 15.0% · Ask 19.0% C.J. Stroud Open Polymarket ↗	—
Caleb Williams Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	2.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% Caleb Williams Open Kalshi ↗	3.0% Bid 0.2% · Ask 5.9% Caleb Williams Open Polymarket ↗ 7.0% Bid 5.0% · Ask 9.0% Caleb Williams Open Polymarket ↗	—
Cam Ward Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Cam Ward Open Kalshi ↗	0.7% Bid — · Ask 1.3% Cam Ward Open Polymarket ↗	0.4 pp
Dak Prescott Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	3.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0% Dak Prescott Open Kalshi ↗	6.2% Bid 0.4% · Ask 11.9% Dak Prescott Open Polymarket ↗ 52.0% Bid 50.0% · Ask 54.0% Dak Prescott Open Polymarket ↗	—
Daniel Jones Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	0.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Daniel Jones Open Kalshi ↗	1.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 2.1% Daniel Jones Open Polymarket ↗	0.6 pp
Drake Maye Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	3.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0% Drake Maye Open Kalshi ↗	7.8% Bid 0.2% · Ask 15.5% Drake Maye Open Polymarket ↗ 40.5% Bid 38.0% · Ask 43.0% Drake Maye Open Polymarket ↗	—
Geno Smith Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% Geno Smith Open Kalshi ↗	0.9% Bid — · Ask 1.9% Geno Smith Open Polymarket ↗	1.1 pp
Jacoby Brissett Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	2.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% Jacoby Brissett Open Kalshi ↗	1.0% Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.9% Jacoby Brissett Open Polymarket ↗	1.0 pp
Jalen Hurts Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% Jalen Hurts Open Kalshi ↗	0.7% Bid — · Ask 1.3% Jalen Hurts Open Polymarket ↗ 6.0% Bid 5.0% · Ask 7.0% Jalen Hurts Open Polymarket ↗	—
Jared Goff Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	19.0% Bid 17.0% · Ask 19.0% Jared Goff Open Kalshi ↗	18.0% Bid 17.0% · Ask 19.0% Jared Goff Open Polymarket ↗ 75.0% Bid 73.0% · Ask 77.0% Jared Goff Open Polymarket ↗	—
Jayden Daniels Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% Jayden Daniels Open Kalshi ↗	1.5% Bid 0.1% · Ask 2.8% Jayden Daniels Open Polymarket ↗ 4.7% Bid 1.4% · Ask 7.9% Jayden Daniels Open Polymarket ↗	—
Joe Burrow Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	18.0% Bid 13.0% · Ask 19.0% Joe Burrow Open Kalshi ↗	14.5% Bid 13.0% · Ask 16.0% Joe Burrow Open Polymarket ↗ 65.5% Bid 65.0% · Ask 66.0% Joe Burrow Open Polymarket ↗	—
Jordan Love Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	7.0% Bid 5.0% · Ask 8.0% Jordan Love Open Kalshi ↗	3.0% Bid 0.3% · Ask 5.8% Jordan Love Open Polymarket ↗ 46.0% Bid 44.0% · Ask 48.0% Jordan Love Open Polymarket ↗	—
Josh Allen Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	3.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 3.0% Josh Allen Open Kalshi ↗	2.8% Bid 1.1% · Ask 4.4% Josh Allen Open Polymarket ↗ 31.0% Bid 29.0% · Ask 33.0% Josh Allen Open Polymarket ↗	—
Justin Herbert Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% Justin Herbert Open Kalshi ↗	2.9% Bid 0.2% · Ask 5.5% Justin Herbert Open Polymarket ↗ 5.1% Bid 2.1% · Ask 8.0% Justin Herbert Open Polymarket ↗	—
Lamar Jackson Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	2.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% Lamar Jackson Open Kalshi ↗	1.1% Bid 0.2% · Ask 2.0% Lamar Jackson Open Polymarket ↗ 10.5% Bid 10.0% · Ask 11.0% Lamar Jackson Open Polymarket ↗	—
Malik Willis Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Malik Willis Open Kalshi ↗	0.3% Bid — · Ask 0.5% Malik Willis Open Polymarket ↗ 7.5% Bid 6.0% · Ask 9.0% Malik Willis Open Polymarket ↗	—
Matthew Stafford Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	5.0% Bid 3.0% · Ask 6.0% Matthew Stafford Open Kalshi ↗	8.5% Bid 7.0% · Ask 10.0% Matthew Stafford Open Polymarket ↗ 51.0% Bid 50.0% · Ask 52.0% Matthew Stafford Open Polymarket ↗	—
Patrick Mahomes Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	4.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 5.0% Patrick Mahomes Open Kalshi ↗	9.2% Bid 7.1% · Ask 11.3% Patrick Mahomes Open Polymarket ↗ 38.5% Bid 37.0% · Ask 40.0% Patrick Mahomes Open Polymarket ↗	—
Sam Darnold Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% Sam Darnold Open Kalshi ↗	3.0% Bid 0.1% · Ask 6.0% Sam Darnold Open Polymarket ↗ 15.5% Bid 12.0% · Ask 19.0% Sam Darnold Open Polymarket ↗	—
Shedeur Sanders Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Shedeur Sanders Open Kalshi ↗	0.2% Bid — · Ask 0.4% Shedeur Sanders Open Polymarket ↗	0.8 pp
Trevor Lawrence Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	5.0% Bid 5.0% · Ask 6.0% Trevor Lawrence Open Kalshi ↗	10.6% Bid 10.0% · Ask 11.2% Trevor Lawrence Open Polymarket ↗ 67.0% Bid 66.0% · Ask 68.0% Trevor Lawrence Open Polymarket ↗	—
Tyler Shough Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	2.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 3.0% Tyler Shough Open Kalshi ↗	1.7% Bid 0.3% · Ask 3.1% Tyler Shough Open Polymarket ↗ 39.0% Bid 37.0% · Ask 41.0% Tyler Shough Open Polymarket ↗	—
A.J. Brown Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	3.1% Bid 0.2% · Ask 6.1% A.J. Brown Open Polymarket ↗	—
Amon-Ra St. Brown Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	13.5% Bid 13.0% · Ask 14.0% Amon-Ra St. Brown Open Polymarket ↗	—
Brock Bowers Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	3.1% Bid 0.2% · Ask 6.1% Brock Bowers Open Polymarket ↗	—
Cam Ward Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	7.5% Bid 7.0% · Ask 8.0% Cameron Ward Open Polymarket ↗	—
Carson Beck Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.8% Bid — · Ask 1.6% Carson Beck Open Polymarket ↗	—
CeeDee Lamb Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	7.7% Bid 1.9% · Ask 13.5% CeeDee Lamb Open Polymarket ↗	—
Chris Olave Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	26.5% Bid 7.0% · Ask 46.0% Chris Olave Open Polymarket ↗	—
Davante Adams Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	3.0% Bid 0.1% · Ask 6.0% Davante Adams Open Polymarket ↗	—
Deshaun Watson Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.9% Bid — · Ask 1.9% Deshaun Watson Open Polymarket ↗	—
Devonta Smith Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	38.6% Bid 0.2% · Ask 77.0% Devonta Smith Open Polymarket ↗	—
DJ Moore Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	3.2% Bid 0.2% · Ask 6.2% DJ Moore Open Polymarket ↗	—
Drake London Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	5.1% Bid 0.2% · Ask 10.1% Drake London Open Polymarket ↗	—
Fernando Mendoza Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.2% Bid — · Ask 0.4% Fernando Mendoza Open Polymarket ↗ 1.9% Bid 0.4% · Ask 3.4% Fernando Mendoza Open Polymarket ↗	—
Garrett Wilson Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	5.8% Bid 0.2% · Ask 11.3% Garrett Wilson Open Polymarket ↗	—
George Kittle Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	24.6% Bid 0.2% · Ask 49.1% George Kittle Open Polymarket ↗	—
Ja'Marr Chase Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	9.5% Bid — · Ask 19.0% Ja'Marr Chase Open Polymarket ↗	—
Jameson Williams Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	24.9% Bid 1.0% · Ask 48.8% Jameson Williams Open Polymarket ↗	—
Jaxon Smith-Njigba Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	43.5% Bid 34.0% · Ask 53.0% Jaxon Smith-Njigba Open Polymarket ↗	—
Jaxson Dart Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	4.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 7.0% Jaxson Dart Open Polymarket ↗ 2.2% Bid 0.6% · Ask 3.8% Jaxson Dart Open Polymarket ↗	—
JJ McCarthy Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	2.0% Bid 0.2% · Ask 3.8% JJ McCarthy Open Polymarket ↗	—
Justin Jefferson Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	5.4% Bid 0.9% · Ask 9.9% Justin Jefferson Open Polymarket ↗	—
Kirk Cousins Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	8.1% Bid 5.2% · Ask 11.0% Kirk Cousins Open Polymarket ↗	—
Kyler Murray Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	15.5% Bid 0.3% · Ask 30.7% Kyler Murray Open Polymarket ↗	—
Malik Nabers Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	4.0% Bid 0.1% · Ask 7.9% Malik Nabers Open Polymarket ↗	—
Michael Penix Jr. Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.5% Bid — · Ask 2.9% Michael Penix Jr. Open Polymarket ↗	—
Nico Collins Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	3.9% Bid 0.2% · Ask 7.5% Nico Collins Open Polymarket ↗	—
Player AA Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Player AA · closed Open Polymarket ↗ 50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Player AA · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Player AB Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Player AB · closed Open Polymarket ↗ 50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Player AB · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Player AC Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Player AC · closed Open Polymarket ↗ 50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Player AC · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Player AD Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Player AD · closed Open Polymarket ↗ 50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Player AD · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Player AE Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Player AE · closed Open Polymarket ↗ 50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Player AE · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Player AF Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Player AF · closed Open Polymarket ↗ 50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Player AF · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Player AG Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Player AG · closed Open Polymarket ↗ 50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Player AG · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Player AH Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Player AH · closed Open Polymarket ↗ 50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Player AH · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Player AI Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Player AI · closed Open Polymarket ↗ 50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Player AI · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Player AJ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Player AJ · closed Open Polymarket ↗ 50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Player AJ · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Player AK Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Player AK · closed Open Polymarket ↗ 50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Player AK · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Player AL Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Player AL · closed Open Polymarket ↗ 50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Player AL · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Player AM Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Player AM · closed Open Polymarket ↗ 50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Player AM · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Player AN Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Player AN · closed Open Polymarket ↗ 50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Player AN · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Puka Nacua Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	2.6% Bid 1.1% · Ask 4.1% Puka Nacua Open Polymarket ↗	—
Tee Higgins Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	5.6% Bid 0.2% · Ask 11.0% Tee Higgins Open Polymarket ↗	—
Travis Kelce Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.0% Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.9% Travis Kelce Open Polymarket ↗	—
Trey McBride Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	6.1% Bid 0.2% · Ask 12.0% Trey McBride Open Polymarket ↗	—

Aaron Rodgers

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

3.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 3.0%

Aaron Rodgers

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

8.9%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 17.7%

Aaron Rodgers

Pro Football Passing Touchdowns Leader

Kalshi

Polymarket

Aaron Rodgers

Kalshi

Polymarket

Baker Mayfield

Kalshi

Polymarket

Bo Nix

Kalshi

Polymarket

Brock Purdy

Kalshi

Polymarket

Bryce Young

Kalshi

Polymarket

C.J. Stroud

Kalshi

Polymarket

Caleb Williams

Kalshi

Polymarket

Cam Ward

Kalshi

Polymarket

Dak Prescott

Kalshi

Polymarket

Daniel Jones

Kalshi

Polymarket

Drake Maye

Kalshi

Polymarket

Geno Smith

Kalshi

Polymarket

Jacoby Brissett

Kalshi

Polymarket

Jalen Hurts

Kalshi

Polymarket

Jared Goff

Kalshi

Polymarket

Jayden Daniels

Kalshi

Polymarket

Joe Burrow

Kalshi

Polymarket

Jordan Love

Kalshi

Polymarket

Josh Allen

Kalshi

Polymarket

Justin Herbert

Kalshi

Polymarket

Lamar Jackson

Kalshi

Polymarket

Malik Willis

Kalshi

Polymarket

Matthew Stafford

Kalshi

Polymarket

Patrick Mahomes

Kalshi

Polymarket

Sam Darnold

Kalshi

Polymarket

Shedeur Sanders

Kalshi