The Prediction Markets

Market comparison

Pro Football Passing Yards Leader

2 venues · 51 outcome rows · 28 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

28 outcomes · $348K reported volume

Observed 21s ago

Recorded venue end date: Feb 8, 2027

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

133 outcomes · $69K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Observed 1m ago

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 12, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Aaron Rodgers

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0%

Aaron Rodgers

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

8.9%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 17.7%

Aaron Rodgers

Open Polymarket ↗

48.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 95.0%

Aaron Rodgers

Open Polymarket ↗

Baker Mayfield

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Baker Mayfield

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

11.5%

Bid 8.0% · Ask 15.0%

Baker Mayfield

Open Polymarket ↗

50.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 99.0%

Baker Mayfield

Open Polymarket ↗

Bo Nix

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Bo Nix

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

2.4%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 4.6%

Bo Nix

Open Polymarket ↗

23.5%

Bid 22.0% · Ask 25.0%

Bo Nix

Open Polymarket ↗

50.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 99.0%

Bo Nix

Open Polymarket ↗

Brock Purdy

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

4.0%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 7.0%

Brock Purdy

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

19.6%

Bid 17.1% · Ask 22.0%

Brock Purdy

Open Polymarket ↗

79.5%

Bid 78.0% · Ask 81.0%

Brock Purdy

Open Polymarket ↗

49.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 97.0%

Brock Purdy

Open Polymarket ↗

Bryce Young

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

12.0%

Bid 11.0% · Ask 12.0%

Bryce Young

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

3.7%

Bid — · Ask 7.4%

Bryce Young

Open Polymarket ↗

81.5%

Bid 80.0% · Ask 83.0%

Bryce Young

Open Polymarket ↗

22.5%

Bid 15.0% · Ask 30.0%

Bryce Young

Open Polymarket ↗

C.J. Stroud

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

5.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 8.0%

C.J. Stroud

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

3.1%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 6.1%

C.J. Stroud

Open Polymarket ↗

79.0%

Bid 78.0% · Ask 80.0%

C.J. Stroud

Open Polymarket ↗

50.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 99.0%

C.J. Stroud

Open Polymarket ↗

Caleb Williams

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0%

Caleb Williams

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

3.0%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 5.8%

Caleb Williams

Open Polymarket ↗

30.5%

Bid 29.0% · Ask 32.0%

Caleb Williams

Open Polymarket ↗

50.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 99.0%

Caleb Williams

Open Polymarket ↗

Cam Ward

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Cam Ward

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.7%

Bid — · Ask 1.3%

Cam Ward

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.4 pp

Dak Prescott

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

8.0%

Bid 7.0% · Ask 8.0%

Dak Prescott

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

4.3%

Bid 0.4% · Ask 8.2%

Dak Prescott

Open Polymarket ↗

83.5%

Bid 83.0% · Ask 84.0%

Dak Prescott

Open Polymarket ↗

61.0%

Bid 23.0% · Ask 99.0%

Dak Prescott

Open Polymarket ↗

Daniel Jones

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Daniel Jones

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

1.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 2.1%

Daniel Jones

Open Polymarket ↗

50.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 99.0%

Daniel Jones

Open Polymarket ↗

Drake Maye

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

3.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 3.0%

Drake Maye

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

7.8%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 15.5%

Drake Maye

Open Polymarket ↗

83.0%

Bid 81.0% · Ask 85.0%

Drake Maye

Open Polymarket ↗

50.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 98.0%

Drake Maye

Open Polymarket ↗

Geno Smith

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Geno Smith

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.9%

Bid — · Ask 1.9%

Geno Smith

Open Polymarket ↗

50.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 99.0%

Geno Smith

Open Polymarket ↗

Jacoby Brissett

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Jacoby Brissett

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

1.0%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.9%

Jacoby Brissett

Open Polymarket ↗

15.5%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 29.0%

Jacoby Brissett

Open Polymarket ↗

Jalen Hurts

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0%

Jalen Hurts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.7%

Bid — · Ask 1.3%

Jalen Hurts

Open Polymarket ↗

4.8%

Bid 4.7% · Ask 4.8%

Jalen Hurts

Open Polymarket ↗

47.5%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 94.0%

Jalen Hurts

Open Polymarket ↗

Jared Goff

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

16.0%

Bid 16.0% · Ask 21.0%

Jared Goff

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

18.0%

Bid 17.0% · Ask 19.0%

Jared Goff

Open Polymarket ↗

90.5%

Bid 90.0% · Ask 91.0%

Jared Goff

Open Polymarket ↗

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

Jared Goff · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Jayden Daniels

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Jayden Daniels

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

1.4%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 2.7%

Jayden Daniels

Open Polymarket ↗

29.4%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 52.9%

Jayden Daniels

Open Polymarket ↗

50.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 99.0%

Jayden Daniels

Open Polymarket ↗

Joe Burrow

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

8.0%

Bid 7.0% · Ask 8.0%

Joe Burrow

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

14.5%

Bid 13.0% · Ask 16.0%

Joe Burrow

Open Polymarket ↗

84.0%

Bid 81.0% · Ask 87.0%

Joe Burrow

Open Polymarket ↗

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

Joe Burrow · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Jordan Love

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

11.0%

Bid 9.0% · Ask 12.0%

Jordan Love

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

4.0%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 7.8%

Jordan Love

Open Polymarket ↗

82.0%

Bid 81.0% · Ask 83.0%

Jordan Love

Open Polymarket ↗

50.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 99.0%

Jordan Love

Open Polymarket ↗

Josh Allen

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

3.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 3.0%

Josh Allen

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

2.9%

Bid 1.5% · Ask 4.4%

Josh Allen

Open Polymarket ↗

82.5%

Bid 79.0% · Ask 86.0%

Josh Allen

Open Polymarket ↗

59.5%

Bid 20.0% · Ask 99.0%

Josh Allen

Open Polymarket ↗

Justin Herbert

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Justin Herbert

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

2.8%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 5.3%

Justin Herbert

Open Polymarket ↗

39.5%

Bid 39.0% · Ask 40.0%

Justin Herbert

Open Polymarket ↗

49.5%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 98.0%

Justin Herbert

Open Polymarket ↗

Lamar Jackson

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Lamar Jackson

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.9%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.6%

Lamar Jackson

Open Polymarket ↗

35.5%

Bid 35.0% · Ask 36.0%

Lamar Jackson

Open Polymarket ↗

50.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 99.0%

Lamar Jackson

Open Polymarket ↗

Malik Willis

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Malik Willis

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.3%

Bid — · Ask 0.5%

Malik Willis

Open Polymarket ↗

13.5%

Bid 13.0% · Ask 14.0%

Malik Willis

Open Polymarket ↗

49.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 95.0%

Malik Willis

Open Polymarket ↗

Matthew Stafford

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

21.0%

Bid 20.0% · Ask 21.0%

Matthew Stafford

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

7.5%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 9.0%

Matthew Stafford

Open Polymarket ↗

82.0%

Bid 79.0% · Ask 85.0%

Matthew Stafford

Open Polymarket ↗

49.5%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 96.0%

Matthew Stafford

Open Polymarket ↗

Patrick Mahomes

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Patrick Mahomes

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

10.3%

Bid 7.5% · Ask 13.2%

Patrick Mahomes

Open Polymarket ↗

81.5%

Bid 74.0% · Ask 89.0%

Patrick Mahomes

Open Polymarket ↗

52.5%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 99.0%

Patrick Mahomes

Open Polymarket ↗

Sam Darnold

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Sam Darnold

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

3.0%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 5.9%

Sam Darnold

Open Polymarket ↗

38.5%

Bid 37.0% · Ask 40.0%

Sam Darnold

Open Polymarket ↗

50.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 99.0%

Sam Darnold

Open Polymarket ↗

Shedeur Sanders

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Shedeur Sanders

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.2%

Bid — · Ask 0.4%

Shedeur Sanders

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.8 pp

Trevor Lawrence

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Trevor Lawrence

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

10.8%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 11.5%

Trevor Lawrence

Open Polymarket ↗

78.5%

Bid 78.0% · Ask 79.0%

Trevor Lawrence

Open Polymarket ↗

49.5%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 98.0%

Trevor Lawrence

Open Polymarket ↗

Tyler Shough

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.0%

Tyler Shough

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

1.6%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 2.8%

Tyler Shough

Open Polymarket ↗

71.5%

Bid 71.0% · Ask 72.0%

Tyler Shough

Open Polymarket ↗

100.0%

Bid 81.1% · Ask 100.0%

Tyler Shough · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Cam Ward

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

14.8%

Bid 12.6% · Ask 17.0%

Cameron Ward

Open Polymarket ↗

26.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 51.0%

Cameron Ward

Open Polymarket ↗

Carson Beck

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.8%

Bid — · Ask 1.6%

Carson Beck

Open Polymarket ↗

Deshaun Watson

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.9%

Bid — · Ask 1.9%

Deshaun Watson

Open Polymarket ↗

3.6%

Bid 0.7% · Ask 6.6%

Deshaun Watson

Open Polymarket ↗

Fernando Mendoza

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.2%

Bid — · Ask 0.4%

Fernando Mendoza

Open Polymarket ↗

2.8%

Bid 1.2% · Ask 4.4%

Fernando Mendoza

Open Polymarket ↗

Jaxson Dart

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

4.3%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 7.5%

Jaxson Dart

Open Polymarket ↗

3.8%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 6.5%

Jaxson Dart

Open Polymarket ↗

1.6%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 3.0%

Jaxson Dart

Open Polymarket ↗

JJ McCarthy

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

1.9%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 3.6%

JJ McCarthy

Open Polymarket ↗

Kirk Cousins

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

8.1%

Bid 5.2% · Ask 11.0%

Kirk Cousins

Open Polymarket ↗

50.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 99.0%

Kirk Cousins

Open Polymarket ↗

Kyler Murray

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

5.6%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 11.0%

Kyler Murray

Open Polymarket ↗

11.5%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 13.0%

Kyler Murray

Open Polymarket ↗

Michael Penix Jr.

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

1.5%

Bid — · Ask 2.9%

Michael Penix Jr.

Open Polymarket ↗

50.5%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 99.0%

Michael Penix Jr.

Open Polymarket ↗

Player AA

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Player AA · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Player AB

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Player AB · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Player AC

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Player AC · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Player AD

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Player AD · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Player AE

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Player AE · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Player AF

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Player AF · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Player AG

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Player AG · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Player AH

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Player AH · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Player AI

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Player AI · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Player AJ

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Player AJ · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Player AK

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Player AK · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Player AL

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Player AL · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Player AM

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Player AM · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Player AN

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Player AN · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.