Market comparison

Rain during the United States Grand Prix?

2 venues · 23 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

66 outcomes · $179K reported volume

Observed 49s ago

Observed 4m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 2, 2026

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

1 outcomes · $1K reported volume

Observed 4m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 2, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Rain during the United States Grand Prix?
Outcome	Kalshi	Polymarket	Difference
Alexander Albon Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Alexander Albon Open Kalshi ↗ 2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0% Alexander Albon Open Kalshi ↗ 8.5% Bid 4.0% · Ask 13.0% Alexander Albon Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Andrea Kimi Antonelli Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	27.0% Bid 26.0% · Ask 27.0% Andrea Kimi Antonelli Open Kalshi ↗ 69.0% Bid 67.0% · Ask 69.0% Andrea Kimi Antonelli Open Kalshi ↗ 12.0% Bid 3.0% · Ask 12.0% Andrea Kimi Antonelli Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Arvid Lindblad Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Arvid Lindblad Open Kalshi ↗ 2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0% Arvid Lindblad Open Kalshi ↗ 7.0% Bid 3.0% · Ask 7.0% Arvid Lindblad Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Carlos Sainz Jr. Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Carlos Sainz Jr. Open Kalshi ↗ 4.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0% Carlos Sainz Jr. Open Kalshi ↗ 7.5% Bid 3.0% · Ask 12.0% Carlos Sainz Jr. Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Charles Leclerc Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	7.0% Bid 6.0% · Ask 7.0% Charles Leclerc Open Kalshi ↗ 33.0% Bid 30.0% · Ask 33.0% Charles Leclerc Open Kalshi ↗ 5.0% Bid 4.0% · Ask 6.0% Charles Leclerc Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Esteban Ocon Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Esteban Ocon Open Kalshi ↗ 2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0% Esteban Ocon Open Kalshi ↗ 5.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 9.0% Esteban Ocon Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Fernando Alonso Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Fernando Alonso Open Kalshi ↗ 2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0% Fernando Alonso Open Kalshi ↗ 7.5% Bid 3.0% · Ask 12.0% Fernando Alonso Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Franco Colapinto Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Franco Colapinto Open Kalshi ↗ 4.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0% Franco Colapinto Open Kalshi ↗ 4.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 8.0% Franco Colapinto Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Gabriel Bortoleto Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Gabriel Bortoleto Open Kalshi ↗ 2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0% Gabriel Bortoleto Open Kalshi ↗ 6.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 10.0% Gabriel Bortoleto Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
George Russell Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	9.0% Bid 8.0% · Ask 9.0% George Russell Open Kalshi ↗ 37.0% Bid 37.0% · Ask 40.0% George Russell Open Kalshi ↗ 2.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0% George Russell Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Isack Hadjar Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% Isack Hadjar Open Kalshi ↗ 17.0% Bid 14.0% · Ask 17.0% Isack Hadjar Open Kalshi ↗ 5.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 7.0% Isack Hadjar Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Lance Stroll Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Lance Stroll Open Kalshi ↗ 2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0% Lance Stroll Open Kalshi ↗ 8.0% Bid 4.0% · Ask 12.0% Lance Stroll Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Lando Norris Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	8.0% Bid 7.0% · Ask 8.0% Lando Norris Open Kalshi ↗ 36.0% Bid 34.0% · Ask 36.0% Lando Norris Open Kalshi ↗ 2.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0% Lando Norris Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Lewis Hamilton Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	9.0% Bid 8.0% · Ask 9.0% Lewis Hamilton Open Kalshi ↗ 35.0% Bid 32.0% · Ask 35.0% Lewis Hamilton Open Kalshi ↗ 5.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0% Lewis Hamilton Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Liam Lawson Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Liam Lawson Open Kalshi ↗ 5.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0% Liam Lawson Open Kalshi ↗ 5.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0% Liam Lawson Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Max Verstappen Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	47.0% Bid 46.0% · Ask 47.0% Max Verstappen Open Kalshi ↗ 75.0% Bid 75.0% · Ask 76.0% Max Verstappen Open Kalshi ↗ 5.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0% Max Verstappen Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Nico Hulkenberg Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Nico Hulkenberg Open Kalshi ↗ 2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0% Nico Hulkenberg Open Kalshi ↗ 9.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 9.0% Nico Hulkenberg Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Oliver Bearman Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Oliver Bearman Open Kalshi ↗ 2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0% Oliver Bearman Open Kalshi ↗ 10.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 10.0% Oliver Bearman Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Oscar Piastri Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 3.0% Oscar Piastri Open Kalshi ↗ 14.0% Bid 14.0% · Ask 16.0% Oscar Piastri Open Kalshi ↗ 2.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0% Oscar Piastri Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Pierre Gasly Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Pierre Gasly Open Kalshi ↗ 4.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0% Pierre Gasly Open Kalshi ↗ 5.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0% Pierre Gasly Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Sergio Perez Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Sergio Perez Open Kalshi ↗ 2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0% Sergio Perez Open Kalshi ↗ 7.5% Bid 3.0% · Ask 12.0% Sergio Perez Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Valtteri Bottas Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Valtteri Bottas Open Kalshi ↗ 4.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0% Valtteri Bottas Open Kalshi ↗ 7.5% Bid 3.0% · Ask 12.0% Valtteri Bottas Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Yes Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	16.5% Bid 16.0% · Ask 17.0% Yes Open Polymarket ↗	—

Alexander Albon

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Alexander Albon

Open Kalshi ↗

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0%

Alexander Albon

Open Kalshi ↗

8.5%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 13.0%

Alexander Albon

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Andrea Kimi Antonelli

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

27.0%

Bid 26.0% · Ask 27.0%

Andrea Kimi Antonelli

Open Kalshi ↗

69.0%

Bid 67.0% · Ask 69.0%

Andrea Kimi Antonelli

Open Kalshi ↗

12.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 12.0%

Andrea Kimi Antonelli

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Arvid Lindblad

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Arvid Lindblad

Open Kalshi ↗

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0%

Arvid Lindblad

Open Kalshi ↗

7.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 7.0%

Arvid Lindblad

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Carlos Sainz Jr.

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Carlos Sainz Jr.

Open Kalshi ↗

4.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0%

Carlos Sainz Jr.

Open Kalshi ↗

7.5%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 12.0%

Carlos Sainz Jr.

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Charles Leclerc

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

7.0%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 7.0%

Charles Leclerc

Open Kalshi ↗

33.0%

Bid 30.0% · Ask 33.0%

Charles Leclerc

Open Kalshi ↗

5.0%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 6.0%

Charles Leclerc

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Esteban Ocon

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Esteban Ocon

Open Kalshi ↗

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0%

Esteban Ocon

Open Kalshi ↗

5.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 9.0%

Esteban Ocon

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Fernando Alonso

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Fernando Alonso

Open Kalshi ↗

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0%

Fernando Alonso

Open Kalshi ↗

7.5%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 12.0%

Fernando Alonso

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Franco Colapinto

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Franco Colapinto

Open Kalshi ↗

4.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0%

Franco Colapinto

Open Kalshi ↗

4.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 8.0%

Franco Colapinto

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Gabriel Bortoleto

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Gabriel Bortoleto

Open Kalshi ↗

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0%

Gabriel Bortoleto

Open Kalshi ↗

6.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 10.0%

Gabriel Bortoleto

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

George Russell

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

9.0%

Bid 8.0% · Ask 9.0%

George Russell

Open Kalshi ↗

37.0%

Bid 37.0% · Ask 40.0%

George Russell

Open Kalshi ↗

2.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0%

George Russell

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Isack Hadjar

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Isack Hadjar

Open Kalshi ↗

17.0%

Bid 14.0% · Ask 17.0%

Isack Hadjar

Open Kalshi ↗

5.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 7.0%

Isack Hadjar

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Lance Stroll

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Lance Stroll

Open Kalshi ↗

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0%

Lance Stroll

Open Kalshi ↗

8.0%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 12.0%

Lance Stroll

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Lando Norris

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

8.0%

Bid 7.0% · Ask 8.0%

Lando Norris

Open Kalshi ↗

36.0%

Bid 34.0% · Ask 36.0%

Lando Norris

Open Kalshi ↗

2.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0%

Lando Norris

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Lewis Hamilton

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

9.0%

Bid 8.0% · Ask 9.0%

Lewis Hamilton

Open Kalshi ↗

35.0%

Bid 32.0% · Ask 35.0%

Lewis Hamilton

Open Kalshi ↗

5.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0%

Lewis Hamilton

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Liam Lawson

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Liam Lawson

Open Kalshi ↗

5.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0%

Liam Lawson

Open Kalshi ↗

5.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0%

Liam Lawson

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Max Verstappen

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

47.0%

Bid 46.0% · Ask 47.0%

Max Verstappen

Open Kalshi ↗

75.0%

Bid 75.0% · Ask 76.0%

Max Verstappen

Open Kalshi ↗

5.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0%

Max Verstappen

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Nico Hulkenberg

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Nico Hulkenberg

Open Kalshi ↗

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0%

Nico Hulkenberg

Open Kalshi ↗

9.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 9.0%

Nico Hulkenberg

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Oliver Bearman

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Oliver Bearman

Open Kalshi ↗

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0%

Oliver Bearman

Open Kalshi ↗

10.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 10.0%

Oliver Bearman

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Oscar Piastri

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

3.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 3.0%

Oscar Piastri

Open Kalshi ↗

14.0%

Bid 14.0% · Ask 16.0%

Oscar Piastri

Open Kalshi ↗

2.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0%

Oscar Piastri

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Pierre Gasly

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Pierre Gasly

Open Kalshi ↗

4.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0%

Pierre Gasly

Open Kalshi ↗

5.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0%

Pierre Gasly

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Sergio Perez

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Sergio Perez

Open Kalshi ↗

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0%

Sergio Perez

Open Kalshi ↗

7.5%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 12.0%

Sergio Perez

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Valtteri Bottas

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Valtteri Bottas

Open Kalshi ↗

4.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0%

Valtteri Bottas

Open Kalshi ↗

7.5%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 12.0%

Valtteri Bottas

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Yes

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

16.5%

Bid 16.0% · Ask 17.0%

Yes

Open Polymarket ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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