Market comparison

Relay FDV above ___ one day after launch?

1 venue · 10 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

10 outcomes · $57K reported volume

Observed 4m ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 1, 2028

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Relay FDV above ___ one day after launch?
Outcome	Polymarket	Difference
1.2B Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	7.8% Bid 6.1% · Ask 9.4% $1.2B Open Polymarket ↗	—
1.5B Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	49.0% Bid 4.9% · Ask 93.1% $1.5B Open Polymarket ↗	—
1B Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	23.8% Bid 9.7% · Ask 38.0% $1B Open Polymarket ↗	—
100M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	49.5% Bid 46.0% · Ask 53.0% $100M Open Polymarket ↗	—
300M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	30.0% Bid 21.0% · Ask 39.0% $300M Open Polymarket ↗	—
500M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	34.0% Bid 25.0% · Ask 43.0% $500M Open Polymarket ↗	—
600M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	30.0% Bid 19.0% · Ask 41.0% $600M Open Polymarket ↗	—
700M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	23.5% Bid 13.0% · Ask 34.0% $700M Open Polymarket ↗	—
800M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	33.5% Bid 17.0% · Ask 50.0% $800M Open Polymarket ↗	—
900M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	28.3% Bid 14.0% · Ask 42.7% $900M Open Polymarket ↗	—

1.2B

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

7.8%

Bid 6.1% · Ask 9.4%

$1.2B

Open Polymarket ↗

1.5B

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

49.0%

Bid 4.9% · Ask 93.1%

$1.5B

Open Polymarket ↗

1B

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

23.8%

Bid 9.7% · Ask 38.0%

$1B

Open Polymarket ↗

100M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

49.5%

Bid 46.0% · Ask 53.0%

$100M

Open Polymarket ↗

300M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

30.0%

Bid 21.0% · Ask 39.0%

$300M

Open Polymarket ↗

500M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

34.0%

Bid 25.0% · Ask 43.0%

$500M

Open Polymarket ↗

600M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

30.0%

Bid 19.0% · Ask 41.0%

$600M

Open Polymarket ↗

700M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

23.5%

Bid 13.0% · Ask 34.0%

$700M

Open Polymarket ↗

800M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

33.5%

Bid 17.0% · Ask 50.0%

$800M

Open Polymarket ↗

900M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

28.3%

Bid 14.0% · Ask 42.7%

$900M

Open Polymarket ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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