Market comparison

Rhode Island's 2nd District margin of victory

2 venues · 19 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

12 outcomes · $24K reported volume

Observed 13s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

10 outcomes · $3K reported volume

Observed 3m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Rhode Island's 2nd District margin of victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Democrat 0-5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Democrat 0-5% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 5-10% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.5% Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.8% Democrat 5-10% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 10-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.5% Bid 0.2% · Ask 4.7% Democrat 10-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 15-20% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	23.8% Bid 23.3% · Ask 24.4% Democrat 15-20% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 20-25% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	32.5% Bid 30.0% · Ask 35.0% Democrat 20-25% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 25-30% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	18.0% Bid 17.0% · Ask 19.0% Democrat 25-30% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 30-35% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	7.5% Bid 7.0% · Ask 8.0% Democrat 30-35% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 35%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.0% Bid 0.5% · Ask 7.4% Democrat 35%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Magaziner, 7+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	94.2% Bid 92.8% · Ask 97.0% Magaziner, 7+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Magaziner, 10+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	93.6% Bid 90.8% · Ask 96.4% Magaziner, 10+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Magaziner, 13+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	91.7% Bid 87.0% · Ask 96.4% Magaziner, 13+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Magaziner, 16+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	81.0% Bid 81.0% · Ask 91.6% Magaziner, 16+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Magaziner, 19+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	74.5% Bid 69.0% · Ask 80.0% Magaziner, 19+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Magaziner, 22+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	55.0% Bid 55.0% · Ask 65.0% Magaziner, 22+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Magaziner, 25+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	39.0% Bid 39.0% · Ask 50.0% Magaziner, 25+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Magaziner, 28+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	29.5% Bid 24.0% · Ask 35.0% Magaziner, 28+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Magaziner, 31+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	12.0% Bid 12.0% · Ask 23.0% Magaziner, 31+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Magaziner, 34+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	7.9% Bid 2.8% · Ask 13.0% Magaziner, 34+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republican Wins Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.0% Bid 2.5% · Ask 3.5% Republican Wins Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Democrat 0-5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

Democrat 0-5%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 5-10%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.5%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.8%

Democrat 5-10%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 10-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.5%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 4.7%

Democrat 10-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 15-20%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

23.8%

Bid 23.3% · Ask 24.4%

Democrat 15-20%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 20-25%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

32.5%

Bid 30.0% · Ask 35.0%

Democrat 20-25%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 25-30%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

18.0%

Bid 17.0% · Ask 19.0%

Democrat 25-30%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 30-35%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

7.5%

Bid 7.0% · Ask 8.0%

Democrat 30-35%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 35%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.0%

Bid 0.5% · Ask 7.4%

Democrat 35%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Magaziner, 7+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

94.2%

Bid 92.8% · Ask 97.0%

Magaziner, 7+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Magaziner, 10+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

93.6%

Bid 90.8% · Ask 96.4%

Magaziner, 10+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Magaziner, 13+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

91.7%

Bid 87.0% · Ask 96.4%

Magaziner, 13+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Magaziner, 16+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

81.0%

Bid 81.0% · Ask 91.6%

Magaziner, 16+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Magaziner, 19+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

74.5%

Bid 69.0% · Ask 80.0%

Magaziner, 19+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Magaziner, 22+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

55.0%

Bid 55.0% · Ask 65.0%

Magaziner, 22+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Magaziner, 25+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

39.0%

Bid 39.0% · Ask 50.0%

Magaziner, 25+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Magaziner, 28+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

29.5%

Bid 24.0% · Ask 35.0%

Magaziner, 28+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Magaziner, 31+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

12.0%

Bid 12.0% · Ask 23.0%

Magaziner, 31+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Magaziner, 34+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

7.9%

Bid 2.8% · Ask 13.0%

Magaziner, 34+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republican Wins

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.0%

Bid 2.5% · Ask 3.5%

Republican Wins

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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