Market comparison

Serie A: Team to qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Conference League

2 venues · 55 outcome rows · 1 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

36 outcomes · $7K reported volume

Observed 37s ago

Recorded venue end date: Jun 16, 2027

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

20 outcomes · $4K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Jun 15, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Available outcome prices by venue for Serie A: Team to qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Conference League
Outcome	Kalshi	Polymarket	Difference
Atalanta Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	13.0% Bid 9.0% · Ask 13.0% Atalanta Open Kalshi ↗	25.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 49.0% Atalanta Open Polymarket ↗	12.0 pp
Aarhus Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 8.0% Aarhus Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
AC Milan Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	36.5% Bid 0.3% · Ask 72.8% AC Milan Open Polymarket ↗	—
Ajax Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	11.0% Bid 6.0% · Ask 11.0% Ajax Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Banja Luka Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	14.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 29.0% Banja Luka Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Bologna Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	5.5% Bid 1.0% · Ask 10.0% Bologna Open Polymarket ↗	—
Braga Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	11.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 11.0% Braga Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Brann Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	9.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 30.0% Brann Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Brighton Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	40.0% Bid 37.0% · Ask 40.0% Brighton Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Cagliari Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	10.0% Bid 7.0% · Ask 13.0% Cagliari Open Polymarket ↗	—
Como Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	18.0% Bid 11.0% · Ask 25.0% Como Open Polymarket ↗	—
Copenhagen Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	8.0% Bid 5.0% · Ask 8.0% Copenhagen Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Crvena Zvezda Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	14.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 29.0% Crvena Zvezda Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
CSKA Sofia Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 9.0% CSKA Sofia Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Egnatia Rrogozhine Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	15.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 30.0% Egnatia Rrogozhine Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Enschede Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 10.0% Enschede Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Fiorentina Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 98.0% Fiorentina Open Polymarket ↗	—
Freiburg Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	10.0% Bid 8.0% · Ask 15.0% Freiburg Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Frosinone Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.3% Bid 0.7% · Ask 99.9% Frosinone Open Polymarket ↗	—
Genoa Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	2.6% Bid 0.4% · Ask 4.9% Genoa Open Polymarket ↗	—
Gent Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 12.0% Gent Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Getafe Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.5% Bid 1.0% · Ask 8.0% Getafe Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Hajduk Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 9.0% Hajduk Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Heart of Midlothian Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 6.0% Heart of Midlothian Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Iberia Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	14.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 29.0% Iberia Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
IC Escaldes Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	15.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 30.0% IC Escaldes Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Inter Milan Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	3.3% Bid 1.1% · Ask 5.4% Inter Milan Open Polymarket ↗	—
Jablonec Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	15.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 30.0% Jablonec Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Juventus Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	6.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 11.0% Juventus Open Polymarket ↗	—
Kairat Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	14.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 29.0% Kairat Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Kauno Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	15.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 30.0% Kauno Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Kuopion Palloseura Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	15.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 30.0% Kuopion Palloseura Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Lazio Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.2% Bid 0.9% · Ask 99.5% Lazio Open Polymarket ↗	—
Lecce Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	4.7% Bid 0.5% · Ask 8.9% Lecce Open Polymarket ↗	—
Lincoln Red Imps Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 10.0% Lincoln Red Imps Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Lugano Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 9.0% Lugano Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Midtjylland Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 10.0% Midtjylland Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Mjallby Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 8.0% Mjallby Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Monaco Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	14.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 18.0% Monaco Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Monza Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	2.9% Bid 0.9% · Ask 5.0% Monza Open Polymarket ↗	—
Napoli Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	23.8% Bid 2.9% · Ask 44.7% Napoli Open Polymarket ↗	—
Nordsjaelland Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 9.0% Nordsjaelland Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Pafos Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 10.0% Pafos Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Panathinaikos Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	8.0% Bid 3.0% · Ask 8.0% Panathinaikos Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Parma Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	3.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 5.0% Parma Open Polymarket ↗	—
Riga FC Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	15.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 30.0% Riga FC Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Roma Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	8.5% Bid 2.0% · Ask 15.0% Roma Open Polymarket ↗	—
Sassuolo Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	37.1% Bid 0.3% · Ask 74.0% Sassuolo Open Polymarket ↗	—
St. Truidense Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	15.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 30.0% St. Truidense Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Thun Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	15.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 30.0% Thun Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Torino Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	49.6% Bid 0.6% · Ask 98.7% Torino Open Polymarket ↗	—
Trabzonspor Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	9.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 13.0% Trabzonspor Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Udinese Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	49.8% Bid 0.7% · Ask 98.9% Udinese Open Polymarket ↗	—
Uni Craiova Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	15.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 30.0% Uni Craiova Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Venezia Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.8% Bid 0.3% · Ask 1.2% Venezia Open Polymarket ↗	—

Atalanta

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

13.0%

Bid 9.0% · Ask 13.0%

Atalanta

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

25.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 49.0%

Atalanta

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 12.0 pp

Aarhus

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

4.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 8.0%

Aarhus

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

AC Milan

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

36.5%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 72.8%

AC Milan

Open Polymarket ↗

Ajax

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

11.0%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 11.0%

Ajax

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Banja Luka

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

14.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 29.0%

Banja Luka

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Bologna

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

5.5%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 10.0%

Bologna

Open Polymarket ↗

Braga

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

11.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 11.0%

Braga

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Brann

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

9.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 30.0%

Brann

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Brighton

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

40.0%

Bid 37.0% · Ask 40.0%

Brighton

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Cagliari

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

10.0%

Bid 7.0% · Ask 13.0%

Cagliari

Open Polymarket ↗

Como

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

18.0%

Bid 11.0% · Ask 25.0%

Como

Open Polymarket ↗

Copenhagen

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

8.0%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 8.0%

Copenhagen

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Crvena Zvezda

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

14.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 29.0%

Crvena Zvezda

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

CSKA Sofia

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

4.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 9.0%

CSKA Sofia

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Egnatia Rrogozhine

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

15.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 30.0%

Egnatia Rrogozhine

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Enschede

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

5.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 10.0%

Enschede

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Fiorentina

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 98.0%

Fiorentina

Open Polymarket ↗

Freiburg

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

10.0%

Bid 8.0% · Ask 15.0%

Freiburg

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Frosinone

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.3%

Bid 0.7% · Ask 99.9%

Frosinone

Open Polymarket ↗

Genoa

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

2.6%

Bid 0.4% · Ask 4.9%

Genoa

Open Polymarket ↗

Gent

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

6.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 12.0%

Gent

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Getafe

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

4.5%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 8.0%

Getafe

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Hajduk

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

4.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 9.0%

Hajduk

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Heart of Midlothian

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

6.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 6.0%

Heart of Midlothian

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Iberia

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

14.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 29.0%

Iberia

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

IC Escaldes

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

15.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 30.0%

IC Escaldes

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Inter Milan

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

3.3%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 5.4%

Inter Milan

Open Polymarket ↗

Jablonec

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

15.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 30.0%

Jablonec

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Juventus

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

6.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 11.0%

Juventus

Open Polymarket ↗

Kairat

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

14.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 29.0%

Kairat

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Kauno

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

15.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 30.0%

Kauno

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Kuopion Palloseura

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

15.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 30.0%

Kuopion Palloseura

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Lazio

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.2%

Bid 0.9% · Ask 99.5%

Lazio

Open Polymarket ↗

Lecce

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

4.7%

Bid 0.5% · Ask 8.9%

Lecce

Open Polymarket ↗

Lincoln Red Imps

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

5.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 10.0%

Lincoln Red Imps

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Lugano

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

4.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 9.0%

Lugano

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Midtjylland

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

5.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 10.0%

Midtjylland

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Mjallby

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

4.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 8.0%

Mjallby

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Monaco

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

14.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 18.0%

Monaco

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Monza

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

2.9%

Bid 0.9% · Ask 5.0%

Monza

Open Polymarket ↗

Napoli

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

23.8%

Bid 2.9% · Ask 44.7%

Napoli

Open Polymarket ↗

Nordsjaelland

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

4.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 9.0%

Nordsjaelland

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Pafos

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

5.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 10.0%

Pafos

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Panathinaikos

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

8.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 8.0%

Panathinaikos

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Parma

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

3.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 5.0%

Parma

Open Polymarket ↗

Riga FC

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

15.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 30.0%

Riga FC

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Roma

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

8.5%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 15.0%

Roma

Open Polymarket ↗

Sassuolo

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

37.1%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 74.0%

Sassuolo

Open Polymarket ↗

St. Truidense

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

15.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 30.0%

St. Truidense

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Thun

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

15.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 30.0%

Thun

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Torino

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

49.6%

Bid 0.6% · Ask 98.7%

Torino

Open Polymarket ↗

Trabzonspor

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

9.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 13.0%

Trabzonspor

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Udinese

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

49.8%

Bid 0.7% · Ask 98.9%

Udinese

Open Polymarket ↗

Uni Craiova

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

15.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 30.0%

Uni Craiova

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Venezia

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.8%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 1.2%

Venezia

Open Polymarket ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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