Market comparison

South Carolina Governor margin of victory

2 venues · 18 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

10 outcomes · $20K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

10 outcomes · $6K reported volume

Observed 2m ago

Observed 5m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for South Carolina Governor margin of victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Democrat 5%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.5% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.9% Democrat 5%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Johnson, 2+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	6.9% Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.9% Johnson, 2+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republican 0-5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.9% Bid 0.4% · Ask 3.5% Republican 0-5% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 0-5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.1% Bid 0.3% · Ask 1.9% Democrat 0-5% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 5-10% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	22.5% Bid 21.0% · Ask 24.0% Republican 5-10% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 10-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	38.5% Bid 36.0% · Ask 41.0% Republican 10-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 15-20% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	24.0% Bid 23.0% · Ask 25.0% Republican 15-20% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 20-25% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	13.5% Bid 12.0% · Ask 15.0% Republican 20-25% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 25%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.5% Bid 0.9% · Ask 6.1% Republican 25%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Wilson, 1+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	90.4% Bid 87.0% · Ask 93.8% Wilson, 1+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Wilson, 4+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	83.0% Bid 78.0% · Ask 88.0% Wilson, 4+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Wilson, 7+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	75.0% Bid 65.0% · Ask 75.0% Wilson, 7+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Wilson, 10+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	59.0% Bid 47.0% · Ask 59.0% Wilson, 10+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Wilson, 13+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	38.0% Bid 32.0% · Ask 41.0% Wilson, 13+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Wilson, 16+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	22.0% Bid 16.0% · Ask 27.0% Wilson, 16+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Wilson, 19+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	14.0% Bid 4.2% · Ask 14.0% Wilson, 19+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Wilson, 22+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	9.8% Bid 0.0% · Ask 9.8% Wilson, 22+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Wilson, 25+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	4.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 7.1% Wilson, 25+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—

Democrat 5%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.5%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.9%

Democrat 5%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Johnson, 2+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

6.9%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.9%

Johnson, 2+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republican 0-5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.9%

Bid 0.4% · Ask 3.5%

Republican 0-5%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 0-5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.1%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 1.9%

Democrat 0-5%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 5-10%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

22.5%

Bid 21.0% · Ask 24.0%

Republican 5-10%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 10-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

38.5%

Bid 36.0% · Ask 41.0%

Republican 10-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 15-20%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

24.0%

Bid 23.0% · Ask 25.0%

Republican 15-20%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 20-25%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

13.5%

Bid 12.0% · Ask 15.0%

Republican 20-25%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 25%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.5%

Bid 0.9% · Ask 6.1%

Republican 25%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Wilson, 1+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

90.4%

Bid 87.0% · Ask 93.8%

Wilson, 1+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Wilson, 4+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

83.0%

Bid 78.0% · Ask 88.0%

Wilson, 4+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Wilson, 7+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

75.0%

Bid 65.0% · Ask 75.0%

Wilson, 7+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Wilson, 10+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

59.0%

Bid 47.0% · Ask 59.0%

Wilson, 10+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Wilson, 13+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

38.0%

Bid 32.0% · Ask 41.0%

Wilson, 13+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Wilson, 16+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

22.0%

Bid 16.0% · Ask 27.0%

Wilson, 16+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Wilson, 19+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

14.0%

Bid 4.2% · Ask 14.0%

Wilson, 19+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Wilson, 22+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

9.8%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 9.8%

Wilson, 22+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Wilson, 25+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

4.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 7.1%

Wilson, 25+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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