Market comparison

South Dakota Governor margin of victory

2 venues · 21 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

12 outcomes · $21K reported volume

Observed 35s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

11 outcomes · $3K reported volume

Observed 35s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for South Dakota Governor margin of victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Democrat Wins Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.3% Bid 3.6% · Ask 4.9% Democrat Wins Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 0-10% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.9% Bid 0.9% · Ask 5.0% Republican 0-10% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 10-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	9.8% Bid 0.6% · Ask 19.0% Republican 10-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 15-20% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	25.0% Bid 22.0% · Ask 28.0% Republican 15-20% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 20-25% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	21.0% Bid 20.0% · Ask 22.0% Republican 20-25% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 25-30% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	16.0% Bid 10.0% · Ask 22.0% Republican 25-30% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 30-35% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.1% Bid 0.9% · Ask 9.2% Republican 30-35% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 35-40% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.5% Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.9% Republican 35-40% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 40-45% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.7% Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.1% Republican 40-45% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 45%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.7% Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.2% Republican 45%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Rhoden, 6+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	88.7% Bid 83.0% · Ask 94.4% Rhoden, 6+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Rhoden, 9+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	79.0% Bid 73.0% · Ask 85.0% Rhoden, 9+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Rhoden, 12+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	72.0% Bid 60.0% · Ask 72.0% Rhoden, 12+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Rhoden, 15+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	57.0% Bid 45.0% · Ask 57.0% Rhoden, 15+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Rhoden, 18+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	41.0% Bid 29.0% · Ask 41.0% Rhoden, 18+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Rhoden, 21+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	28.0% Bid 16.0% · Ask 28.0% Rhoden, 21+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Rhoden, 24+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	18.0% Bid 6.4% · Ask 18.0% Rhoden, 24+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Rhoden, 27+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	11.0% Bid 0.1% · Ask 11.0% Rhoden, 27+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Rhoden, 30+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	8.2% Bid 0.0% · Ask 8.2% Rhoden, 30+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Rhoden, 33+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	3.4% Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.7% Rhoden, 33+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Rhoden, 36+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	3.1% Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.2% Rhoden, 36+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—

Democrat Wins

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.3%

Bid 3.6% · Ask 4.9%

Democrat Wins

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 0-10%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.9%

Bid 0.9% · Ask 5.0%

Republican 0-10%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 10-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

9.8%

Bid 0.6% · Ask 19.0%

Republican 10-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 15-20%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

25.0%

Bid 22.0% · Ask 28.0%

Republican 15-20%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 20-25%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

21.0%

Bid 20.0% · Ask 22.0%

Republican 20-25%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 25-30%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

16.0%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 22.0%

Republican 25-30%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 30-35%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

5.1%

Bid 0.9% · Ask 9.2%

Republican 30-35%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 35-40%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.5%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.9%

Republican 35-40%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 40-45%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.7%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.1%

Republican 40-45%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 45%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.7%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.2%

Republican 45%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Rhoden, 6+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

88.7%

Bid 83.0% · Ask 94.4%

Rhoden, 6+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Rhoden, 9+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

79.0%

Bid 73.0% · Ask 85.0%

Rhoden, 9+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Rhoden, 12+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

72.0%

Bid 60.0% · Ask 72.0%

Rhoden, 12+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Rhoden, 15+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

57.0%

Bid 45.0% · Ask 57.0%

Rhoden, 15+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Rhoden, 18+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

41.0%

Bid 29.0% · Ask 41.0%

Rhoden, 18+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Rhoden, 21+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

28.0%

Bid 16.0% · Ask 28.0%

Rhoden, 21+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Rhoden, 24+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

18.0%

Bid 6.4% · Ask 18.0%

Rhoden, 24+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Rhoden, 27+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

11.0%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 11.0%

Rhoden, 27+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Rhoden, 30+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

8.2%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 8.2%

Rhoden, 30+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Rhoden, 33+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

3.4%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.7%

Rhoden, 33+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Rhoden, 36+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

3.1%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.2%

Rhoden, 36+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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