Market comparison

South Dakota Senate margin of victory

2 venues · 28 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

13 outcomes · $27K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

17 outcomes · $13K reported volume

Observed 32s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for South Dakota Senate margin of victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Democrat Wins Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Democrat Wins · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Independent Wins Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.8% Bid 6.7% · Ask 6.8% Independent Wins Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 0-10% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	38.5% Bid 30.9% · Ask 46.0% Republican 0-10% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 10-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	19.0% Bid 18.0% · Ask 20.0% Republican 10-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 15-20% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	18.0% Bid 17.0% · Ask 19.0% Republican 15-20% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 20-25% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	7.5% Bid 3.0% · Ask 12.0% Republican 20-25% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 25-30% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.5% Bid 4.0% · Ask 4.9% Republican 25-30% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 30-35% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	7.1% Bid 4.7% · Ask 9.6% Republican 30-35% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 35-40% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.9% Bid 0.6% · Ask 5.1% Republican 35-40% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 40-45% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.5% Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.9% Republican 40-45% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 45%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.5% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.9% Republican 45%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Rounds, 3+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	88.0% Bid 87.0% · Ask 95.4% Rounds, 3+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Rounds, 5+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	83.0% Bid 83.0% · Ask 94.4% Rounds, 5+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Rounds, 7+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	77.0% Bid 77.0% · Ask 89.0% Rounds, 7+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Rounds, 9+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	71.0% Bid 71.0% · Ask 83.0% Rounds, 9+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Rounds, 11+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	62.0% Bid 62.0% · Ask 74.0% Rounds, 11+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Rounds, 13+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	53.0% Bid 53.0% · Ask 65.0% Rounds, 13+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Rounds, 15+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	44.0% Bid 43.0% · Ask 49.0% Rounds, 15+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Rounds, 17+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	34.0% Bid 34.0% · Ask 46.0% Rounds, 17+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Rounds, 19+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	25.0% Bid 25.0% · Ask 29.0% Rounds, 19+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Rounds, 21+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	17.0% Bid 17.0% · Ask 28.0% Rounds, 21+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Rounds, 23+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	13.0% Bid 9.6% · Ask 21.0% Rounds, 23+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Rounds, 25+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	11.0% Bid 4.1% · Ask 16.0% Rounds, 25+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Rounds, 27+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	8.3% Bid 3.0% · Ask 12.0% Rounds, 27+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Rounds, 29+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	5.1% Bid 3.0% · Ask 7.3% Rounds, 29+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Rounds, 31+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	7.9% Bid 3.0% · Ask 7.9% Rounds, 31+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Rounds, 33+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	3.6% Bid 0.1% · Ask 7.0% Rounds, 33+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Rounds, 35+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	3.2% Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.4% Rounds, 35+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—

Democrat Wins

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Democrat Wins · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Independent Wins

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

6.8%

Bid 6.7% · Ask 6.8%

Independent Wins

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 0-10%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

38.5%

Bid 30.9% · Ask 46.0%

Republican 0-10%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 10-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

19.0%

Bid 18.0% · Ask 20.0%

Republican 10-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 15-20%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

18.0%

Bid 17.0% · Ask 19.0%

Republican 15-20%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 20-25%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

7.5%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 12.0%

Republican 20-25%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 25-30%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.5%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 4.9%

Republican 25-30%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 30-35%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

7.1%

Bid 4.7% · Ask 9.6%

Republican 30-35%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 35-40%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.9%

Bid 0.6% · Ask 5.1%

Republican 35-40%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 40-45%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.5%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.9%

Republican 40-45%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 45%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.5%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.9%

Republican 45%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Rounds, 3+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

88.0%

Bid 87.0% · Ask 95.4%

Rounds, 3+ pts

South Dakota Senate margin of victory

Polymarket

Kalshi

Democrat Wins

Polymarket

Kalshi

Independent Wins

Polymarket

Kalshi

Republican 0-10%

Polymarket

Kalshi

Republican 10-15%

Polymarket

Kalshi

Republican 15-20%

Polymarket

Kalshi

Republican 20-25%

Polymarket

Kalshi

Republican 25-30%

Polymarket

Kalshi

Republican 30-35%

Polymarket

Kalshi

Republican 35-40%

Polymarket

Kalshi

Republican 40-45%

Polymarket

Kalshi

Republican 45%+

Polymarket

Kalshi

Rounds, 3+ pts

Polymarket

Kalshi

Rounds, 5+ pts

Polymarket

Kalshi

Rounds, 7+ pts

Polymarket

Kalshi

Rounds, 9+ pts

Polymarket

Kalshi

Rounds, 11+ pts

Polymarket

Kalshi

Rounds, 13+ pts

Polymarket

Kalshi

Rounds, 15+ pts

Polymarket

Kalshi

Rounds, 17+ pts

Polymarket

Kalshi

Rounds, 19+ pts

Polymarket

Kalshi

Rounds, 21+ pts

Polymarket

Kalshi

Rounds, 23+ pts

Polymarket

Kalshi

Rounds, 25+ pts

Polymarket

Kalshi

Rounds, 27+ pts

Polymarket

Kalshi

Rounds, 29+ pts

Polymarket

Kalshi

Rounds, 31+ pts

Polymarket