Market comparison

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12

1 venue · 19 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · inactive

Polymarket

19 outcomes · $1.8M reported volume

Observed 3884h ago · stale

Recorded venue end date: Jan 31, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12
Outcome	Polymarket	Difference
April 7 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old April 7 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
April 14 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old April 14 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
April 21 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old April 21 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
April 30 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old April 30 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Chopsticks catch Super Heavy booster? Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.4%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Chopsticks catch Super Heavy booster? Open Polymarket ↗	—
Chopsticks catch Super Heavy booster? Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Chopsticks catch Super Heavy booster? · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
December 31 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old December 31 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
February 28 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old February 28 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
January 31 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old January 31 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
June 30 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	96.1%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old June 30 Open Polymarket ↗	—
March 31 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old March 31 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
May 15 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old May 15 Open Polymarket ↗	—
May 22 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	65.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old May 22 Open Polymarket ↗	—
May 31 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	92.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old May 31 Open Polymarket ↗	—
November 30 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old November 30 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Successful splash down? Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	73.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Successful splash down? Open Polymarket ↗	—
Successful splash down? Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Successful splash down? · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Super Heavy booster explodes? Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	94.5%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Super Heavy booster explodes? Open Polymarket ↗	—
Super Heavy booster explodes? Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Super Heavy booster explodes? · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—

April 7

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

April 7 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

April 14

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

April 14 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

April 21

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

April 21 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

April 30

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

April 30 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Chopsticks catch Super Heavy booster?

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.4%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Chopsticks catch Super Heavy booster?

Open Polymarket ↗

Chopsticks catch Super Heavy booster?

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Chopsticks catch Super Heavy booster? · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

December 31

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

December 31 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

February 28

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

February 28 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

January 31

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

January 31 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

June 30

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

96.1%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

June 30

Open Polymarket ↗

March 31

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

March 31 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

May 15

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

May 15

Open Polymarket ↗

May 22

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

65.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

May 22

Open Polymarket ↗

May 31

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

92.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

May 31

Open Polymarket ↗

November 30

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

November 30 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Successful splash down?

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

73.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Successful splash down?

Open Polymarket ↗

Successful splash down?

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Successful splash down? · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Super Heavy booster explodes?

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

94.5%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Super Heavy booster explodes?

Open Polymarket ↗

Super Heavy booster explodes?

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Super Heavy booster explodes? · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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