The Prediction Markets

Market comparison

Tennessee Senate margin of victory

2 venues · 27 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

12 outcomes · $11K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

17 outcomes · $7K reported volume

Observed 2m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Democrat Wins

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.9%

Bid 4.8% · Ask 4.9%

Democrat Wins

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Hagerty, 4+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

94.8%

Bid 93.3% · Ask 96.3%

Hagerty, 4+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Hagerty, 6+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

94.5%

Bid 92.6% · Ask 96.3%

Hagerty, 6+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Hagerty, 8+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

92.0%

Bid 92.0% · Ask 96.3%

Hagerty, 8+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Hagerty, 10+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

91.2%

Bid 90.0% · Ask 96.2%

Hagerty, 10+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Hagerty, 12+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

89.0%

Bid 86.0% · Ask 96.2%

Hagerty, 12+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Hagerty, 14+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

85.0%

Bid 77.0% · Ask 89.0%

Hagerty, 14+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Hagerty, 16+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

76.0%

Bid 68.0% · Ask 78.0%

Hagerty, 16+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Hagerty, 18+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

65.0%

Bid 61.0% · Ask 72.0%

Hagerty, 18+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Hagerty, 20+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

63.0%

Bid 51.0% · Ask 63.0%

Hagerty, 20+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Hagerty, 22+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

52.0%

Bid 41.0% · Ask 53.0%

Hagerty, 22+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Hagerty, 24+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

42.0%

Bid 30.0% · Ask 42.0%

Hagerty, 24+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Hagerty, 26+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

33.0%

Bid 21.0% · Ask 33.0%

Hagerty, 26+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Hagerty, 28+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

16.0%

Bid 13.0% · Ask 25.0%

Hagerty, 28+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Hagerty, 30+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

8.4%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 18.0%

Hagerty, 30+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Hagerty, 32+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

6.5%

Bid 0.9% · Ask 12.0%

Hagerty, 32+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Hagerty, 34+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

4.8%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 9.6%

Hagerty, 34+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Hagerty, 36+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

3.8%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 7.6%

Hagerty, 36+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republican 0-10%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.1%

Bid 0.9% · Ask 5.4%

Republican 0-10%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 10-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

12.0%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 18.0%

Republican 10-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 15-20%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

26.0%

Bid 18.0% · Ask 34.0%

Republican 15-20%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 20-25%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

31.5%

Bid 29.0% · Ask 34.0%

Republican 20-25%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 25-30%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

8.0%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 12.0%

Republican 25-30%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 30-35%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

16.2%

Bid 1.8% · Ask 30.6%

Republican 30-35%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 35-40%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.5%

Bid 2.5% · Ask 6.5%

Republican 35-40%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 40-45%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.6%

Bid 0.4% · Ask 2.8%

Republican 40-45%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 45%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.1%

Bid 0.9% · Ask 7.3%

Republican 45%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.