Market comparison

Tennessee's 2nd District margin of victory

2 venues · 18 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

12 outcomes · $14K reported volume

Observed 28s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

9 outcomes · $1K reported volume

Observed 28s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Tennessee's 2nd District margin of victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Burchett, 15+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	92.4% Bid 87.0% · Ask 97.8% Burchett, 15+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Burchett, 18+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	81.0% Bid 81.0% · Ask 91.3% Burchett, 18+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Burchett, 21+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	70.0% Bid 70.0% · Ask 79.0% Burchett, 21+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Burchett, 24+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	59.0% Bid 55.0% · Ask 65.0% Burchett, 24+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Burchett, 27+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	39.0% Bid 39.0% · Ask 49.0% Burchett, 27+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Burchett, 30+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	26.0% Bid 23.0% · Ask 35.0% Burchett, 30+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Burchett, 33+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	15.0% Bid 12.0% · Ask 23.0% Burchett, 33+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Burchett, 36+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	8.2% Bid 2.4% · Ask 14.0% Burchett, 36+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Burchett, 39+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	6.3% Bid 0.6% · Ask 9.9% Burchett, 39+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Democrat Wins Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.4% Bid 6.0% · Ask 6.8% Democrat Wins Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 0-10% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.3% Bid 0.3% · Ask 2.3% Republican 0-10% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 10-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.0% Bid 0.9% · Ask 5.1% Republican 10-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 15-20% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	7.5% Bid 5.0% · Ask 10.0% Republican 15-20% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 20-25% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	27.0% Bid 25.0% · Ask 29.0% Republican 20-25% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 25-30% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	22.0% Bid 15.0% · Ask 29.0% Republican 25-30% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 30-35% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	17.5% Bid 17.0% · Ask 18.0% Republican 30-35% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 35-40% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.7% Bid 0.9% · Ask 2.5% Republican 35-40% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 40%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.0% Bid 3.6% · Ask 8.5% Republican 40%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Burchett, 15+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

92.4%

Bid 87.0% · Ask 97.8%

Burchett, 15+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Burchett, 18+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

81.0%

Bid 81.0% · Ask 91.3%

Burchett, 18+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Burchett, 21+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

70.0%

Bid 70.0% · Ask 79.0%

Burchett, 21+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Burchett, 24+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

59.0%

Bid 55.0% · Ask 65.0%

Burchett, 24+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Burchett, 27+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

39.0%

Bid 39.0% · Ask 49.0%

Burchett, 27+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Burchett, 30+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

26.0%

Bid 23.0% · Ask 35.0%

Burchett, 30+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Burchett, 33+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

15.0%

Bid 12.0% · Ask 23.0%

Burchett, 33+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Burchett, 36+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

8.2%

Bid 2.4% · Ask 14.0%

Burchett, 36+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Burchett, 39+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

6.3%

Bid 0.6% · Ask 9.9%

Burchett, 39+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Democrat Wins

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

6.4%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 6.8%

Democrat Wins

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 0-10%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.3%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 2.3%

Republican 0-10%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 10-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.0%

Bid 0.9% · Ask 5.1%

Republican 10-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 15-20%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

7.5%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 10.0%

Republican 15-20%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 20-25%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

27.0%

Bid 25.0% · Ask 29.0%

Republican 20-25%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 25-30%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

22.0%

Bid 15.0% · Ask 29.0%

Republican 25-30%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 30-35%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

17.5%

Bid 17.0% · Ask 18.0%

Republican 30-35%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 35-40%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.7%

Bid 0.9% · Ask 2.5%

Republican 35-40%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 40%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

6.0%

Bid 3.6% · Ask 8.5%

Republican 40%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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