Market comparison

Texas Governor: margin of victory

2 venues · 41 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

31 outcomes · $242K reported volume

Observed 50s ago

Observed 1m ago

Observed 9m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

12 outcomes · $23K reported volume

Observed 50s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Texas Governor: margin of victory
Outcome	Kalshi	Polymarket	Difference
Abbott 0-3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	19.5% Bid 19.0% · Ask 20.0% Abbott 0-3% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Abbott 3-6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	21.5% Bid 21.0% · Ask 22.0% Abbott 3-6% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Abbott 6-9% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	16.0% Bid 15.0% · Ask 17.0% Abbott 6-9% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Abbott 9-12% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	8.0% Bid 7.0% · Ask 9.0% Abbott 9-12% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Abbott 12-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	4.2% Bid 2.4% · Ask 5.9% Abbott 12-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Abbott 15-18% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.6% Bid 0.4% · Ask 2.8% Abbott 15-18% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Abbott 18%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	4.3% Bid 0.7% · Ask 7.8% Abbott 18%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—
Abbott, 1+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	69.0% Bid 68.0% · Ask 69.0% Abbott, 1+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Abbott, 2+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	60.0% Bid 57.0% · Ask 60.0% Abbott, 2+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Abbott, 3+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	53.0% Bid 52.0% · Ask 53.0% Abbott, 3+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Abbott, 4+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	42.5% Bid 39.0% · Ask 46.0% Abbott, 4+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Abbott, 5+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	34.0% Bid 33.0% · Ask 34.0% Abbott, 5+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Abbott, 6+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	33.0% Bid 32.0% · Ask 33.0% Abbott, 6+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Abbott, 7+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	26.0% Bid 20.0% · Ask 27.0% Abbott, 7+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Abbott, 8+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	22.0% Bid 15.0% · Ask 22.0% Abbott, 8+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Abbott, 9+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	16.0% Bid 14.0% · Ask 17.0% Abbott, 9+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Abbott, 12+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	8.5% Bid 7.0% · Ask 8.5% Abbott, 12+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Abbott, 15+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.9% Bid 1.0% · Ask 5.9% Abbott, 15+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Abbott, 18+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.6% Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.2% Abbott, 18+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Abbott, 21+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0% Abbott, 21+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Gina Hinojosa, ≥6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	7.0% Bid 7.0% · Ask 8.0% Gina Hinojosa, ≥6% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Gina Hinojosa, 0-2% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	11.0% Bid 10.0% · Ask 11.0% Gina Hinojosa, 0-2% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Gina Hinojosa, 2-4% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	9.0% Bid 8.0% · Ask 9.0% Gina Hinojosa, 2-4% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Gina Hinojosa, 4-6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.0% Bid 6.0% · Ask 7.0% Gina Hinojosa, 4-6% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Greg Abbott, ≥12% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	10.0% Bid 10.0% · Ask 11.0% Greg Abbott, ≥12% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Greg Abbott, 0-2% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	11.0% Bid 11.0% · Ask 12.0% Greg Abbott, 0-2% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Greg Abbott, 2-4% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	12.0% Bid 12.0% · Ask 13.0% Greg Abbott, 2-4% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Greg Abbott, 4-6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	12.0% Bid 12.0% · Ask 13.0% Greg Abbott, 4-6% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Greg Abbott, 6-8% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	12.0% Bid 12.0% · Ask 13.0% Greg Abbott, 6-8% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Greg Abbott, 8-10% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	7.0% Bid 7.0% · Ask 8.0% Greg Abbott, 8-10% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Greg Abbott, 10-12% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.0% Bid 6.0% · Ask 7.0% Greg Abbott, 10-12% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Hinojosa 0-3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	12.6% Bid 12.2% · Ask 12.9% Hinojosa 0-3% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Hinojosa 3-6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	11.9% Bid 11.2% · Ask 12.7% Hinojosa 3-6% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Hinojosa 6%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	4.6% Bid 4.0% · Ask 5.2% Hinojosa 6%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—
Hinojosa, 1+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	28.0% Bid 21.0% · Ask 28.0% Hinojosa, 1+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Hinojosa, 2+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	17.0% Bid 17.0% · Ask 21.0% Hinojosa, 2+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Hinojosa, 3+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	14.0% Bid 14.0% · Ask 16.0% Hinojosa, 3+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Hinojosa, 4+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	13.0% Bid 7.0% · Ask 13.0% Hinojosa, 4+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Hinojosa, 5+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	8.2% Bid 4.1% · Ask 12.0% Hinojosa, 5+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Hinojosa, 6+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.0% Bid 3.1% · Ask 8.9% Hinojosa, 6+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Hinojosa, 7+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.4% Bid 0.1% · Ask 8.7% Hinojosa, 7+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—

Abbott 0-3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

19.5%

Bid 19.0% · Ask 20.0%

Abbott 0-3%

Open Polymarket ↗

Abbott 3-6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

21.5%

Bid 21.0% · Ask 22.0%

Abbott 3-6%

Open Polymarket ↗

Abbott 6-9%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

16.0%

Bid 15.0% · Ask 17.0%

Abbott 6-9%

Open Polymarket ↗

Abbott 9-12%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

8.0%

Bid 7.0% · Ask 9.0%

Abbott 9-12%

Open Polymarket ↗

Abbott 12-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

4.2%

Bid 2.4% · Ask 5.9%

Abbott 12-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Abbott 15-18%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

1.6%

Bid 0.4% · Ask 2.8%

Abbott 15-18%

Open Polymarket ↗

Abbott 18%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

4.3%

Bid 0.7% · Ask 7.8%

Abbott 18%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Abbott, 1+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

69.0%

Bid 68.0% · Ask 69.0%

Abbott, 1+ pts

Texas Governor: margin of victory

Kalshi

Polymarket

Abbott 0-3%

Kalshi

Polymarket

Abbott 3-6%

Kalshi

Polymarket

Abbott 6-9%

Kalshi

Polymarket

Abbott 9-12%

Kalshi

Polymarket

Abbott 12-15%

Kalshi

Polymarket

Abbott 15-18%

Kalshi

Polymarket

Abbott 18%+

Kalshi

Polymarket

Abbott, 1+ pts

Kalshi

Polymarket

Abbott, 2+ pts

Kalshi

Polymarket

Abbott, 3+ pts

Kalshi

Polymarket

Abbott, 4+ pts

Kalshi

Polymarket

Abbott, 5+ pts

Kalshi

Polymarket

Abbott, 6+ pts

Kalshi

Polymarket

Abbott, 7+ pts

Kalshi

Polymarket

Abbott, 8+ pts

Kalshi

Polymarket

Abbott, 9+ pts

Kalshi

Polymarket

Abbott, 12+ pts

Kalshi

Polymarket

Abbott, 15+ pts

Kalshi

Polymarket

Abbott, 18+ pts

Kalshi

Polymarket

Abbott, 21+ pts

Kalshi

Polymarket

Gina Hinojosa, ≥6%

Kalshi

Polymarket

Gina Hinojosa, 0-2%

Kalshi

Polymarket

Gina Hinojosa, 2-4%

Kalshi

Polymarket

Gina Hinojosa, 4-6%

Kalshi

Polymarket

Greg Abbott, ≥12%

Kalshi

Polymarket

Greg Abbott, 0-2%

Kalshi