Market comparison

Texas Senate Election: Turnout

2 venues · 21 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

11 outcomes · $35K reported volume

Observed 2m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

10 outcomes · $24K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Texas Senate Election: Turnout
Outcome	Kalshi	Polymarket	Difference
8.4M-8.8M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	3.9% Bid 0.8% · Ask 7.0% 8.4M-8.8M Open Polymarket ↗	—
8.8M-9.2M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.5% Bid 0.3% · Ask 2.6% 8.8M-9.2M Open Polymarket ↗	—
8M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	3.7% Bid 0.4% · Ask 7.0% <8M Open Polymarket ↗	—
8M-8.4M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.5% Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.0% 8M-8.4M Open Polymarket ↗	—
9.2M-9.6M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	6.5% Bid 6.0% · Ask 7.0% 9.2M-9.6M Open Polymarket ↗	—
9.6M-10M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	30.0% Bid 29.0% · Ask 31.0% 9.6M-10M Open Polymarket ↗	—
10.4M-10.8M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	7.0% Bid 5.0% · Ask 9.0% 10.4M-10.8M Open Polymarket ↗	—
10.8M-11.2M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	10.6% Bid 6.6% · Ask 14.6% 10.8M-11.2M Open Polymarket ↗	—
10M-10.4M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	21.0% Bid 17.0% · Ask 25.0% 10M-10.4M Open Polymarket ↗	—
11.2M+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	26.3% Bid 25.6% · Ask 27.0% 11.2M+ Open Polymarket ↗	—
Above 8.20M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	90.0% Bid 89.0% · Ask 98.0% Above 8.20M Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Above 8.80M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	83.0% Bid 82.0% · Ask 90.0% Above 8.80M Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Above 9.40M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	79.0% Bid 74.0% · Ask 79.0% Above 9.40M Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Above 10.00M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	65.0% Bid 56.0% · Ask 65.0% Above 10.00M Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Above 10.30M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	58.0% Bid 49.0% · Ask 58.0% Above 10.30M Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Above 10.60M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	45.0% Bid 42.0% · Ask 46.0% Above 10.60M Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Above 11.20M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	28.0% Bid 28.0% · Ask 32.0% Above 11.20M Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Above 11.80M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	21.0% Bid 20.0% · Ask 22.0% Above 11.80M Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Above 12.40M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	20.0% Bid 11.0% · Ask 20.0% Above 12.40M Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Above 12.90M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	10.0% Bid 4.0% · Ask 12.0% Above 12.90M Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Above 13.50M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	7.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 10.0% Above 13.50M Open Kalshi ↗	—	—

8.4M-8.8M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

3.9%

Bid 0.8% · Ask 7.0%

8.4M-8.8M

Open Polymarket ↗

8.8M-9.2M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

1.5%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 2.6%

8.8M-9.2M

Open Polymarket ↗

8M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

3.7%

Bid 0.4% · Ask 7.0%

<8M

Open Polymarket ↗

8M-8.4M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.5%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.0%

8M-8.4M

Open Polymarket ↗

9.2M-9.6M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

6.5%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 7.0%

9.2M-9.6M

Open Polymarket ↗

9.6M-10M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

30.0%

Bid 29.0% · Ask 31.0%

9.6M-10M

Open Polymarket ↗

10.4M-10.8M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

7.0%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 9.0%

10.4M-10.8M

Open Polymarket ↗

10.8M-11.2M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

10.6%

Bid 6.6% · Ask 14.6%

10.8M-11.2M

Open Polymarket ↗

10M-10.4M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

21.0%

Bid 17.0% · Ask 25.0%

10M-10.4M

Open Polymarket ↗

11.2M+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

26.3%

Bid 25.6% · Ask 27.0%

11.2M+

Open Polymarket ↗

Above 8.20M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

90.0%

Bid 89.0% · Ask 98.0%

Above 8.20M

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Above 8.80M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

83.0%

Bid 82.0% · Ask 90.0%

Above 8.80M

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Above 9.40M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

79.0%

Bid 74.0% · Ask 79.0%

Above 9.40M

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Above 10.00M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

65.0%

Bid 56.0% · Ask 65.0%

Above 10.00M

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Above 10.30M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

58.0%

Bid 49.0% · Ask 58.0%

Above 10.30M

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Above 10.60M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

45.0%

Bid 42.0% · Ask 46.0%

Above 10.60M

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Above 11.20M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

28.0%

Bid 28.0% · Ask 32.0%

Above 11.20M

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Above 11.80M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

21.0%

Bid 20.0% · Ask 22.0%

Above 11.80M

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Above 12.40M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

20.0%

Bid 11.0% · Ask 20.0%

Above 12.40M

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Above 12.90M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

10.0%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 12.0%

Above 12.90M

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Above 13.50M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

7.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 10.0%

Above 13.50M

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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