Market comparison

Texas's 22nd District margin of victory

2 venues · 18 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

12 outcomes · $18K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

9 outcomes · $1K reported volume

Observed 48s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Texas's 22nd District margin of victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Democrat Wins Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.9% Bid 0.9% · Ask 3.0% Democrat Wins Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Nehls, 3+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	91.3% Bid 86.0% · Ask 96.6% Nehls, 3+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Nehls, 6+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	80.0% Bid 76.0% · Ask 88.0% Nehls, 6+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Nehls, 9+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	75.0% Bid 63.0% · Ask 75.0% Nehls, 9+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Nehls, 12+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 48.0% · Ask 60.0% Nehls, 12+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Nehls, 15+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	37.0% Bid 31.0% · Ask 43.0% Nehls, 15+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Nehls, 18+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	29.0% Bid 17.0% · Ask 29.0% Nehls, 18+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Nehls, 21+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	18.0% Bid 6.7% · Ask 18.0% Nehls, 21+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Nehls, 24+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	11.0% Bid 6.6% · Ask 11.0% Nehls, 24+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Nehls, 27+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	4.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 7.9% Nehls, 27+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republican 0-5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.3% Bid 0.7% · Ask 3.8% Republican 0-5% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 5-10% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	18.5% Bid 18.0% · Ask 19.0% Republican 5-10% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 10-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	30.0% Bid 28.0% · Ask 32.0% Republican 10-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 15-20% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	28.0% Bid 26.0% · Ask 30.0% Republican 15-20% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 20-25% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	14.6% Bid 10.5% · Ask 18.7% Republican 20-25% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 25-30% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.9% Bid 0.8% · Ask 3.1% Republican 25-30% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 30-35% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.5% Bid 2.1% · Ask 4.9% Republican 30-35% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 35%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.1% Bid 1.0% · Ask 3.2% Republican 35%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Democrat Wins

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.9%

Bid 0.9% · Ask 3.0%

Democrat Wins

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Nehls, 3+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

91.3%

Bid 86.0% · Ask 96.6%

Nehls, 3+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Nehls, 6+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

80.0%

Bid 76.0% · Ask 88.0%

Nehls, 6+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Nehls, 9+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

75.0%

Bid 63.0% · Ask 75.0%

Nehls, 9+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Nehls, 12+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

50.0%

Bid 48.0% · Ask 60.0%

Nehls, 12+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Nehls, 15+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

37.0%

Bid 31.0% · Ask 43.0%

Nehls, 15+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Nehls, 18+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

29.0%

Bid 17.0% · Ask 29.0%

Nehls, 18+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Nehls, 21+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

18.0%

Bid 6.7% · Ask 18.0%

Nehls, 21+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Nehls, 24+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

11.0%

Bid 6.6% · Ask 11.0%

Nehls, 24+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Nehls, 27+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

4.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 7.9%

Nehls, 27+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republican 0-5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.3%

Bid 0.7% · Ask 3.8%

Republican 0-5%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 5-10%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

18.5%

Bid 18.0% · Ask 19.0%

Republican 5-10%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 10-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

30.0%

Bid 28.0% · Ask 32.0%

Republican 10-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 15-20%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

28.0%

Bid 26.0% · Ask 30.0%

Republican 15-20%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 20-25%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

14.6%

Bid 10.5% · Ask 18.7%

Republican 20-25%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 25-30%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.9%

Bid 0.8% · Ask 3.1%

Republican 25-30%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 30-35%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.5%

Bid 2.1% · Ask 4.9%

Republican 30-35%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 35%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.1%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 3.2%

Republican 35%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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