Market comparison

Texas's 24th District margin of victory

2 venues · 19 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

13 outcomes · $20K reported volume

Observed 48s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

9 outcomes · $3K reported volume

Observed 48s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Texas's 24th District margin of victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Democrat 0-3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	18.3% Bid 1.7% · Ask 34.8% Democrat 0-3% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 0-3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	7.0% Bid 3.1% · Ask 11.0% Republican 0-3% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 3%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.0% Bid 1.1% · Ask 7.0% Democrat 3%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Duyne, 1+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	86.0% Bid 80.0% · Ask 92.0% Duyne, 1+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Duyne, 3+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	80.0% Bid 73.0% · Ask 85.0% Duyne, 3+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Duyne, 6+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	64.0% Bid 58.0% · Ask 70.0% Duyne, 6+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Duyne, 9+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	46.0% Bid 41.0% · Ask 53.0% Duyne, 9+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Duyne, 12+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	26.0% Bid 26.0% · Ask 37.0% Duyne, 12+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Duyne, 15+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	21.0% Bid 14.0% · Ask 25.0% Duyne, 15+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Duyne, 18+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	16.0% Bid 4.6% · Ask 16.0% Duyne, 18+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Duyne, 21+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	9.0% Bid 0.1% · Ask 9.0% Duyne, 21+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Duyne, 24+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	7.7% Bid 1.9% · Ask 7.7% Duyne, 24+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republican 3-6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	21.0% Bid 19.0% · Ask 23.0% Republican 3-6% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 6-9% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	13.8% Bid 10.7% · Ask 16.9% Republican 6-9% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 9-12% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	16.5% Bid 16.0% · Ask 17.0% Republican 9-12% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 12-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	9.0% Bid 3.0% · Ask 15.0% Republican 12-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 15-18% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.2% Bid 0.5% · Ask 9.9% Republican 15-18% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 18-21% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.4% Bid 0.6% · Ask 8.2% Republican 18-21% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 21%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	11.5% Bid 11.0% · Ask 12.0% Republican 21%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Democrat 0-3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

18.3%

Bid 1.7% · Ask 34.8%

Democrat 0-3%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 0-3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

7.0%

Bid 3.1% · Ask 11.0%

Republican 0-3%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 3%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.0%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 7.0%

Democrat 3%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Duyne, 1+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

86.0%

Bid 80.0% · Ask 92.0%

Duyne, 1+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Duyne, 3+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

80.0%

Bid 73.0% · Ask 85.0%

Duyne, 3+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Duyne, 6+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

64.0%

Bid 58.0% · Ask 70.0%

Duyne, 6+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Duyne, 9+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

46.0%

Bid 41.0% · Ask 53.0%

Duyne, 9+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Duyne, 12+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

26.0%

Bid 26.0% · Ask 37.0%

Duyne, 12+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Duyne, 15+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

21.0%

Bid 14.0% · Ask 25.0%

Duyne, 15+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Duyne, 18+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

16.0%

Bid 4.6% · Ask 16.0%

Duyne, 18+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Duyne, 21+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

9.0%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 9.0%

Duyne, 21+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Duyne, 24+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

7.7%

Bid 1.9% · Ask 7.7%

Duyne, 24+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republican 3-6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

21.0%

Bid 19.0% · Ask 23.0%

Republican 3-6%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 6-9%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

13.8%

Bid 10.7% · Ask 16.9%

Republican 6-9%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 9-12%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

16.5%

Bid 16.0% · Ask 17.0%

Republican 9-12%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 12-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

9.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 15.0%

Republican 12-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 15-18%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

5.2%

Bid 0.5% · Ask 9.9%

Republican 15-18%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 18-21%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.4%

Bid 0.6% · Ask 8.2%

Republican 18-21%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 21%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

11.5%

Bid 11.0% · Ask 12.0%

Republican 21%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

View event details, charts and rules →Explore more markets