Market comparison

Texas's 25th District margin of victory

2 venues · 17 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

11 outcomes · $17K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

9 outcomes · $2K reported volume

Observed 3m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Texas's 25th District margin of victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Democrat Wins Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.5% Bid 1.1% · Ask 5.9% Democrat Wins Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 0-5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.2% Bid 0.6% · Ask 9.8% Republican 0-5% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 5-10% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	9.0% Bid 5.6% · Ask 12.5% Republican 5-10% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 10-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	29.5% Bid 28.0% · Ask 31.0% Republican 10-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 15-20% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	15.5% Bid 12.0% · Ask 19.0% Republican 15-20% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 20-25% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	41.5% Bid 34.0% · Ask 49.0% Republican 20-25% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 25-30% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.5% Bid 0.8% · Ask 4.2% Republican 25-30% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 30%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.3% Bid 0.5% · Ask 4.0% Republican 30%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Williams, 6+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	87.0% Bid 87.0% · Ask 97.8% Williams, 6+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Williams, 9+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	85.6% Bid 80.0% · Ask 91.2% Williams, 9+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Williams, 12+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	74.5% Bid 69.0% · Ask 80.0% Williams, 12+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Williams, 15+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	56.0% Bid 55.0% · Ask 66.0% Williams, 15+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Williams, 18+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	40.0% Bid 40.0% · Ask 51.0% Williams, 18+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Williams, 21+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	26.0% Bid 25.0% · Ask 36.0% Williams, 21+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Williams, 24+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	24.0% Bid 13.0% · Ask 24.0% Williams, 24+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Williams, 27+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	12.0% Bid 4.0% · Ask 14.0% Williams, 27+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Williams, 30+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	5.0% Bid 0.1% · Ask 9.8% Williams, 30+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—

Democrat Wins

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.5%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 5.9%

Democrat Wins

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 0-5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

5.2%

Bid 0.6% · Ask 9.8%

Republican 0-5%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 5-10%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

9.0%

Bid 5.6% · Ask 12.5%

Republican 5-10%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 10-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

29.5%

Bid 28.0% · Ask 31.0%

Republican 10-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 15-20%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

15.5%

Bid 12.0% · Ask 19.0%

Republican 15-20%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 20-25%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

41.5%

Bid 34.0% · Ask 49.0%

Republican 20-25%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 25-30%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.5%

Bid 0.8% · Ask 4.2%

Republican 25-30%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 30%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.3%

Bid 0.5% · Ask 4.0%

Republican 30%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Williams, 6+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

87.0%

Bid 87.0% · Ask 97.8%

Williams, 6+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Williams, 9+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

85.6%

Bid 80.0% · Ask 91.2%

Williams, 9+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Williams, 12+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

74.5%

Bid 69.0% · Ask 80.0%

Williams, 12+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Williams, 15+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

56.0%

Bid 55.0% · Ask 66.0%

Williams, 15+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Williams, 18+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

40.0%

Bid 40.0% · Ask 51.0%

Williams, 18+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Williams, 21+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

26.0%

Bid 25.0% · Ask 36.0%

Williams, 21+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Williams, 24+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

24.0%

Bid 13.0% · Ask 24.0%

Williams, 24+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Williams, 27+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

12.0%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 14.0%

Williams, 27+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Williams, 30+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

5.0%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 9.8%

Williams, 30+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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