Market comparison

Texas's 28th District margin of victory

2 venues · 19 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

13 outcomes · $39K reported volume

Observed 45s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

9 outcomes · $9K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Texas's 28th District margin of victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Cuellar, 2+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	88.0% Bid 88.0% · Ask 92.3% Cuellar, 2+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Cuellar, 5+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	83.0% Bid 83.0% · Ask 91.9% Cuellar, 5+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Cuellar, 8+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	69.0% Bid 69.0% · Ask 75.0% Cuellar, 8+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Cuellar, 11+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	54.0% Bid 54.0% · Ask 66.0% Cuellar, 11+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Cuellar, 14+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	37.0% Bid 37.0% · Ask 49.0% Cuellar, 14+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Cuellar, 17+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	29.0% Bid 22.0% · Ask 34.0% Cuellar, 17+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Cuellar, 20+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	19.0% Bid 9.4% · Ask 21.0% Cuellar, 20+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Cuellar, 23+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	7.1% Bid 1.1% · Ask 13.0% Cuellar, 23+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Democrat 3-6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	11.5% Bid 11.0% · Ask 12.0% Democrat 3-6% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 6-9% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	17.0% Bid 16.0% · Ask 18.0% Democrat 6-9% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 9-12% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	20.5% Bid 19.0% · Ask 22.0% Democrat 9-12% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 12-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	13.6% Bid 12.6% · Ask 14.5% Democrat 12-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 15-18% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	10.7% Bid 8.0% · Ask 13.4% Democrat 15-18% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 18-21% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	8.6% Bid 7.0% · Ask 10.1% Democrat 18-21% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 21%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	12.6% Bid 12.2% · Ask 13.0% Democrat 21%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 0-3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.0% Bid 6.0% · Ask 6.1% Democrat 0-3% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 0-3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.5% Bid 4.0% · Ask 5.0% Republican 0-3% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 3%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.3% Bid 1.2% · Ask 1.3% Republican 3%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Tijerina, 1+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	8.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 8.0% Tijerina, 1+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—

Cuellar, 2+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

88.0%

Bid 88.0% · Ask 92.3%

Cuellar, 2+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Cuellar, 5+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

83.0%

Bid 83.0% · Ask 91.9%

Cuellar, 5+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Cuellar, 8+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

69.0%

Bid 69.0% · Ask 75.0%

Cuellar, 8+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Cuellar, 11+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

54.0%

Bid 54.0% · Ask 66.0%

Cuellar, 11+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Cuellar, 14+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

37.0%

Bid 37.0% · Ask 49.0%

Cuellar, 14+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Cuellar, 17+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

29.0%

Bid 22.0% · Ask 34.0%

Cuellar, 17+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Cuellar, 20+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

19.0%

Bid 9.4% · Ask 21.0%

Cuellar, 20+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Cuellar, 23+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

7.1%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 13.0%

Cuellar, 23+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Democrat 3-6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

11.5%

Bid 11.0% · Ask 12.0%

Democrat 3-6%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 6-9%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

17.0%

Bid 16.0% · Ask 18.0%

Democrat 6-9%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 9-12%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

20.5%

Bid 19.0% · Ask 22.0%

Democrat 9-12%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 12-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

13.6%

Bid 12.6% · Ask 14.5%

Democrat 12-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 15-18%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

10.7%

Bid 8.0% · Ask 13.4%

Democrat 15-18%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 18-21%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

8.6%

Bid 7.0% · Ask 10.1%

Democrat 18-21%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 21%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

12.6%

Bid 12.2% · Ask 13.0%

Democrat 21%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 0-3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

6.0%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 6.1%

Democrat 0-3%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 0-3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.5%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 5.0%

Republican 0-3%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 3%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.3%

Bid 1.2% · Ask 1.3%

Republican 3%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Tijerina, 1+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

8.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 8.0%

Tijerina, 1+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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