Market comparison

Texas's 5th District margin of victory

2 venues · 18 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

11 outcomes · $19K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

10 outcomes · $2K reported volume

Observed 23s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Texas's 5th District margin of victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Democrat Wins Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.3% Bid 0.5% · Ask 10.0% Democrat Wins Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Gooden, 2+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	91.8% Bid 86.0% · Ask 97.7% Gooden, 2+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Gooden, 5+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	86.0% Bid 76.0% · Ask 88.0% Gooden, 5+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Gooden, 8+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	75.0% Bid 63.0% · Ask 75.0% Gooden, 8+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Gooden, 11+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	54.0% Bid 47.0% · Ask 59.0% Gooden, 11+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Gooden, 14+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	42.0% Bid 30.0% · Ask 42.0% Gooden, 14+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Gooden, 17+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	24.0% Bid 17.0% · Ask 27.0% Gooden, 17+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Gooden, 20+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	16.0% Bid 4.9% · Ask 16.0% Gooden, 20+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Gooden, 23+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	9.9% Bid 7.3% · Ask 9.9% Gooden, 23+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Gooden, 26+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	7.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 7.5% Gooden, 26+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Gooden, 29+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	3.2% Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.4% Gooden, 29+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republican 0-5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	8.7% Bid 1.8% · Ask 15.6% Republican 0-5% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 5-10% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	21.0% Bid 20.0% · Ask 22.0% Republican 5-10% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 10-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	31.5% Bid 29.0% · Ask 34.0% Republican 10-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 15-20% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	25.5% Bid 24.0% · Ask 27.0% Republican 15-20% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 20-25% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	13.5% Bid 10.0% · Ask 17.0% Republican 20-25% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 25-30% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.3% Bid 0.4% · Ask 8.1% Republican 25-30% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 30%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.4% Bid 0.8% · Ask 5.9% Republican 30%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Democrat Wins

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

5.3%

Bid 0.5% · Ask 10.0%

Democrat Wins

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Gooden, 2+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

91.8%

Bid 86.0% · Ask 97.7%

Gooden, 2+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Gooden, 5+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

86.0%

Bid 76.0% · Ask 88.0%

Gooden, 5+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Gooden, 8+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

75.0%

Bid 63.0% · Ask 75.0%

Gooden, 8+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Gooden, 11+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

54.0%

Bid 47.0% · Ask 59.0%

Gooden, 11+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Gooden, 14+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

42.0%

Bid 30.0% · Ask 42.0%

Gooden, 14+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Gooden, 17+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

24.0%

Bid 17.0% · Ask 27.0%

Gooden, 17+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Gooden, 20+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

16.0%

Bid 4.9% · Ask 16.0%

Gooden, 20+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Gooden, 23+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

9.9%

Bid 7.3% · Ask 9.9%

Gooden, 23+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Gooden, 26+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

7.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 7.5%

Gooden, 26+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Gooden, 29+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

3.2%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.4%

Gooden, 29+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republican 0-5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

8.7%

Bid 1.8% · Ask 15.6%

Republican 0-5%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 5-10%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

21.0%

Bid 20.0% · Ask 22.0%

Republican 5-10%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 10-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

31.5%

Bid 29.0% · Ask 34.0%

Republican 10-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 15-20%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

25.5%

Bid 24.0% · Ask 27.0%

Republican 15-20%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 20-25%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

13.5%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 17.0%

Republican 20-25%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 25-30%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.3%

Bid 0.4% · Ask 8.1%

Republican 25-30%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 30%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.4%

Bid 0.8% · Ask 5.9%

Republican 30%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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