Market comparison

Texas's 8th District margin of victory

2 venues · 18 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

12 outcomes · $11K reported volume

Observed 56s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

9 outcomes · $1K reported volume

Observed 56s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Texas's 8th District margin of victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Democrat Wins Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.6% Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.0% Democrat Wins Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 0-5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2% Republican 0-5% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 5-10% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	20.5% Bid 17.0% · Ask 24.0% Republican 5-10% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 10-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	18.0% Bid 16.0% · Ask 20.0% Republican 10-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 15-20% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	23.5% Bid 20.0% · Ask 27.0% Republican 15-20% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 20-25% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	19.0% Bid 17.0% · Ask 21.0% Republican 20-25% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 25-30% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	8.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 15.0% Republican 25-30% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 30-35% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	10.5% Bid 7.4% · Ask 13.6% Republican 30-35% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 35%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.9% Bid 1.1% · Ask 6.7% Republican 35%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Steinmann, 9+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	90.0% Bid 84.0% · Ask 95.9% Steinmann, 9+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Steinmann, 12+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	84.0% Bid 74.0% · Ask 85.0% Steinmann, 12+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Steinmann, 15+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	66.0% Bid 64.0% · Ask 75.0% Steinmann, 15+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Steinmann, 18+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	59.5% Bid 54.0% · Ask 65.0% Steinmann, 18+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Steinmann, 21+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	44.0% Bid 44.0% · Ask 55.0% Steinmann, 21+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Steinmann, 24+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	39.5% Bid 34.0% · Ask 45.0% Steinmann, 24+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Steinmann, 27+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	24.0% Bid 24.0% · Ask 35.0% Steinmann, 27+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Steinmann, 30+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	14.0% Bid 14.0% · Ask 25.0% Steinmann, 30+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Steinmann, 33+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	14.0% Bid 4.1% · Ask 15.0% Steinmann, 33+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—

Democrat Wins

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.6%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.0%

Democrat Wins

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 0-5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2%

Republican 0-5%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 5-10%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

20.5%

Bid 17.0% · Ask 24.0%

Republican 5-10%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 10-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

18.0%

Bid 16.0% · Ask 20.0%

Republican 10-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 15-20%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

23.5%

Bid 20.0% · Ask 27.0%

Republican 15-20%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 20-25%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

19.0%

Bid 17.0% · Ask 21.0%

Republican 20-25%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 25-30%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

8.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 15.0%

Republican 25-30%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 30-35%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

10.5%

Bid 7.4% · Ask 13.6%

Republican 30-35%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 35%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.9%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 6.7%

Republican 35%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Steinmann, 9+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

90.0%

Bid 84.0% · Ask 95.9%

Steinmann, 9+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Steinmann, 12+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

84.0%

Bid 74.0% · Ask 85.0%

Steinmann, 12+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Steinmann, 15+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

66.0%

Bid 64.0% · Ask 75.0%

Steinmann, 15+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Steinmann, 18+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

59.5%

Bid 54.0% · Ask 65.0%

Steinmann, 18+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Steinmann, 21+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

44.0%

Bid 44.0% · Ask 55.0%

Steinmann, 21+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Steinmann, 24+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

39.5%

Bid 34.0% · Ask 45.0%

Steinmann, 24+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Steinmann, 27+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

24.0%

Bid 24.0% · Ask 35.0%

Steinmann, 27+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Steinmann, 30+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

14.0%

Bid 14.0% · Ask 25.0%

Steinmann, 30+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Steinmann, 33+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

14.0%

Bid 4.1% · Ask 15.0%

Steinmann, 33+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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