Market comparison

TIME Person of the Year 2026

2 venues · 45 outcome rows · 25 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

42 outcomes · $1.9M reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 1, 2027

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

28 outcomes · $147K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Dec 31, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

Known rule differences between venues

Both settle on the publisher's announcement. Groups and concepts (e.g. 'AI', 'ChatGPT') may be judged differently when TIME names a group.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Available outcome prices by venue for TIME Person of the Year 2026
Outcome	Kalshi	Polymarket	Difference
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	3.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 3.0% Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez Open Kalshi ↗	2.3% Bid 1.0% · Ask 3.6% Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez Open Polymarket ↗	0.7 pp
Alysa Liu Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	3.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 3.0% Alysa Liu Open Kalshi ↗	2.2% Bid 0.7% · Ask 3.7% Alysa Liu Open Polymarket ↗	0.8 pp
Bad Bunny Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	3.0% Bid 3.0% · Ask 4.0% Bad Bunny Open Kalshi ↗	3.6% Bid 2.3% · Ask 4.9% Bad Bunny Open Polymarket ↗	0.6 pp
Benjamin Netanyahu Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	8.0% Bid 8.0% · Ask 9.0% Benjamin Netanyahu Open Kalshi ↗	10.5% Bid 10.0% · Ask 11.0% Benjamin Netanyahu Open Polymarket ↗	2.5 pp
Bernie Sanders Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	2.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 3.0% Bernie Sanders Open Kalshi ↗	1.1% Bid 1.0% · Ask 1.2% Bernie Sanders Open Polymarket ↗	0.9 pp
ChatGPT Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	3.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 3.0% ChatGPT Open Kalshi ↗	2.3% Bid 0.7% · Ask 3.8% ChatGPT Open Polymarket ↗	0.8 pp
Christina Koch Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	5.0% Bid 4.0% · Ask 5.0% Christina Koch Open Kalshi ↗	4.7% Bid 3.5% · Ask 5.8% Christina Koch Open Polymarket ↗	0.4 pp
Dario Amodei Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	7.0% Bid 7.0% · Ask 8.0% Dario Amodei Open Kalshi ↗	7.8% Bid 7.6% · Ask 7.9% Dario Amodei Open Polymarket ↗	0.7 pp
Donald Trump Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	10.0% Bid 10.0% · Ask 11.0% Donald Trump Open Kalshi ↗	9.5% Bid 9.0% · Ask 10.0% Donald Trump Open Polymarket ↗	0.5 pp
Elon Musk Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	6.0% Bid 6.0% · Ask 7.0% Elon Musk Open Kalshi ↗	6.0% Bid 5.0% · Ask 7.0% Elon Musk Open Polymarket ↗	0.0 pp
James Talarico Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	7.0% Bid 5.0% · Ask 7.0% James Talarico Open Kalshi ↗	3.6% Bid 2.3% · Ask 4.9% James Talarico Open Polymarket ↗	3.4 pp
Jeremy Hansen Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	5.0% Bid 4.0% · Ask 5.0% Jeremy Hansen Open Kalshi ↗	5.0% Bid 4.1% · Ask 5.9% Jeremy Hansen Open Polymarket ↗	0.0 pp
Jerome Powell Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	2.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% Jerome Powell Open Kalshi ↗	1.5% Bid 0.3% · Ask 2.6% Jerome Powell Open Polymarket ↗	0.5 pp
Marco Rubio Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	4.0% Bid 3.0% · Ask 5.0% Marco Rubio Open Kalshi ↗	4.9% Bid 4.8% · Ask 4.9% Marco Rubio Open Polymarket ↗	0.9 pp
Mark Carney Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	12.0% Bid 12.0% · Ask 13.0% Mark Carney Open Kalshi ↗	16.0% Bid 15.0% · Ask 17.0% Mark Carney Open Polymarket ↗	4.0 pp
Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	4.0% Bid 3.0% · Ask 4.0% Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf Open Kalshi ↗	4.0% Bid 3.2% · Ask 4.7% Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf Open Polymarket ↗	0.1 pp
Mojtaba Khamenei Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	4.0% Bid 3.0% · Ask 4.0% Mojtaba Khamenei Open Kalshi ↗	3.5% Bid 2.1% · Ask 4.8% Mojtaba Khamenei Open Polymarket ↗	0.5 pp
Peter Magyar Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	3.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 3.0% Péter Magyar Open Kalshi ↗	3.6% Bid 2.2% · Ask 5.0% Péter Magyar Open Polymarket ↗	0.6 pp
Pope Leo XIV Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	14.0% Bid 14.0% · Ask 15.0% Pope Leo XIV Open Kalshi ↗	16.5% Bid 16.0% · Ask 17.0% Pope Leo XIV Open Polymarket ↗	2.5 pp
Reid Wiseman Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	6.0% Bid 4.0% · Ask 6.0% Reid Wiseman Open Kalshi ↗	4.5% Bid 3.3% · Ask 5.8% Reid Wiseman Open Polymarket ↗	1.4 pp
Sam Altman Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	5.0% Bid 5.0% · Ask 6.0% Sam Altman Open Kalshi ↗	4.3% Bid 4.1% · Ask 4.5% Sam Altman Open Polymarket ↗	0.7 pp
Shehbaz Sharif Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	3.0% Bid 3.0% · Ask 4.0% Shehbaz Sharif Open Kalshi ↗	2.6% Bid 0.7% · Ask 4.5% Shehbaz Sharif Open Polymarket ↗	0.4 pp
Taylor Swift Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	3.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 3.0% Taylor Swift Open Kalshi ↗	1.6% Bid 0.3% · Ask 2.8% Taylor Swift Open Polymarket ↗	1.4 pp
Victor Glover Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	5.0% Bid 4.0% · Ask 5.0% Victor Glover Open Kalshi ↗	5.0% Bid 4.1% · Ask 5.8% Victor Glover Open Polymarket ↗	0.1 pp
Zohran Mamdani Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	28.0% Bid 27.0% · Ask 28.0% Zohran Mamdani Open Kalshi ↗	25.5% Bid 25.0% · Ask 26.0% Zohran Mamdani Open Polymarket ↗	2.5 pp
Abdul El-Sayed Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	7.0% Bid 3.0% · Ask 7.0% Abdul El-Sayed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
AI Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.0% Bid 6.0% · Ask 7.0% AI Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Ali G Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.4% Bid 1.2% · Ask 1.6% Ali G Open Polymarket ↗	—
Ali Khamenei Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	2.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 3.0% Ali Khamenei Open Polymarket ↗	—
Andy Burnham Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% Andy Burnham Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Artificial Intelligence Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	6.3% Bid 5.7% · Ask 6.8% Artificial Intelligence Open Polymarket ↗	—
Chris Wright Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.5% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% Chris Wright Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Christopher Nolan Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% Christopher Nolan Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Erika Kirk Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Erika Kirk Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Hakeem Jeffries Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% Hakeem Jeffries Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
James Stephen "Jimmy" Donaldson / MrBeast Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 3.0% James Stephen "Jimmy" Donaldson / MrBeast Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Jared Kushner Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Jared Kushner Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
JD Vance Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% JD Vance Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Jon Ossoff Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 3.0% Jon Ossoff Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Kevin Warsh Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Kevin Warsh Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Lionel Messi Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.0% Lionel Messi Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Pete Hegseth Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% Pete Hegseth Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Steve Witkoff Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.5% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% Steve Witkoff Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Susie Wiles Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% Susie Wiles Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Xi Jinping Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.0% Bid 3.0% · Ask 4.0% Xi Jinping Open Kalshi ↗	—	—

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

3.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 3.0%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

2.3%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 3.6%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.7 pp

Alysa Liu

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

3.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 3.0%

Alysa Liu

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

2.2%

Bid 0.7% · Ask 3.7%

Alysa Liu

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.8 pp

Bad Bunny

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

3.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 4.0%

Bad Bunny

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

3.6%

Bid 2.3% · Ask 4.9%

Bad Bunny

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.6 pp

Benjamin Netanyahu

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

8.0%

Bid 8.0% · Ask 9.0%

Benjamin Netanyahu

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

10.5%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 11.0%

Benjamin Netanyahu

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 2.5 pp

Bernie Sanders

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 3.0%

Bernie Sanders

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

1.1%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 1.2%

Bernie Sanders

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.9 pp

ChatGPT

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

3.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 3.0%

ChatGPT

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

2.3%

Bid 0.7% · Ask 3.8%

ChatGPT

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.8 pp

Christina Koch

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

5.0%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 5.0%

Christina Koch

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

4.7%

Bid 3.5% · Ask 5.8%

Christina Koch

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.4 pp

Dario Amodei

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

7.0%

Bid 7.0% · Ask 8.0%

Dario Amodei

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

7.8%

Bid 7.6% · Ask 7.9%

Dario Amodei

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.7 pp

Donald Trump

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

10.0%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 11.0%

Donald Trump

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

9.5%

Bid 9.0% · Ask 10.0%

Donald Trump

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.5 pp

Elon Musk

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

6.0%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 7.0%

Elon Musk

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

6.0%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 7.0%

Elon Musk

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.0 pp

James Talarico

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

7.0%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 7.0%

James Talarico

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

3.6%

Bid 2.3% · Ask 4.9%

James Talarico

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 3.4 pp

Jeremy Hansen

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

5.0%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 5.0%

Jeremy Hansen

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

5.0%

Bid 4.1% · Ask 5.9%

Jeremy Hansen

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.0 pp

Jerome Powell

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Jerome Powell

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

1.5%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 2.6%

Jerome Powell

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.5 pp

Marco Rubio

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

4.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 5.0%

Marco Rubio

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

4.9%

Bid 4.8% · Ask 4.9%

Marco Rubio

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.9 pp

Mark Carney

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

12.0%

Bid 12.0% · Ask 13.0%

Mark Carney

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

16.0%

Bid 15.0% · Ask 17.0%

Mark Carney

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 4.0 pp

Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

4.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 4.0%

Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

4.0%

Bid 3.2% · Ask 4.7%

Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.1 pp

Mojtaba Khamenei

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

4.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 4.0%

Mojtaba Khamenei

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

3.5%

Bid 2.1% · Ask 4.8%

Mojtaba Khamenei

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.5 pp

Peter Magyar

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

3.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 3.0%

Péter Magyar

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

3.6%

Bid 2.2% · Ask 5.0%

Péter Magyar

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.6 pp

Pope Leo XIV

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

14.0%

Bid 14.0% · Ask 15.0%

Pope Leo XIV

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

16.5%

Bid 16.0% · Ask 17.0%

Pope Leo XIV

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 2.5 pp

Reid Wiseman

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

6.0%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 6.0%

Reid Wiseman

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

4.5%

Bid 3.3% · Ask 5.8%

Reid Wiseman

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 1.4 pp

Sam Altman

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

5.0%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 6.0%

Sam Altman

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

4.3%

Bid 4.1% · Ask 4.5%

Sam Altman

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.7 pp

Shehbaz Sharif

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

3.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 4.0%

Shehbaz Sharif

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

2.6%

Bid 0.7% · Ask 4.5%

Shehbaz Sharif

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.4 pp

Taylor Swift

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

3.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 3.0%

Taylor Swift

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

1.6%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 2.8%

Taylor Swift

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 1.4 pp

Victor Glover

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

5.0%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 5.0%

Victor Glover

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

5.0%

Bid 4.1% · Ask 5.8%

Victor Glover

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.1 pp

Zohran Mamdani

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

28.0%

Bid 27.0% · Ask 28.0%

Zohran Mamdani

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

25.5%

Bid 25.0% · Ask 26.0%

Zohran Mamdani

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 2.5 pp

Abdul El-Sayed

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

7.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 7.0%

Abdul El-Sayed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

AI

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

6.0%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 7.0%

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Ali G

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

1.4%

Bid 1.2% · Ask 1.6%

Ali G

Open Polymarket ↗

Ali Khamenei

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

2.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 3.0%

Ali Khamenei

Open Polymarket ↗

Andy Burnham

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0%

Andy Burnham

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Artificial Intelligence

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

6.3%

Bid 5.7% · Ask 6.8%

Artificial Intelligence

Open Polymarket ↗

Chris Wright

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.5%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Chris Wright

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Christopher Nolan

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Christopher Nolan

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Erika Kirk

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Erika Kirk

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Hakeem Jeffries

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0%

Hakeem Jeffries

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

James Stephen "Jimmy" Donaldson / MrBeast

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 3.0%

James Stephen "Jimmy" Donaldson / MrBeast

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Jared Kushner

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Jared Kushner

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

JD Vance

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0%

JD Vance

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Jon Ossoff

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 3.0%

Jon Ossoff

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Kevin Warsh

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Kevin Warsh

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Lionel Messi

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.0%

Lionel Messi

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Pete Hegseth

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Pete Hegseth

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Steve Witkoff

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.5%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Steve Witkoff

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Susie Wiles

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0%

Susie Wiles

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Xi Jinping

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

4.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 4.0%

Xi Jinping

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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