The Prediction Markets

Market comparison

Top Spotify Artist 2026

2 venues · 46 outcome rows · 9 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

46 outcomes · $1.8M reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Feb 1, 2027

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

10 outcomes · $824K reported volume

Observed 22s ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 1, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

Known rule differences between venues

  • Both settle on Spotify Wrapped for the year; Kalshi U.S. markets use the U.S. chart, global markets the global chart. Polymarket's deadline for the report may differ from Kalshi's.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Bad Bunny

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Polymarket

90.0%

Bid 89.0% · Ask 91.0%

Bad Bunny

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

87.0%

Bid 87.0% · Ask 89.0%

Bad Bunny

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 3.0 pp

Beyonce

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2%

Beyoncé

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Beyoncé

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 0.9 pp

Bruno Mars

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Polymarket

1.5%

Bid 1.2% · Ask 1.7%

Bruno Mars

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0%

Bruno Mars

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 0.5 pp

Chappell Roan

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

Chappell Roan

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Chappell Roan

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 0.9 pp

Drake

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Polymarket

1.8%

Bid 1.3% · Ask 2.4%

Drake

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

4.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 4.0%

Drake

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 2.2 pp

Kendrick Lamar

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2%

Kendrick Lamar

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Kendrick Lamar

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 0.9 pp

Morgan Wallen

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2%

Morgan Wallen

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Morgan Wallen

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 0.9 pp

Taylor Swift

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Polymarket

5.5%

Bid 4.9% · Ask 6.2%

Taylor Swift

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

10.0%

Bid 8.0% · Ask 10.0%

Taylor Swift

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 4.5 pp

The Weeknd

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2%

The Weeknd

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

The Weeknd

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 0.9 pp

Artist 1

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Artist 1 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Artist 2

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Artist 2 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Artist 3

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Artist 3 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Artist 4

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Artist 4 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Artist 5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Artist 5 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Artist 6

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Artist 6 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Artist 7

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Artist 7 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Artist 8

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Artist 8 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Artist 9

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Artist 9 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Artist 10

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Artist 10 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Artist 11

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Artist 11 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Artist 12

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Artist 12 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Artist 13

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Artist 13 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Artist 14

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Artist 14 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Artist 15

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Artist 15 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Artist 16

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Artist 16 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Artist 17

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Artist 17 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Artist 18

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Artist 18 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Artist 19

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Artist 19 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Artist 20

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Artist 20 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Artist 21

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Artist 21 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Artist 22

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Artist 22 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Artist 23

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Artist 23 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Artist 24

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Artist 24 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Artist 25

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Artist 25 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Artist 26

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Artist 26 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Artist 27

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Artist 27 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Artist 28

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Artist 28 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Artist 29

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Artist 29 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Artist 30

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Artist 30 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Artist 31

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Artist 31 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Artist 32

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Artist 32 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Artist 33

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Artist 33 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Artist 34

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Artist 34 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Artist 35

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Artist 35 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

BTS

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

BTS

Open Kalshi ↗

Sabrina Carpenter

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2%

Sabrina Carpenter

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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