The Prediction Markets

Market comparison

Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/19 - 10/25)

2 venues · 10 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

3 outcomes · $19.4M reported volume

Observed 43s ago

Observed 43s ago

Observed 43s ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 1, 2027

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

9 outcomes · $167K reported volume

Observed 43s ago

Recorded venue end date: Oct 27, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Above 15

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

98.0%

Bid 97.0% · Ask 98.0%

Above 15

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 20

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

89.0%

Bid 88.0% · Ask 89.0%

Above 20

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 23

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

56.0%

Bid 17.0% · Ask 95.0%

Above 23

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 25

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

48.0%

Bid 47.0% · Ask 48.0%

Above 25

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 27

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

25.0%

Bid 24.0% · Ask 25.0%

Above 27

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 30

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

9.0%

Bid 9.0% · Ask 10.0%

Above 30

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 35

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

3.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 4.0%

Above 35

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 40

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 3.0%

Above 40

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 50

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Above 50

Open Kalshi ↗

Yes

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

11.5%

Bid 11.0% · Ask 12.0%

Yes

Open Polymarket ↗

0.9%

Bid 0.7% · Ask 1.0%

Yes

Open Polymarket ↗

5.5%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 6.0%

Yes

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

View event details, charts and rules →Explore more markets