Market comparison

UEFA Champions League: Team to advance to 2027 final

2 venues · 62 outcome rows · 26 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

36 outcomes · $4K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: May 9, 2027

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

52 outcomes · $5K reported volume

Observed 50s ago

Recorded venue end date: May 20, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Available outcome prices by venue for UEFA Champions League: Team to advance to 2027 final
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
AEK Athens Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	1.9% Bid 0.2% · Ask 3.6% AEK Athens Open Polymarket ↗	18.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 37.0% AEK Athens Open Kalshi ↗	16.6 pp
Arsenal Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	25.0% Bid 23.0% · Ask 27.0% Arsenal Open Polymarket ↗	28.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 40.0% Arsenal Open Kalshi ↗	3.0 pp
Aston Villa Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	9.5% Bid 8.0% · Ask 11.0% Aston Villa Open Polymarket ↗	22.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 45.0% Aston Villa Open Kalshi ↗	13.0 pp
Barcelona Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	36.5% Bid 35.0% · Ask 38.0% Barcelona Open Polymarket ↗	41.0% Bid 34.0% · Ask 42.0% Barcelona Open Kalshi ↗	4.5 pp
Bayern Munich Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	23.0% Bid 22.0% · Ask 24.0% Bayern Munich Open Polymarket ↗	28.0% Bid 28.0% · Ask 39.0% Bayern Munich Open Kalshi ↗	5.0 pp
Club Brugge Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	4.8% Bid 2.8% · Ask 6.7% Club Brugge Open Polymarket ↗	24.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 49.0% Club Brugge Open Kalshi ↗	19.8 pp
Como Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	10.5% Bid 1.1% · Ask 19.9% Como Open Polymarket ↗	24.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 48.0% Como Open Kalshi ↗	13.5 pp
Feyenoord Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	1.3% Bid 0.1% · Ask 2.4% Feyenoord Open Polymarket ↗	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 50.0% Feyenoord Open Kalshi ↗	0.3 pp
Galatasaray Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	12.9% Bid 0.5% · Ask 25.3% Galatasaray Open Polymarket ↗	25.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 50.0% Galatasaray Open Kalshi ↗	12.1 pp
LASK Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	20.0% Bid 0.9% · Ask 39.0% LASK Open Polymarket ↗	24.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 49.0% LASK Open Kalshi ↗	4.5 pp
Lens Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	25.1% Bid 0.2% · Ask 50.0% Lens Open Polymarket ↗	12.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 24.0% Lens Open Kalshi ↗	13.1 pp
Lille Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	12.9% Bid 0.5% · Ask 25.3% Lille Open Polymarket ↗	24.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 49.0% Lille Open Kalshi ↗	11.6 pp
Liverpool Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	10.5% Bid 9.0% · Ask 12.0% Liverpool Open Polymarket ↗	22.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 45.0% Liverpool Open Kalshi ↗	12.0 pp
Manchester City Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	16.0% Bid 14.0% · Ask 18.0% Manchester City Open Polymarket ↗	16.0% Bid 16.0% · Ask 29.0% Manchester City Open Kalshi ↗	0.0 pp
Manchester United Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	8.5% Bid 3.0% · Ask 14.0% Manchester United Open Polymarket ↗	25.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 50.0% Manchester United Open Kalshi ↗	16.5 pp
Napoli Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	5.1% Bid 0.2% · Ask 9.9% Napoli Open Polymarket ↗	18.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 37.0% Napoli Open Kalshi ↗	13.5 pp
Porto Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	24.7% Bid 0.4% · Ask 49.0% Porto Open Polymarket ↗	16.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 16.0% Porto Open Kalshi ↗	8.7 pp
PSV Eindhoven Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	12.4% Bid 0.2% · Ask 24.6% PSV Eindhoven Open Polymarket ↗	24.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 49.0% PSV Eindhoven Open Kalshi ↗	12.1 pp
Real Betis Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	10.2% Bid 0.7% · Ask 19.7% Real Betis Open Polymarket ↗	23.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 47.0% Real Betis Open Kalshi ↗	13.3 pp
Real Madrid Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	20.0% Bid 19.0% · Ask 21.0% Real Madrid Open Polymarket ↗	34.0% Bid 25.0% · Ask 34.0% Real Madrid Open Kalshi ↗	14.0 pp
Roma Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	6.0% Bid 3.0% · Ask 9.0% Roma Open Polymarket ↗	18.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 36.0% Roma Open Kalshi ↗	12.0 pp
Slavia Prague Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	24.6% Bid 0.2% · Ask 49.0% Slavia Prague Open Polymarket ↗	12.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 24.0% Slavia Prague Open Kalshi ↗	12.6 pp
Slovan Bratislava Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	12.9% Bid 0.5% · Ask 25.3% Slovan Bratislava Open Polymarket ↗	12.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 24.0% Slovan Bratislava Open Kalshi ↗	0.9 pp
Sporting CP Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	13.2% Bid 0.9% · Ask 25.4% Sporting CP Open Polymarket ↗	24.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 49.0% Sporting CP Open Kalshi ↗	11.3 pp
Viking Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	4.9% Bid 2.0% · Ask 7.8% Viking Open Polymarket ↗	12.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 25.0% Viking Open Kalshi ↗	7.6 pp
Villarreal Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	5.1% Bid 2.1% · Ask 8.2% Villarreal Open Polymarket ↗	2.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 19.0% Villarreal Open Kalshi ↗	3.1 pp
Atletico Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	25.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 50.0% Atletico Open Kalshi ↗	—
Atlético Madrid Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	9.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 16.0% Atlético Madrid Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Belgium Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	15.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 15.0% Belgium Open Kalshi ↗	—
Bodø/Glimt Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.9% Bid 3.0% · Ask 6.8% Bodø/Glimt Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Bodø/Glimt Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	22.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 44.0% Bodoe/Glimt Open Kalshi ↗	—
Borussia Dortmund Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.8% Bid 1.6% · Ask 3.9% Borussia Dortmund Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Croatia Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	10.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 10.0% Croatia Open Kalshi ↗	—
Czechia Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	5.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 10.0% Czechia Open Kalshi ↗	—
Denmark Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	11.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 11.0% Denmark Open Kalshi ↗	—
Dortmund Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	22.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 44.0% Dortmund Open Kalshi ↗	—
England Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	17.0% Bid 16.0% · Ask 49.0% England Open Kalshi ↗	—
Fenerbahce Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 13.0% Fenerbahce Open Kalshi ↗	—
Fenerbahçe Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	10.3% Bid 0.5% · Ask 20.0% Fenerbahçe Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
France Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	48.0% Bid 30.0% · Ask 48.0% France Open Kalshi ↗	—
Germany Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	16.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 16.0% Germany Open Kalshi ↗	—
Greece Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	13.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 13.0% Greece Open Kalshi ↗	—
Inter Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	24.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 49.0% Inter Open Kalshi ↗	—
Inter Milan Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	10.5% Bid 2.0% · Ask 19.0% Inter Milan Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Italy Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	14.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 14.0% Italy Open Kalshi ↗	—
Leipzig Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	22.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 44.0% Leipzig Open Kalshi ↗	—
Netherlands Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	21.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 21.0% Netherlands Open Kalshi ↗	—
Norway Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	13.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 13.0% Norway Open Kalshi ↗	—
Paris Saint-Germain Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	28.0% Bid 27.0% · Ask 29.0% Paris Saint-Germain Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Portugal Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	33.0% Bid 33.0% · Ask 34.0% Portugal Open Kalshi ↗	—
PSG Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	43.0% Bid 27.0% · Ask 43.0% PSG Open Kalshi ↗	—
RB Leipzig Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.3% Bid 1.5% · Ask 5.0% RB Leipzig Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Sabah Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.2% Bid 1.2% · Ask 3.2% Sabah Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Sabah Masazir Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	12.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 24.0% Sabah Masazir Open Kalshi ↗	—
Serbia Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	5.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 10.0% Serbia Open Kalshi ↗	—
Shakhtar Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	17.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 34.0% Shakhtar Open Kalshi ↗	—
Shakhtar Donetsk Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.4% Bid 1.5% · Ask 5.2% Shakhtar Donetsk Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Spain Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	73.0% Bid 11.0% · Ask 74.0% Spain Open Kalshi ↗	—
Stuttgart Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	24.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 49.0% Stuttgart Open Kalshi ↗	—
Turkiye Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	5.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 10.0% Turkiye Open Kalshi ↗	—
VfB Stuttgart Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	10.7% Bid 1.4% · Ask 19.9% VfB Stuttgart Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Wales Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	5.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 10.0% Wales Open Kalshi ↗	—

AEK Athens

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

1.9%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 3.6%

AEK Athens

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

18.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 37.0%

AEK Athens

UEFA Champions League: Team to advance to 2027 final

Polymarket

Kalshi

AEK Athens

Polymarket

Kalshi

Arsenal

Polymarket

Kalshi

Aston Villa

Polymarket

Kalshi

Barcelona

Polymarket

Kalshi

Bayern Munich

Polymarket

Kalshi

Club Brugge

Polymarket

Kalshi

Como

Polymarket

Kalshi

Feyenoord

Polymarket

Kalshi

Galatasaray

Polymarket

Kalshi

LASK

Polymarket

Kalshi

Lens

Polymarket

Kalshi

Lille

Polymarket

Kalshi

Liverpool

Polymarket

Kalshi

Manchester City

Polymarket

Kalshi

Manchester United

Polymarket

Kalshi

Napoli

Polymarket

Kalshi

Porto

Polymarket

Kalshi

PSV Eindhoven

Polymarket

Kalshi

Real Betis

Polymarket

Kalshi

Real Madrid

Polymarket

Kalshi

Roma

Polymarket

Kalshi

Slavia Prague

Polymarket

Kalshi

Slovan Bratislava

Polymarket

Kalshi

Sporting CP

Polymarket

Kalshi

Viking

Polymarket

Kalshi

Villarreal

Polymarket