The Prediction Markets

Market comparison

UEFA Nations League A: Teams relegated (2026-27)

2 venues · 17 outcome rows · 15 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

32 outcomes · $130K reported volume

Observed 21s ago

Observed 21s ago

Recorded venue end date: Jun 28, 2027

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

16 outcomes · $43K reported volume

Observed 2m ago

Recorded venue end date: Apr 14, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Belgium

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Belgium

Open Kalshi ↗

16.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 16.0%

Belgium

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

3.1%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 4.2%

Belgium

Open Polymarket ↗

Croatia

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Croatia

Open Kalshi ↗

10.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 10.0%

Croatia

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

33.5%

Bid 33.0% · Ask 34.0%

Croatia

Open Polymarket ↗

Czechia

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Czechia

Open Kalshi ↗

5.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 10.0%

Czechia

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

87.5%

Bid 86.0% · Ask 89.0%

Czechia

Open Polymarket ↗

Denmark

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Denmark

Open Kalshi ↗

11.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 11.0%

Denmark

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

14.0%

Bid 12.0% · Ask 16.0%

Denmark

Open Polymarket ↗

England

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

23.0%

Bid 23.0% · Ask 24.0%

England

Open Kalshi ↗

17.0%

Bid 16.0% · Ask 48.0%

England

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

4.3%

Bid 0.9% · Ask 7.8%

England

Open Polymarket ↗

France

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

20.0%

Bid 16.0% · Ask 23.0%

France

Open Kalshi ↗

47.0%

Bid 30.0% · Ask 47.0%

France

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

2.3%

Bid 0.6% · Ask 4.0%

France

Open Polymarket ↗

Germany

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Germany

Open Kalshi ↗

16.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 16.0%

Germany

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

7.0%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 9.1%

Germany

Open Polymarket ↗

Greece

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

3.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 3.0%

Greece

Open Kalshi ↗

13.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 13.0%

Greece

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

3.5%

Bid 1.4% · Ask 5.5%

Greece

Open Polymarket ↗

Italy

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0%

Italy

Open Kalshi ↗

14.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 14.0%

Italy

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

6.5%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 7.0%

Italy

Open Polymarket ↗

Netherlands

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

3.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 4.0%

Netherlands

Open Kalshi ↗

21.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 21.0%

Netherlands

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

25.7%

Bid 1.3% · Ask 50.0%

Netherlands

Open Polymarket ↗

Norway

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Norway

Open Kalshi ↗

13.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 13.0%

Norway

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

24.4%

Bid 23.0% · Ask 25.8%

Norway

Open Polymarket ↗

Portugal

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

14.0%

Bid 9.0% · Ask 14.0%

Portugal

Open Kalshi ↗

34.0%

Bid 34.0% · Ask 59.0%

Portugal

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

1.1%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 2.1%

Portugal

Open Polymarket ↗

Serbia

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Serbia

Open Kalshi ↗

5.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 10.0%

Serbia

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

79.5%

Bid 77.0% · Ask 82.0%

Serbia

Open Polymarket ↗

Spain

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

33.0%

Bid 33.0% · Ask 38.0%

Spain

Open Kalshi ↗

73.0%

Bid 16.0% · Ask 74.0%

Spain

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

2.8%

Bid 0.7% · Ask 4.8%

Spain

Open Polymarket ↗

Wales

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Wales

Open Kalshi ↗

5.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 10.0%

Wales

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

44.5%

Bid 44.0% · Ask 45.0%

Wales

Open Polymarket ↗

Turkiye

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Turkiye

Open Kalshi ↗

5.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 10.0%

Turkiye

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Türkiye

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

83.5%

Bid 81.0% · Ask 86.0%

Türkiye

Open Polymarket ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.