The Prediction Markets

Market comparison

UEFA Nations League Final Qualifiers

2 venues · 17 outcome rows · 15 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

33 outcomes · $230K reported volume

Observed 41s ago

Observed 5m ago

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Jun 14, 2027

16 outcomes · $3K reported volume

Observed 41s ago

Recorded venue end date: Jun 28, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Belgium

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

1.8%

Bid 1.3% · Ask 2.2%

Belgium

Open Polymarket ↗

5.5%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 9.8%

Belgium

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

15.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 15.0%

Belgium

Open Kalshi ↗

Croatia

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

Croatia

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

10.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 10.0%

Croatia

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 10.0 pp

Czechia

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

0.0%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

Czechia · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

5.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 10.0%

Czechia

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 5.0 pp

Denmark

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

4.8%

Bid 0.8% · Ask 8.8%

Denmark

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

11.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 11.0%

Denmark

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 6.2 pp

England

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

18.5%

Bid 18.0% · Ask 19.0%

England

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

17.0%

Bid 16.0% · Ask 48.0%

England

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 1.5 pp

France

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

16.5%

Bid 16.0% · Ask 17.0%

France

Open Polymarket ↗

82.0%

Bid 80.0% · Ask 84.0%

France

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

47.0%

Bid 30.0% · Ask 47.0%

France

Open Kalshi ↗

Germany

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

3.8%

Bid 1.6% · Ask 5.9%

Germany

Open Polymarket ↗

20.5%

Bid 19.0% · Ask 22.0%

Germany

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

16.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 16.0%

Germany

Open Kalshi ↗

Greece

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

9.0%

Bid 2.5% · Ask 15.6%

Greece

Open Polymarket ↗

28.0%

Bid 26.1% · Ask 29.9%

Greece

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

13.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 13.0%

Greece

Open Kalshi ↗

Italy

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

2.2%

Bid 0.7% · Ask 3.7%

Italy

Open Polymarket ↗

9.5%

Bid 9.0% · Ask 10.0%

Italy

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

14.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 14.0%

Italy

Open Kalshi ↗

Netherlands

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

5.5%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 6.0%

Netherlands

Open Polymarket ↗

54.5%

Bid 52.0% · Ask 57.0%

Netherlands

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

21.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 21.0%

Netherlands

Open Kalshi ↗

Norway

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

1.5%

Bid 0.6% · Ask 2.4%

Norway

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

13.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 13.0%

Norway

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 11.5 pp

Portugal

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

11.2%

Bid 11.1% · Ask 11.2%

Portugal

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

33.0%

Bid 33.0% · Ask 34.0%

Portugal

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 21.9 pp

Serbia

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

0.0%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

Serbia · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

0.0%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

Serbia · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

5.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 10.0%

Serbia

Open Kalshi ↗

Spain

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

34.0%

Bid 33.0% · Ask 35.0%

Spain

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

73.0%

Bid 16.0% · Ask 74.0%

Spain

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 39.0 pp

Wales

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

Wales

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

5.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 10.0%

Wales

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 5.0 pp

Turkiye

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

5.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 10.0%

Turkiye

Open Kalshi ↗

Türkiye

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

Türkiye · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

0.0%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

Türkiye · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.