Market comparison

Unemployment in October

2 venues · 23 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

14 outcomes · $156K reported volume

Observed 16s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 6, 2026

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

9 outcomes · $17K reported volume

Observed 16s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 6, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Unemployment in October
Outcome	Kalshi	Polymarket	Difference
3.8% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.3% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.5% ≤3.8% Open Polymarket ↗	—
3.9% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.3% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.4% 3.9% Open Polymarket ↗	—
4.0% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	5.1% Bid 4.1% · Ask 6.2% 4.0% Open Polymarket ↗	—
4.1% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	28.0% Bid 27.0% · Ask 29.0% 4.1% Open Polymarket ↗	—
4.2% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	34.0% Bid 33.0% · Ask 35.0% 4.2% Open Polymarket ↗	—
4.3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	30.0% Bid 28.0% · Ask 32.0% 4.3% Open Polymarket ↗	—
4.4% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.9% Bid 0.5% · Ask 3.3% 4.4% Open Polymarket ↗	—
4.5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.3% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.4% 4.5% Open Polymarket ↗	—
4.6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.0% Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.8% ≥4.6% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Above 3.7% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 99.0% · Ask 100.0% Above 3.7% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Above 3.8% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 98.0% · Ask 99.0% Above 3.8% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Above 3.9% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	97.0% Bid 97.0% · Ask 99.0% Above 3.9% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Above 4.0% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	94.0% Bid 94.0% · Ask 95.0% Above 4.0% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Above 4.1% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	69.0% Bid 69.0% · Ask 72.0% Above 4.1% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Above 4.2% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	34.0% Bid 32.0% · Ask 34.0% Above 4.2% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Above 4.3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.0% Bid 5.0% · Ask 6.0% Above 4.3% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Above 4.4% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 3.0% Above 4.4% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Above 4.5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% Above 4.5% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Above 4.6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 3.0% Above 4.6% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Above 4.7% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 3.0% Above 4.7% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Above 4.8% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 3.0% Above 4.8% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Above 4.9% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% Above 4.9% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Above 5.0% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 3.0% Above 5.0% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—

3.8%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.3%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.5%

≤3.8%

Open Polymarket ↗

3.9%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.3%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.4%

3.9%

Open Polymarket ↗

4.0%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

5.1%

Bid 4.1% · Ask 6.2%

4.0%

Open Polymarket ↗

4.1%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

28.0%

Bid 27.0% · Ask 29.0%

4.1%

Open Polymarket ↗

4.2%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

34.0%

Bid 33.0% · Ask 35.0%

4.2%

Open Polymarket ↗

4.3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

30.0%

Bid 28.0% · Ask 32.0%

4.3%

Open Polymarket ↗

4.4%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

1.9%

Bid 0.5% · Ask 3.3%

4.4%

Open Polymarket ↗

4.5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.3%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.4%

4.5%

Open Polymarket ↗

4.6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

1.0%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.8%

≥4.6%

Open Polymarket ↗

Above 3.7%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 99.0% · Ask 100.0%

Above 3.7%

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Above 3.8%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 98.0% · Ask 99.0%

Above 3.8%

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Above 3.9%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

97.0%

Bid 97.0% · Ask 99.0%

Above 3.9%

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Above 4.0%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

94.0%

Bid 94.0% · Ask 95.0%

Above 4.0%

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Above 4.1%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

69.0%

Bid 69.0% · Ask 72.0%

Above 4.1%

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Above 4.2%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

34.0%

Bid 32.0% · Ask 34.0%

Above 4.2%

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Above 4.3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

6.0%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 6.0%

Above 4.3%

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Above 4.4%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 3.0%

Above 4.4%

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Above 4.5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Above 4.5%

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Above 4.6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 3.0%

Above 4.6%

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Above 4.7%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 3.0%

Above 4.7%

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Above 4.8%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 3.0%

Above 4.8%

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Above 4.9%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Above 4.9%

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Above 5.0%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 3.0%

Above 5.0%

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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