The Prediction Markets

Market comparison

United States Grand Prix: Driver Pole Position

2 venues · 29 outcome rows · 21 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

66 outcomes · $197K reported volume

Observed 39s ago

Observed 39s ago

Observed 39s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 2, 2026

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

29 outcomes · $3K reported volume

Observed 39s ago

Recorded venue end date: Oct 31, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Alexander Albon

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Alexander Albon

Open Kalshi ↗

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Alexander Albon

Open Kalshi ↗

8.5%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 13.0%

Alexander Albon

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

12.6%

Bid — · Ask 25.1%

Alexander Albon

Open Polymarket ↗

Arvid Lindblad

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Arvid Lindblad

Open Kalshi ↗

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Arvid Lindblad

Open Kalshi ↗

7.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 7.0%

Arvid Lindblad

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

20.4%

Bid — · Ask 40.9%

Arvid Lindblad

Open Polymarket ↗

Carlos Sainz Jr.

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Carlos Sainz Jr.

Open Kalshi ↗

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Carlos Sainz Jr.

Open Kalshi ↗

8.0%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 12.0%

Carlos Sainz Jr.

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

20.3%

Bid — · Ask 40.5%

Carlos Sainz Jr.

Open Polymarket ↗

Charles Leclerc

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

7.0%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 7.0%

Charles Leclerc

Open Kalshi ↗

11.0%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 11.0%

Charles Leclerc

Open Kalshi ↗

5.0%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 6.0%

Charles Leclerc

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

11.5%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 13.0%

Charles Leclerc

Open Polymarket ↗

Esteban Ocon

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Esteban Ocon

Open Kalshi ↗

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Esteban Ocon

Open Kalshi ↗

5.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 9.0%

Esteban Ocon

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

14.5%

Bid — · Ask 29.0%

Esteban Ocon

Open Polymarket ↗

Fernando Alonso

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Fernando Alonso

Open Kalshi ↗

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Fernando Alonso

Open Kalshi ↗

8.0%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 12.0%

Fernando Alonso

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

19.8%

Bid — · Ask 39.5%

Fernando Alonso

Open Polymarket ↗

Franco Colapinto

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Franco Colapinto

Open Kalshi ↗

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Franco Colapinto

Open Kalshi ↗

4.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 8.0%

Franco Colapinto

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

11.2%

Bid — · Ask 22.4%

Franco Colapinto

Open Polymarket ↗

Gabriel Bortoleto

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Gabriel Bortoleto

Open Kalshi ↗

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Gabriel Bortoleto

Open Kalshi ↗

6.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 10.0%

Gabriel Bortoleto

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

11.7%

Bid — · Ask 23.4%

Gabriel Bortoleto

Open Polymarket ↗

George Russell

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

9.0%

Bid 8.0% · Ask 9.0%

George Russell

Open Kalshi ↗

9.0%

Bid 8.0% · Ask 9.0%

George Russell

Open Kalshi ↗

2.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0%

George Russell

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

7.5%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 9.0%

George Russell

Open Polymarket ↗

Isack Hadjar

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Isack Hadjar

Open Kalshi ↗

2.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Isack Hadjar

Open Kalshi ↗

2.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0%

Isack Hadjar

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

1.8%

Bid 0.4% · Ask 3.2%

Isack Hadjar

Open Polymarket ↗

Lance Stroll

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Lance Stroll

Open Kalshi ↗

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Lance Stroll

Open Kalshi ↗

8.0%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 12.0%

Lance Stroll

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

13.4%

Bid — · Ask 26.7%

Lance Stroll

Open Polymarket ↗

Lando Norris

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

9.0%

Bid 8.0% · Ask 9.0%

Lando Norris

Open Kalshi ↗

8.0%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 8.0%

Lando Norris

Open Kalshi ↗

2.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0%

Lando Norris

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

7.5%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 9.0%

Lando Norris

Open Polymarket ↗

Lewis Hamilton

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

8.0%

Bid 7.0% · Ask 8.0%

Lewis Hamilton

Open Kalshi ↗

7.0%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 7.0%

Lewis Hamilton

Open Kalshi ↗

5.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0%

Lewis Hamilton

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

7.5%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 9.0%

Lewis Hamilton

Open Polymarket ↗

Liam Lawson

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Liam Lawson

Open Kalshi ↗

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Liam Lawson

Open Kalshi ↗

5.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0%

Liam Lawson

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

36.5%

Bid — · Ask 73.0%

Liam Lawson

Open Polymarket ↗

Max Verstappen

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

47.0%

Bid 46.0% · Ask 47.0%

Max Verstappen

Open Kalshi ↗

41.0%

Bid 40.0% · Ask 41.0%

Max Verstappen

Open Kalshi ↗

5.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0%

Max Verstappen

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

41.5%

Bid 38.0% · Ask 45.0%

Max Verstappen

Open Polymarket ↗

Nico Hulkenberg

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Nico Hulkenberg

Open Kalshi ↗

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Nico Hulkenberg

Open Kalshi ↗

9.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 9.0%

Nico Hulkenberg

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

10.9%

Bid — · Ask 21.9%

Nico Hulkenberg

Open Polymarket ↗

Oliver Bearman

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Oliver Bearman

Open Kalshi ↗

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Oliver Bearman

Open Kalshi ↗

10.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 10.0%

Oliver Bearman

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

11.6%

Bid — · Ask 23.1%

Oliver Bearman

Open Polymarket ↗

Oscar Piastri

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Oscar Piastri

Open Kalshi ↗

2.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Oscar Piastri

Open Kalshi ↗

2.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0%

Oscar Piastri

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

1.7%

Bid 0.6% · Ask 2.7%

Oscar Piastri

Open Polymarket ↗

Pierre Gasly

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Pierre Gasly

Open Kalshi ↗

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Pierre Gasly

Open Kalshi ↗

5.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0%

Pierre Gasly

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

12.5%

Bid — · Ask 25.0%

Pierre Gasly

Open Polymarket ↗

Sergio Perez

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Sergio Perez

Open Kalshi ↗

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Sergio Perez

Open Kalshi ↗

8.0%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 12.0%

Sergio Perez

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

13.5%

Bid — · Ask 26.9%

Sergio Perez

Open Polymarket ↗

Valtteri Bottas

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Valtteri Bottas

Open Kalshi ↗

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Valtteri Bottas

Open Kalshi ↗

8.0%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 12.0%

Valtteri Bottas

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

13.5%

Bid — · Ask 26.9%

Valtteri Bottas

Open Polymarket ↗

Andrea Kimi Antonelli

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

26.0%

Bid 25.0% · Ask 26.0%

Andrea Kimi Antonelli

Open Kalshi ↗

26.0%

Bid 23.0% · Ask 26.0%

Andrea Kimi Antonelli

Open Kalshi ↗

12.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 12.0%

Andrea Kimi Antonelli

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Driver A

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Driver A · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Driver B

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Driver B · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Driver C

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Driver C · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Driver D

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Driver D · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Driver E

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Driver E · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kimi Antonelli

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

23.5%

Bid 20.0% · Ask 27.0%

Kimi Antonelli

Open Polymarket ↗

Yuki Tsunoda

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

11.0%

Bid — · Ask 22.0%

Yuki Tsunoda

Open Polymarket ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.