Market comparison

United States Grand Prix Main Race: Fastest Lap

2 venues · 30 outcome rows · 21 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

53 outcomes · $18K reported volume

Observed 33s ago

Observed 4m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 1, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

22 outcomes · $1K reported volume

Observed 7m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 2, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Available outcome prices by venue for United States Grand Prix Main Race: Fastest Lap
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Alexander Albon Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	1.6% Bid 0.4% · Ask 2.8% Alexander Albon Open Polymarket ↗ 5.0% Bid — · Ask 10.0% Alexander Albon Open Polymarket ↗	2.5% Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.0% Alexander Albon Open Kalshi ↗	—
Arvid Lindblad Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	1.6% Bid 0.1% · Ask 3.0% Arvid Lindblad Open Polymarket ↗ 2.6% Bid — · Ask 5.2% Arvid Lindblad Open Polymarket ↗	2.5% Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.0% Arvid Lindblad Open Kalshi ↗	—
Carlos Sainz Jr. Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	1.6% Bid 0.2% · Ask 2.9% Carlos Sainz Jr. Open Polymarket ↗ 5.0% Bid — · Ask 10.0% Carlos Sainz Jr. Open Polymarket ↗	2.5% Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.0% Carlos Sainz Jr. Open Kalshi ↗	—
Charles Leclerc Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	9.0% Bid 8.0% · Ask 10.0% Charles Leclerc Open Polymarket ↗ 45.0% Bid 36.0% · Ask 54.0% Charles Leclerc Open Polymarket ↗	11.0% Bid 5.0% · Ask 11.0% Charles Leclerc Open Kalshi ↗	—
Esteban Ocon Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	1.5% Bid 0.1% · Ask 2.9% Esteban Ocon Open Polymarket ↗ 5.0% Bid — · Ask 10.0% Esteban Ocon Open Polymarket ↗	2.5% Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.0% Esteban Ocon Open Kalshi ↗	—
Fernando Alonso Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	1.5% Bid 0.1% · Ask 2.9% Fernando Alonso Open Polymarket ↗ 5.0% Bid — · Ask 10.0% Fernando Alonso Open Polymarket ↗	2.5% Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.0% Fernando Alonso Open Kalshi ↗	—
Franco Colapinto Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	1.5% Bid 0.1% · Ask 2.9% Franco Colapinto Open Polymarket ↗ 5.0% Bid — · Ask 10.0% Franco Colapinto Open Polymarket ↗	2.5% Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.0% Franco Colapinto Open Kalshi ↗	—
Gabriel Bortoleto Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	1.5% Bid 0.1% · Ask 2.9% Gabriel Bortoleto Open Polymarket ↗ 5.0% Bid — · Ask 10.0% Gabriel Bortoleto Open Polymarket ↗	2.5% Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.0% Gabriel Bortoleto Open Kalshi ↗	—
George Russell Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	8.0% Bid 6.0% · Ask 10.0% George Russell Open Polymarket ↗ 40.0% Bid 38.0% · Ask 42.0% George Russell Open Polymarket ↗	12.0% Bid 11.0% · Ask 12.0% George Russell Open Kalshi ↗	—
Isack Hadjar Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	1.8% Bid 0.4% · Ask 3.2% Isack Hadjar Open Polymarket ↗ 18.0% Bid 15.0% · Ask 21.0% Isack Hadjar Open Polymarket ↗	7.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 7.0% Isack Hadjar Open Kalshi ↗	—
Lance Stroll Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	0.6% Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.1% Lance Stroll Open Polymarket ↗ 4.8% Bid — · Ask 9.5% Lance Stroll Open Polymarket ↗	2.5% Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.0% Lance Stroll Open Kalshi ↗	—
Lando Norris Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	9.5% Bid 7.0% · Ask 12.0% Lando Norris Open Polymarket ↗ 41.0% Bid 32.0% · Ask 50.0% Lando Norris Open Polymarket ↗	9.0% Bid 6.0% · Ask 9.0% Lando Norris Open Kalshi ↗	—
Lewis Hamilton Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	8.5% Bid 7.0% · Ask 10.0% Lewis Hamilton Open Polymarket ↗ 44.5% Bid 35.0% · Ask 54.0% Lewis Hamilton Open Polymarket ↗	11.0% Bid 9.0% · Ask 12.0% Lewis Hamilton Open Kalshi ↗	—
Liam Lawson Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	1.6% Bid 0.1% · Ask 3.0% Liam Lawson Open Polymarket ↗ 2.6% Bid — · Ask 5.2% Liam Lawson Open Polymarket ↗	2.5% Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.0% Liam Lawson Open Kalshi ↗	—
Max Verstappen Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	45.0% Bid 44.0% · Ask 46.0% Max Verstappen Open Polymarket ↗ 73.5% Bid 72.0% · Ask 75.0% Max Verstappen Open Polymarket ↗	34.0% Bid 32.0% · Ask 34.0% Max Verstappen Open Kalshi ↗	—
Nico Hulkenberg Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	1.6% Bid 0.1% · Ask 3.0% Nico Hulkenberg Open Polymarket ↗ 5.0% Bid — · Ask 10.0% Nico Hulkenberg Open Polymarket ↗	2.5% Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.0% Nico Hulkenberg Open Kalshi ↗	—
Oliver Bearman Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	1.6% Bid 0.1% · Ask 3.0% Oliver Bearman Open Polymarket ↗ 2.6% Bid — · Ask 5.2% Oliver Bearman Open Polymarket ↗	2.5% Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.0% Oliver Bearman Open Kalshi ↗	—
Oscar Piastri Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	3.6% Bid 1.7% · Ask 5.6% Oscar Piastri Open Polymarket ↗ 14.0% Bid 13.0% · Ask 15.0% Oscar Piastri Open Polymarket ↗	7.0% Bid 4.0% · Ask 7.0% Oscar Piastri Open Kalshi ↗	—
Pierre Gasly Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	1.5% Bid 0.1% · Ask 2.9% Pierre Gasly Open Polymarket ↗ 2.5% Bid — · Ask 5.0% Pierre Gasly Open Polymarket ↗	2.5% Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.0% Pierre Gasly Open Kalshi ↗	—
Sergio Perez Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	0.6% Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.1% Sergio Perez Open Polymarket ↗ 4.8% Bid 0.1% · Ask 9.5% Sergio Perez Open Polymarket ↗	2.5% Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.0% Sergio Perez Open Kalshi ↗	—
Valtteri Bottas Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	0.6% Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.1% Valtteri Bottas Open Polymarket ↗ 4.8% Bid 0.1% · Ask 9.5% Valtteri Bottas Open Polymarket ↗	3.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.0% Valtteri Bottas Open Kalshi ↗	—
Andrea Kimi Antonelli Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	23.0% Bid 23.0% · Ask 31.0% Andrea Kimi Antonelli Open Kalshi ↗	—
Driver A Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	— Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Driver A · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Driver B Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	— Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Driver B · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Driver C Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	— Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Driver C · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Driver D Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	— Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Driver D · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Driver E Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	— Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Driver E · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Kimi Antonelli Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	23.5% Bid 22.0% · Ask 25.0% Kimi Antonelli Open Polymarket ↗ 66.5% Bid 65.0% · Ask 68.0% Kimi Antonelli Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Yes Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	16.5% Bid 16.0% · Ask 17.0% Yes Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Yuki Tsunoda Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.5% Bid — · Ask 1.0% Yuki Tsunoda Open Polymarket ↗ 5.0% Bid — · Ask 10.0% Yuki Tsunoda Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Alexander Albon

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

1.6%

Bid 0.4% · Ask 2.8%

Alexander Albon

Open Polymarket ↗

5.0%

Bid — · Ask 10.0%

Alexander Albon

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

2.5%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.0%

Alexander Albon

Open Kalshi ↗

Arvid Lindblad

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

1.6%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 3.0%

Arvid Lindblad

Open Polymarket ↗

2.6%

Bid — · Ask 5.2%

Arvid Lindblad

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

2.5%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.0%

Arvid Lindblad

Open Kalshi ↗

Carlos Sainz Jr.

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

1.6%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 2.9%

Carlos Sainz Jr.

Open Polymarket ↗

5.0%

Bid — · Ask 10.0%

Carlos Sainz Jr.

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

2.5%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.0%

Carlos Sainz Jr.

Open Kalshi ↗

Charles Leclerc

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

9.0%

Bid 8.0% · Ask 10.0%

Charles Leclerc

Open Polymarket ↗

45.0%

Bid 36.0% · Ask 54.0%

Charles Leclerc

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

11.0%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 11.0%

Charles Leclerc

Open Kalshi ↗

Esteban Ocon

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

1.5%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 2.9%

Esteban Ocon

Open Polymarket ↗

5.0%

Bid — · Ask 10.0%

Esteban Ocon

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

2.5%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.0%

Esteban Ocon

Open Kalshi ↗

Fernando Alonso

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

1.5%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 2.9%

Fernando Alonso

Open Polymarket ↗

5.0%

Bid — · Ask 10.0%

Fernando Alonso

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

2.5%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.0%

Fernando Alonso

Open Kalshi ↗

Franco Colapinto

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

1.5%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 2.9%

Franco Colapinto

Open Polymarket ↗

5.0%

Bid — · Ask 10.0%

Franco Colapinto

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

2.5%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.0%

Franco Colapinto

Open Kalshi ↗

Gabriel Bortoleto

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

1.5%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 2.9%

Gabriel Bortoleto

Open Polymarket ↗

5.0%

Bid — · Ask 10.0%

Gabriel Bortoleto

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

2.5%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.0%

Gabriel Bortoleto

Open Kalshi ↗

George Russell

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

8.0%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 10.0%

George Russell

Open Polymarket ↗

40.0%

Bid 38.0% · Ask 42.0%

George Russell

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

12.0%

Bid 11.0% · Ask 12.0%

George Russell

Open Kalshi ↗

Isack Hadjar

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

1.8%

Bid 0.4% · Ask 3.2%

Isack Hadjar

Open Polymarket ↗

18.0%

Bid 15.0% · Ask 21.0%

Isack Hadjar

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

7.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 7.0%

Isack Hadjar

Open Kalshi ↗

Lance Stroll

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

0.6%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.1%

Lance Stroll

Open Polymarket ↗

4.8%

Bid — · Ask 9.5%

Lance Stroll

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

2.5%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.0%

Lance Stroll

Open Kalshi ↗

Lando Norris

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

9.5%

Bid 7.0% · Ask 12.0%

Lando Norris

Open Polymarket ↗

41.0%

Bid 32.0% · Ask 50.0%

Lando Norris

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

9.0%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 9.0%

Lando Norris

Open Kalshi ↗

Lewis Hamilton

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

8.5%

Bid 7.0% · Ask 10.0%

Lewis Hamilton

Open Polymarket ↗

44.5%

Bid 35.0% · Ask 54.0%

Lewis Hamilton

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

11.0%

Bid 9.0% · Ask 12.0%

Lewis Hamilton

Open Kalshi ↗

Liam Lawson

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

1.6%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 3.0%

Liam Lawson

Open Polymarket ↗

2.6%

Bid — · Ask 5.2%

Liam Lawson

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

2.5%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.0%

Liam Lawson

Open Kalshi ↗

Max Verstappen

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

45.0%

Bid 44.0% · Ask 46.0%

Max Verstappen

Open Polymarket ↗

73.5%

Bid 72.0% · Ask 75.0%

Max Verstappen

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

34.0%

Bid 32.0% · Ask 34.0%

Max Verstappen

Open Kalshi ↗

Nico Hulkenberg

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

1.6%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 3.0%

Nico Hulkenberg

Open Polymarket ↗

5.0%

Bid — · Ask 10.0%

Nico Hulkenberg

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

2.5%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.0%

Nico Hulkenberg

Open Kalshi ↗

Oliver Bearman

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

1.6%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 3.0%

Oliver Bearman

Open Polymarket ↗

2.6%

Bid — · Ask 5.2%

Oliver Bearman

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

2.5%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.0%

Oliver Bearman

Open Kalshi ↗

Oscar Piastri

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

3.6%

Bid 1.7% · Ask 5.6%

Oscar Piastri

Open Polymarket ↗

14.0%

Bid 13.0% · Ask 15.0%

Oscar Piastri

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

7.0%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 7.0%

Oscar Piastri

Open Kalshi ↗

Pierre Gasly

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

1.5%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 2.9%

Pierre Gasly

Open Polymarket ↗

2.5%

Bid — · Ask 5.0%

Pierre Gasly

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

2.5%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.0%

Pierre Gasly

Open Kalshi ↗

Sergio Perez

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

0.6%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.1%

Sergio Perez

Open Polymarket ↗

4.8%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 9.5%

Sergio Perez

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

2.5%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.0%

Sergio Perez

Open Kalshi ↗

Valtteri Bottas

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

0.6%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.1%

Valtteri Bottas

Open Polymarket ↗

4.8%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 9.5%

Valtteri Bottas

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

3.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.0%

Valtteri Bottas

Open Kalshi ↗

Andrea Kimi Antonelli

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

Kimi Antonelli

Open Polymarket ↗

66.5%

Bid 65.0% · Ask 68.0%

Kimi Antonelli

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Yes

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

16.5%

Bid 16.0% · Ask 17.0%

Yes

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Yuki Tsunoda

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.5%

Bid — · Ask 1.0%

Yuki Tsunoda

Open Polymarket ↗

5.0%

Bid — · Ask 10.0%

Yuki Tsunoda

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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