The Prediction Markets

Market comparison

United States Grand Prix Main Race: Podium Finishers

2 venues · 29 outcome rows · 21 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

22 outcomes · $17K reported volume

Observed 26s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 2, 2026

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

81 outcomes · $16K reported volume

Observed 26s ago

Observed 26s ago

Observed 26s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 1, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Alexander Albon

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0%

Alexander Albon

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

1.4%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 2.6%

Alexander Albon

Open Polymarket ↗

12.5%

Bid — · Ask 25.0%

Alexander Albon

Open Polymarket ↗

25.0%

Bid — · Ask 50.0%

Alexander Albon

Open Polymarket ↗

Arvid Lindblad

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0%

Arvid Lindblad

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

2.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 4.0%

Arvid Lindblad

Open Polymarket ↗

20.4%

Bid — · Ask 40.8%

Arvid Lindblad

Open Polymarket ↗

25.0%

Bid — · Ask 50.0%

Arvid Lindblad

Open Polymarket ↗

Carlos Sainz Jr.

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0%

Carlos Sainz Jr.

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

5.1%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 10.0%

Carlos Sainz Jr.

Open Polymarket ↗

20.1%

Bid — · Ask 40.1%

Carlos Sainz Jr.

Open Polymarket ↗

24.5%

Bid — · Ask 49.0%

Carlos Sainz Jr.

Open Polymarket ↗

Charles Leclerc

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

34.0%

Bid 33.0% · Ask 34.0%

Charles Leclerc

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

7.0%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 8.0%

Charles Leclerc

Open Polymarket ↗

11.5%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 13.0%

Charles Leclerc

Open Polymarket ↗

32.5%

Bid 32.0% · Ask 33.0%

Charles Leclerc

Open Polymarket ↗

Esteban Ocon

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0%

Esteban Ocon

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

1.4%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 2.7%

Esteban Ocon

Open Polymarket ↗

9.4%

Bid — · Ask 18.8%

Esteban Ocon

Open Polymarket ↗

25.0%

Bid — · Ask 50.0%

Esteban Ocon

Open Polymarket ↗

Fernando Alonso

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0%

Fernando Alonso

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

1.2%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 2.3%

Fernando Alonso

Open Polymarket ↗

18.9%

Bid — · Ask 37.9%

Fernando Alonso

Open Polymarket ↗

25.0%

Bid — · Ask 50.0%

Fernando Alonso

Open Polymarket ↗

Franco Colapinto

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

4.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0%

Franco Colapinto

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

1.4%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 2.7%

Franco Colapinto

Open Polymarket ↗

11.2%

Bid — · Ask 22.4%

Franco Colapinto

Open Polymarket ↗

25.0%

Bid — · Ask 50.0%

Franco Colapinto

Open Polymarket ↗

Gabriel Bortoleto

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0%

Gabriel Bortoleto

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

1.4%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 2.7%

Gabriel Bortoleto

Open Polymarket ↗

11.7%

Bid — · Ask 23.4%

Gabriel Bortoleto

Open Polymarket ↗

25.0%

Bid — · Ask 50.0%

Gabriel Bortoleto

Open Polymarket ↗

George Russell

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

41.0%

Bid 38.0% · Ask 41.0%

George Russell

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

9.0%

Bid 8.0% · Ask 10.0%

George Russell

Open Polymarket ↗

7.5%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 9.0%

George Russell

Open Polymarket ↗

39.0%

Bid 38.0% · Ask 40.0%

George Russell

Open Polymarket ↗

Isack Hadjar

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

18.0%

Bid 15.0% · Ask 19.0%

Isack Hadjar

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

2.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 3.0%

Isack Hadjar

Open Polymarket ↗

1.8%

Bid 0.4% · Ask 3.1%

Isack Hadjar

Open Polymarket ↗

47.0%

Bid 15.0% · Ask 79.0%

Isack Hadjar

Open Polymarket ↗

Lance Stroll

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0%

Lance Stroll

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.6%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.1%

Lance Stroll

Open Polymarket ↗

13.2%

Bid — · Ask 26.4%

Lance Stroll

Open Polymarket ↗

25.0%

Bid — · Ask 50.0%

Lance Stroll

Open Polymarket ↗

Lando Norris

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

36.0%

Bid 33.0% · Ask 36.0%

Lando Norris

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

7.0%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 8.0%

Lando Norris

Open Polymarket ↗

7.5%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 9.0%

Lando Norris

Open Polymarket ↗

35.0%

Bid 31.0% · Ask 39.0%

Lando Norris

Open Polymarket ↗

Lewis Hamilton

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

36.0%

Bid 35.0% · Ask 36.0%

Lewis Hamilton

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

8.0%

Bid 7.0% · Ask 9.0%

Lewis Hamilton

Open Polymarket ↗

7.5%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 9.0%

Lewis Hamilton

Open Polymarket ↗

35.0%

Bid 34.0% · Ask 36.0%

Lewis Hamilton

Open Polymarket ↗

Liam Lawson

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

5.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0%

Liam Lawson

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

2.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 4.1%

Liam Lawson

Open Polymarket ↗

12.3%

Bid — · Ask 24.6%

Liam Lawson

Open Polymarket ↗

25.0%

Bid — · Ask 50.0%

Liam Lawson

Open Polymarket ↗

Max Verstappen

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

76.0%

Bid 75.0% · Ask 76.0%

Max Verstappen

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

45.0%

Bid 44.0% · Ask 46.0%

Max Verstappen

Open Polymarket ↗

41.5%

Bid 38.0% · Ask 45.0%

Max Verstappen

Open Polymarket ↗

76.5%

Bid 75.0% · Ask 78.0%

Max Verstappen

Open Polymarket ↗

Nico Hulkenberg

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0%

Nico Hulkenberg

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

2.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 4.0%

Nico Hulkenberg

Open Polymarket ↗

10.8%

Bid — · Ask 21.7%

Nico Hulkenberg

Open Polymarket ↗

25.0%

Bid — · Ask 50.0%

Nico Hulkenberg

Open Polymarket ↗

Oliver Bearman

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0%

Oliver Bearman

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

2.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 4.1%

Oliver Bearman

Open Polymarket ↗

11.5%

Bid — · Ask 23.0%

Oliver Bearman

Open Polymarket ↗

25.0%

Bid — · Ask 50.0%

Oliver Bearman

Open Polymarket ↗

Oscar Piastri

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

14.0%

Bid 14.0% · Ask 16.0%

Oscar Piastri

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

2.4%

Bid 1.7% · Ask 3.1%

Oscar Piastri

Open Polymarket ↗

1.6%

Bid 0.6% · Ask 2.6%

Oscar Piastri

Open Polymarket ↗

13.5%

Bid 12.0% · Ask 15.0%

Oscar Piastri

Open Polymarket ↗

Pierre Gasly

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

4.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0%

Pierre Gasly

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

1.4%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 2.7%

Pierre Gasly

Open Polymarket ↗

12.4%

Bid — · Ask 24.9%

Pierre Gasly

Open Polymarket ↗

2.5%

Bid — · Ask 5.0%

Pierre Gasly

Open Polymarket ↗

Sergio Perez

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0%

Sergio Perez

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.6%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.1%

Sergio Perez

Open Polymarket ↗

8.9%

Bid — · Ask 17.8%

Sergio Perez

Open Polymarket ↗

25.0%

Bid — · Ask 50.0%

Sergio Perez

Open Polymarket ↗

Valtteri Bottas

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

4.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0%

Valtteri Bottas

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.7%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.2%

Valtteri Bottas

Open Polymarket ↗

8.9%

Bid — · Ask 17.9%

Valtteri Bottas

Open Polymarket ↗

25.0%

Bid — · Ask 50.0%

Valtteri Bottas

Open Polymarket ↗

Andrea Kimi Antonelli

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

70.0%

Bid 66.0% · Ask 70.0%

Andrea Kimi Antonelli

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Driver A

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Driver A · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Driver A · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Driver B

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Driver B · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Driver B · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Driver C

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Driver C · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Driver C · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Driver D

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Driver D · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Driver D · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Driver E

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Driver E · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Driver E · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kimi Antonelli

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

26.5%

Bid 25.0% · Ask 28.0%

Kimi Antonelli

Open Polymarket ↗

24.5%

Bid 20.0% · Ask 29.0%

Kimi Antonelli

Open Polymarket ↗

66.0%

Bid 64.0% · Ask 68.0%

Kimi Antonelli

Open Polymarket ↗

Yuki Tsunoda

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.5%

Bid — · Ask 1.0%

Yuki Tsunoda

Open Polymarket ↗

14.5%

Bid — · Ask 29.0%

Yuki Tsunoda

Open Polymarket ↗

5.0%

Bid — · Ask 10.0%

Yuki Tsunoda

Open Polymarket ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.