The Prediction Markets

Market comparison

United States Grand Prix Main Race: Top 5 Finishers

2 venues · 29 outcome rows · 21 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

81 outcomes · $16K reported volume

Observed 32s ago

Observed 32s ago

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 1, 2026

22 outcomes · $2K reported volume

Observed 32s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 2, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Alexander Albon

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

1.5%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 2.8%

Alexander Albon

Open Polymarket ↗

1.4%

Bid — · Ask 2.8%

Alexander Albon

Open Polymarket ↗

5.0%

Bid — · Ask 10.0%

Alexander Albon

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

2.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0%

Alexander Albon

Open Kalshi ↗

Arvid Lindblad

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

2.9%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 5.7%

Arvid Lindblad

Open Polymarket ↗

1.5%

Bid — · Ask 2.9%

Arvid Lindblad

Open Polymarket ↗

2.9%

Bid — · Ask 5.8%

Arvid Lindblad

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

4.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 8.0%

Arvid Lindblad

Open Kalshi ↗

Carlos Sainz Jr.

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

13.6%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 27.0%

Carlos Sainz Jr.

Open Polymarket ↗

9.9%

Bid — · Ask 19.8%

Carlos Sainz Jr.

Open Polymarket ↗

5.0%

Bid — · Ask 10.0%

Carlos Sainz Jr.

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

2.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0%

Carlos Sainz Jr.

Open Kalshi ↗

Charles Leclerc

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

7.5%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 9.0%

Charles Leclerc

Open Polymarket ↗

11.5%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 13.0%

Charles Leclerc

Open Polymarket ↗

32.5%

Bid 32.0% · Ask 33.0%

Charles Leclerc

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

58.0%

Bid 55.0% · Ask 58.0%

Charles Leclerc

Open Kalshi ↗

Esteban Ocon

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

1.5%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 2.9%

Esteban Ocon

Open Polymarket ↗

1.4%

Bid — · Ask 2.8%

Esteban Ocon

Open Polymarket ↗

5.0%

Bid — · Ask 10.0%

Esteban Ocon

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

2.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0%

Esteban Ocon

Open Kalshi ↗

Fernando Alonso

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

1.5%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 2.9%

Fernando Alonso

Open Polymarket ↗

1.4%

Bid — · Ask 2.8%

Fernando Alonso

Open Polymarket ↗

5.0%

Bid — · Ask 10.0%

Fernando Alonso

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

2.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0%

Fernando Alonso

Open Kalshi ↗

Franco Colapinto

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

1.5%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 2.9%

Franco Colapinto

Open Polymarket ↗

9.9%

Bid — · Ask 19.8%

Franco Colapinto

Open Polymarket ↗

5.0%

Bid — · Ask 10.0%

Franco Colapinto

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

3.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.0%

Franco Colapinto

Open Kalshi ↗

Gabriel Bortoleto

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

1.5%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 2.9%

Gabriel Bortoleto

Open Polymarket ↗

1.4%

Bid — · Ask 2.8%

Gabriel Bortoleto

Open Polymarket ↗

24.5%

Bid — · Ask 49.0%

Gabriel Bortoleto

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

2.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0%

Gabriel Bortoleto

Open Kalshi ↗

George Russell

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

9.0%

Bid 8.0% · Ask 10.0%

George Russell

Open Polymarket ↗

7.5%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 9.0%

George Russell

Open Polymarket ↗

39.0%

Bid 38.0% · Ask 40.0%

George Russell

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

68.0%

Bid 62.0% · Ask 69.0%

George Russell

Open Kalshi ↗

Isack Hadjar

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

2.1%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 3.3%

Isack Hadjar

Open Polymarket ↗

2.8%

Bid 0.4% · Ask 5.2%

Isack Hadjar

Open Polymarket ↗

18.0%

Bid 15.0% · Ask 21.0%

Isack Hadjar

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

46.0%

Bid 41.0% · Ask 49.0%

Isack Hadjar

Open Kalshi ↗

Lance Stroll

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

0.6%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.1%

Lance Stroll

Open Polymarket ↗

11.8%

Bid — · Ask 23.6%

Lance Stroll

Open Polymarket ↗

4.8%

Bid — · Ask 9.5%

Lance Stroll

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

2.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0%

Lance Stroll

Open Kalshi ↗

Lando Norris

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

7.0%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 8.0%

Lando Norris

Open Polymarket ↗

7.5%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 9.0%

Lando Norris

Open Polymarket ↗

35.0%

Bid 31.0% · Ask 39.0%

Lando Norris

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

59.0%

Bid 57.0% · Ask 65.0%

Lando Norris

Open Kalshi ↗

Lewis Hamilton

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

8.0%

Bid 7.0% · Ask 9.0%

Lewis Hamilton

Open Polymarket ↗

8.0%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 10.0%

Lewis Hamilton

Open Polymarket ↗

34.0%

Bid 33.0% · Ask 35.0%

Lewis Hamilton

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

67.0%

Bid 59.0% · Ask 67.0%

Lewis Hamilton

Open Kalshi ↗

Liam Lawson

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

1.6%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 3.0%

Liam Lawson

Open Polymarket ↗

1.5%

Bid — · Ask 2.9%

Liam Lawson

Open Polymarket ↗

3.0%

Bid — · Ask 6.0%

Liam Lawson

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

8.0%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 12.0%

Liam Lawson

Open Kalshi ↗

Max Verstappen

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

45.0%

Bid 44.0% · Ask 46.0%

Max Verstappen

Open Polymarket ↗

39.5%

Bid 37.0% · Ask 42.0%

Max Verstappen

Open Polymarket ↗

74.0%

Bid 73.0% · Ask 75.0%

Max Verstappen

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

87.0%

Bid 82.0% · Ask 87.0%

Max Verstappen

Open Kalshi ↗

Nico Hulkenberg

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

2.9%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 5.7%

Nico Hulkenberg

Open Polymarket ↗

1.4%

Bid — · Ask 2.8%

Nico Hulkenberg

Open Polymarket ↗

24.5%

Bid — · Ask 49.0%

Nico Hulkenberg

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

3.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0%

Nico Hulkenberg

Open Kalshi ↗

Oliver Bearman

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

1.6%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 3.0%

Oliver Bearman

Open Polymarket ↗

1.5%

Bid — · Ask 2.9%

Oliver Bearman

Open Polymarket ↗

4.0%

Bid — · Ask 8.0%

Oliver Bearman

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

2.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0%

Oliver Bearman

Open Kalshi ↗

Oscar Piastri

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

3.0%

Bid 1.7% · Ask 4.4%

Oscar Piastri

Open Polymarket ↗

1.6%

Bid 0.4% · Ask 2.7%

Oscar Piastri

Open Polymarket ↗

21.0%

Bid 17.0% · Ask 25.0%

Oscar Piastri

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

42.0%

Bid 35.0% · Ask 42.0%

Oscar Piastri

Open Kalshi ↗

Pierre Gasly

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

1.5%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 2.9%

Pierre Gasly

Open Polymarket ↗

11.8%

Bid — · Ask 23.5%

Pierre Gasly

Open Polymarket ↗

2.5%

Bid — · Ask 5.0%

Pierre Gasly

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

8.0%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 9.0%

Pierre Gasly

Open Kalshi ↗

Sergio Perez

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

0.6%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.1%

Sergio Perez

Open Polymarket ↗

1.4%

Bid — · Ask 2.8%

Sergio Perez

Open Polymarket ↗

24.9%

Bid — · Ask 49.9%

Sergio Perez

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

2.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0%

Sergio Perez

Open Kalshi ↗

Valtteri Bottas

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

0.7%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.2%

Valtteri Bottas

Open Polymarket ↗

1.4%

Bid — · Ask 2.8%

Valtteri Bottas

Open Polymarket ↗

4.8%

Bid — · Ask 9.5%

Valtteri Bottas

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

2.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0%

Valtteri Bottas

Open Kalshi ↗

Andrea Kimi Antonelli

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

76.0%

Bid 76.0% · Ask 84.0%

Andrea Kimi Antonelli

Open Kalshi ↗

Driver A

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Driver A · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Driver A · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Driver B

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Driver B · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Driver B · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Driver C

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Driver C · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Driver C · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Driver D

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Driver D · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Driver D · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Driver E

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Driver E · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Driver E · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Kimi Antonelli

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

26.0%

Bid 25.0% · Ask 27.0%

Kimi Antonelli

Open Polymarket ↗

26.0%

Bid 21.0% · Ask 31.0%

Kimi Antonelli

Open Polymarket ↗

65.5%

Bid 63.0% · Ask 68.0%

Kimi Antonelli

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Yuki Tsunoda

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.5%

Bid — · Ask 1.0%

Yuki Tsunoda

Open Polymarket ↗

11.0%

Bid — · Ask 22.0%

Yuki Tsunoda

Open Polymarket ↗

5.0%

Bid — · Ask 10.0%

Yuki Tsunoda

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.