The Prediction Markets

Market comparison

Unsettled Resentment vs. TEC Esports

2 venues · 15 outcome rows · 1 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

14 outcomes · $19K reported volume

Observed 29s ago

Recorded venue end date: Oct 23, 2026

2 outcomes · $9K reported volume

Observed 29s ago

Recorded venue end date: Oct 25, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

Known rule differences between venues

  • Postponement: Kalshi resolves to a fair price if the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time (tennis: not finished within two weeks); Polymarket stays open until the game is played and resolves 50-50 only if it is cancelled with no make-up (UFC/tennis: ~14 days).
  • Ties and draws in two-way sports (NFL, college football, UFC no-contest): both venues pay 50/50.
  • Soccer: both settle on 90 minutes plus stoppage time; extra time and penalties excluded.
  • Tennis: Kalshi requires a ball to be played and pays the winner; Polymarket pays the player who advances, including on retirement. A pre-match walkover is a fair price on Kalshi, 50-50 on Polymarket.
  • UFC: Kalshi ignores result changes after expiry; Polymarket follows the official UFC result.
  • Polymarket two-way moneylines are one contract priced on the first-named side; the other side is its complement (recorded as a derived relation, not a link).

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

TEC Esports

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Polymarket

66.8%

Bid 62.8% · Ask 70.7%

Match Winner

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

67.0%

Bid 64.0% · Ask 67.0%

TEC Esports

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 0.3 pp

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

90.5%

Bid 81.0% · Ask 100.0%

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

9.5%

Bid — · Ask 19.0%

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Map 1 Winner

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

Map 1 Winner

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid — · Ask 100.0%

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

48.5%

Bid — · Ask 100.0%

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Map 2 Winner

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

20.5%

Bid 8.0% · Ask 33.0%

Map 2 Winner

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid — · Ask 100.0%

Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

O/U 2.5 Games

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

62.5%

Bid 37.0% · Ask 88.0%

O/U 2.5 Games

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

TEC Esports

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

90.5%

Bid 81.0% · Ask 100.0%

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: TEC Esports (-2.5) vs Unsettled Resentment (+2.5)

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

TEC Esports

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid — · Ask 100.0%

Map 2 Rounds Handicap: TEC Esports (-2.5) vs Unsettled Resentment (+2.5)

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

TEC Esports

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid — · Ask 100.0%

Map 3 Rounds Handicap: TEC Esports (-2.5) vs Unsettled Resentment (+2.5)

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

TEC Esports

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 88.0% · Ask 100.0%

Map Handicap: TEC (-1.5) vs Unsettled Resentment (+1.5)

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

TEC Esports

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

9.5%

Bid — · Ask 19.0%

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: TEC Esports (-12.5) vs Unsettled Resentment (+12.5)

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Unsettled Resentment

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

36.0%

Bid 31.0% · Ask 37.0%

Unsettled Resentment

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.