The Prediction Markets

Unsettled Resentment vs. TEC Esports

LiveKickoff In play now; prices move fast
Traded
$7K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

Map 1 Winner 100%

Next is TEC Esports at 90.5%. The venues differ most on TEC Esports (Polymarket 83.5%, Kalshi 86%), a 2.5-point gap.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Map 1 Winner
100%
Polymarket 100%polled, 1 min ago
Polymarket
Contract
Map 1 Winner
Last price
100%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99.9¢
Trade this on Polymarket
TEC Esports
90.5%
Polymarket 90.5%polled, 1 min ago
Polymarket
Contract
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: TEC Esports (-2.5) vs Unsettled Resentment (+2.5)
Last price
90.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
81¢
Trade this on Polymarket
TEC Esports
84.1%
Polymarket 83.5%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 86%polled, just nowBest Yes 85¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $118 (1.18x)
Polymarket
Contract
Match Winner
Last price
83.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
82¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
TEC Esports
Last price
86%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
87¢
Sell Yes
83¢
$100 on Yes pays
$115 (1.15x)
Volume
$887
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 83¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 85¢.

Map 2 Winner
66.5%
Polymarket 66.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 68¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $147 (1.47x)
Polymarket
Contract
Map 2 Winner
Last price
66.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
68¢
Sell Yes
65¢
$100 on Yes pays
$147 (1.47x)
Trade this on Polymarket
TEC Esports
66.5%
Polymarket 66.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 72¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $139 (1.39x)
Polymarket
Contract
Map Handicap: TEC (-1.5) vs Unsettled Resentment (+1.5)
Last price
66.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
72¢
Sell Yes
61¢
$100 on Yes pays
$139 (1.39x)
Volume
$3
Trade this on Polymarket
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 1 min ago
Polymarket
Contract
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Trade this on Polymarket
TEC Esports
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 1 min ago
Polymarket
Contract
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: TEC Esports (-2.5) vs Unsettled Resentment (+2.5)
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Trade this on Polymarket
TEC Esports
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 1 min ago
Polymarket
Contract
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: TEC Esports (-2.5) vs Unsettled Resentment (+2.5)
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Trade this on Polymarket
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
48.5%
Polymarket 48.5%polled, 1 min ago
Polymarket
Contract
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
Last price
48.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Trade this on Polymarket
O/U 2.5 Games
33.5%
Polymarket 33.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 39¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Polymarket
Contract
O/U 2.5 Games
Last price
33.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
39¢
Sell Yes
28¢
$100 on Yes pays
$256 (2.56x)
Volume
$10
Trade this on Polymarket
Unsettled Resentment
16%
Kalshi 16%polled, just nowBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Kalshi
Contract
Unsettled Resentment
Last price
16%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
16¢
Sell Yes
14¢
$100 on Yes pays
$625 (6.25x)
Volume
$736
Trade this on Kalshi
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
9.5%
Polymarket 9.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 19¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Polymarket
Contract
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
Last price
9.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
19¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$526 (5.26x)
Trade this on Polymarket

No cross-venue arbitrage right now: on every matched outcome, the best bid on one venue is at or below the cheapest ask on the other. Find markets with open spreads

Mostly the same bet: two differences

Where they differ

  • If the game is postponed: Kalshi resolves to a fair price if the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time; Polymarket stays open until the game is played and resolves 50-50 only if it is cancelled with no make-up.
  • Trading closes at different times: Oct 23, 2026, 1:00 PM UTC on Polymarket and Oct 25, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC on Kalshi.
Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: twitch.tv
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: VALORANT Esports, Gamers World, BO3
Show full rule comparison
  • If the game is postponed: Kalshi resolves to a fair price if the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time; Polymarket stays open until the game is played and resolves 50-50 only if it is cancelled with no make-up.
  • Trading closes Oct 23, 2026, 1:00 PM UTC on Polymarket and Oct 25, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC on Kalshi.

Summarized from each venue’s published rules; the venue’s own rules page is the final word.

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Map 1 Winner
  • TEC Esports
  • TEC Esports

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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Kalshi

Kalshi doesn’t list Map 1 Winner for this event.

What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Unsettled Resentment vs. TEC Esports". Map 1 Winner leads at 100%. Next is TEC Esports at 90.5%. $7K has traded across 12 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 25, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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