Market comparison

US electricity price in October

2 venues · 17 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

10 outcomes · $12K reported volume

Observed 5s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 11, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

7 outcomes · $2K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 10, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for US electricity price in October
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
1.90 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.2% Bid 0.3% · Ask 2.1% <$1.90 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
1.90 to $2.00 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.5% Bid 1.2% · Ask 5.8% $1.90 to $2.00 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
2.00 to $2.10 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.5% Bid 3.2% · Ask 9.7% $2.00 to $2.10 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
2.10 to $2.20 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	21.5% Bid 17.0% · Ask 26.0% $2.10 to $2.20 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
2.20 to $2.30 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	52.0% Bid 50.0% · Ask 54.0% $2.20 to $2.30 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
2.30 to $2.40 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	15.5% Bid 14.0% · Ask 17.0% $2.30 to $2.40 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
2.40 to $2.50 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.7% Bid 0.3% · Ask 3.0% $2.40 to $2.50 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
2.50 to $2.60 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.1% Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.9% $2.50 to $2.60 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
2.60 to $2.70 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.1% Bid 0.8% · Ask 7.4% $2.60 to $2.70 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
2.70 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.6% Bid 0.3% · Ask 2.9% ≥$2.70 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Above 18.8¢ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	98.5% Bid 98.0% · Ask 99.0% Above 18.8¢ Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 19.0¢ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	97.5% Bid 97.0% · Ask 98.0% Above 19.0¢ Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 19.2¢ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	91.5% Bid 91.0% · Ask 92.0% Above 19.2¢ Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 19.4¢ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	49.0% Bid 46.0% · Ask 50.0% Above 19.4¢ Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 19.6¢ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	30.0% Bid 24.0% · Ask 48.0% Above 19.6¢ Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 19.8¢ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	24.0% Bid 24.0% · Ask 45.0% Above 19.8¢ Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 20.0¢ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	4.5% Bid 4.0% · Ask 5.0% Above 20.0¢ Open Kalshi ↗	—

1.90

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.2%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 2.1%

<$1.90

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

1.90 to $2.00

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.5%

Bid 1.2% · Ask 5.8%

$1.90 to $2.00

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

2.00 to $2.10

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

6.5%

Bid 3.2% · Ask 9.7%

$2.00 to $2.10

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

2.10 to $2.20

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

21.5%

Bid 17.0% · Ask 26.0%

$2.10 to $2.20

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

2.20 to $2.30

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

52.0%

Bid 50.0% · Ask 54.0%

$2.20 to $2.30

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

2.30 to $2.40

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

15.5%

Bid 14.0% · Ask 17.0%

$2.30 to $2.40

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

2.40 to $2.50

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.7%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 3.0%

$2.40 to $2.50

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

2.50 to $2.60

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.1%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.9%

$2.50 to $2.60

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

2.60 to $2.70

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.1%

Bid 0.8% · Ask 7.4%

$2.60 to $2.70

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

2.70

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.6%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 2.9%

≥$2.70

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Above 18.8¢

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

98.5%

Bid 98.0% · Ask 99.0%

Above 18.8¢

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 19.0¢

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

97.5%

Bid 97.0% · Ask 98.0%

Above 19.0¢

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 19.2¢

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

91.5%

Bid 91.0% · Ask 92.0%

Above 19.2¢

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 19.4¢

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

49.0%

Bid 46.0% · Ask 50.0%

Above 19.4¢

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 19.6¢

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

30.0%

Bid 24.0% · Ask 48.0%

Above 19.6¢

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 19.8¢

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

24.0%

Bid 24.0% · Ask 45.0%

Above 19.8¢

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 20.0¢

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

4.5%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 5.0%

Above 20.0¢

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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