The Prediction Markets

Market comparison

US unemployment rate at year-end 2026

2 venues · 24 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

9 outcomes · $18K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 6, 2026

15 outcomes · $8K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 8, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

3.8%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.3%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.5%

≤3.8%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

3.9%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.3%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.4%

3.9%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

4.0%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

5.1%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 6.2%

4.0%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

4.1%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

28.0%

Bid 27.0% · Ask 29.0%

4.1%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

4.2%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

38.5%

Bid 37.0% · Ask 40.0%

4.2%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

4.3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

26.5%

Bid 25.0% · Ask 28.0%

4.3%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

4.4%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.9%

Bid 0.8% · Ask 5.0%

4.4%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

4.5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.3%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.4%

4.5%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

4.6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.9%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.7%

≥4.6%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Above 3.0%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

96.5%

Bid 94.0% · Ask 99.0%

Above 3.0%

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 3.5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

96.0%

Bid 93.0% · Ask 99.0%

Above 3.5%

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 4.0%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

75.0%

Bid 75.0% · Ask 79.0%

Above 4.0%

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 4.5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

21.0%

Bid 15.0% · Ask 21.0%

Above 4.5%

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 5.0%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

3.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 13.0%

Above 5.0%

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 5.5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

4.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 9.0%

Above 5.5%

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 6.0%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

2.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0%

Above 6.0%

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 6.5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

2.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0%

Above 6.5%

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 7.0%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

2.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0%

Above 7.0%

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 7.5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

2.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0%

Above 7.5%

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 8.0%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

2.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0%

Above 8.0%

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 8.5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

2.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0%

Above 8.5%

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 9.0%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

2.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0%

Above 9.0%

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 9.5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

2.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0%

Above 9.5%

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 10.0%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

2.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0%

Above 10.0%

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.